Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 8:32 PM Moonrise 5:13 AM   Moonset 8:43 PM

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LEZ147 Expires:202405081415;;829525 Fzus51 Kcle 080741 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 341 am edt Wed may 8 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-081415- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 341 am edt Wed may 8 2024
Today - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Tonight - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A slight chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. Thursday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. Thursday night - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday.
the water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees, off cleveland 48 degrees, and off erie 53 degrees.

LEZ100
No data

FXUS61 KCLE 081947 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 347 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will lift a warm front north across the region late tonight into Thursday. Unsettled weather will persist through the end of the week and into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure has allowed for a period of dry weather today. It was a bit breezy this afternoon with wind gusts around 25 mph, though expecting these gusts to diminish around sunset tonight.
As the high exits the region tonight a warm front lifts northeastward and will allow for high level clouds to begin to filter in tonight. Confidence in shower coverage early tomorrow morning along the front has decreased since the last forecast update as frontogenesis and upper level support has backed off slightly. The better chance for widespread rain showers and embedded thunder comes late Thursday morning and early afternoon as the parent low glides east across Northern Ohio. This low will take its time exiting the region and will keep rain chances in the forecast through the end of the period. Can't rule out some nuisance flooding with any pockets of heavier rainfall through the end of the week, but overall impacts should be minimal.

Slightly above normal overnight lows tonight in the mid 50s for most, upper 40s to lower 50s in Northwest Pennsylvania. Highs tomorrow will be cooler as they will rise into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Near normal overnight lows Thursday night in the mid/upper 40s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
We start the short term period with an upper-level trough overhead.
Isolated to scattered rain showers may linger across the area on Friday especially the eastern part of the forecast area before that trough departs to the east. Upper-level ridging and surface high pressure very briefly builds in Friday night before another upper- level trough and associated surface low move southeast across the Great Lakes region. Periods of rain showers are expected through the day Saturday, with mean QPF around 0.25" (some spots lower, other areas as high as 0.5"). Isolated thunderstorms may be possible during the afternoon/evening hours. Isolated to scattered rain showers may linger into Saturday night, mainly for the eastern part of the forecast area. Temperatures will be below normal through the short term period with highs around 60 and lows in the 40s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Broad weak upper-level ridging builds in, although several weak upper-level shortwaves move across the area through the week, resulting in low PoPs maintaining through the long term period.
Temperatures gradually warm up through the week with highs in the low 70s increasing to mid-upper 70s by Wednesday.

AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/
VFR conditions under weak high pressure will continue through the first part of the TAF period with mainly clear skies. Our next system will lift a warm front northeast across terminals early Thursday morning and into the day Thursday. Cloud cover will increase ahead of the warm front. Lower confidence in coverage of rain showers along the warm front but will likely see MVFR ceilings build in after 12Z/Thu from west to east.
Better chances and coverage for rain showers will occur as the parent low pressure system glides across Northern Ohio during the day Thursday. Can't rule out embedded thunder in these showers during the day Thursday, though the better instability looks to remain south of the local area.

Westerly winds with speeds 10-15 knots and gusts to 25+ knots will persist through sunset tonight. Expecting for higher westerly winds and gusts to quickly diminish around 00Z this evening. Winds turn northeasterly overnight tonight with wind speeds generally between 5-12 knots. Locations along the lakeshore (TOL/CLE/ERI) may see stronger northeasterly winds increase to 12-15 knots accompanied by gusts 20-25+ knots Thursday afternoon.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely with periodic showers and thunderstorms Thursday through Sunday.

MARINE
Low pressure over northern Missouri gradually moves east tonight and tomorrow across the Ohio Valley, with easterly winds strengthening to 20 to 25 knots during the day Thursday. As the low moves east towards the mid-Atlantic region, winds gradually veer to northeast, north and northwest Thursday night and Friday morning. Winds of up to 25 knots and waves of 3 to 6 feet will result in a small craft advisory for this period for all of our Lake Erie nearshore waters.

Another weak low moves southeast across the Great Lakes region on Saturday. There could be periods of stronger winds to 15 knots, but it's a low chance of small craft advisory at this point. The wind and wave forecast looks to be mild Sunday onward and there are are now strong low of high pressures.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 4 AM EDT Friday for LEZ142-143.
Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Thursday to 10 AM EDT Friday for LEZ144>149.

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