East Providence, RI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for East Providence, RI


December 2, 2023 1:10 PM EST (18:10 UTC)
Sunrise 6:52AM   Sunset 4:16PM   Moonrise  10:08PM   Moonset 12:28PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 101 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
This afternoon..W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..N winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. A chance of rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon and Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tue through Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 101 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A weak frontal boundary across new england combined with high pressure offshore, will provide weak sw winds across the ri and ma waters Saturday. Morning fog burns off and gives way to a mostly dry day. Low pressure approaches from the southwest Sunday and combined with high pressure over quebec, expect increasing ne winds along with rain Sunday across the new england waters. Low pressure then moves offshore Monday, with a drying and cooling trend, along with a wind shift to the north. A gale center may develop off the mid atlantic coast the middle of next week, then likely tracking well south of new england, but this system needs to be watched given some uncertainty.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Providence, RI
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 021746 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1246 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

SYNOPSIS
Mainly dry weather today with mild temperatures despite a considerable amount of cloudiness. Rain redevelops overnight and gives way to a rainy, cool Sunday, as low pressure develops south of New England. Rain continues Sunday night, but drier on Monday as the system exits. Generally dry Tuesday through Thursday, but fairly cloudy with near to below normal temperatures. Next shot for more widespread precipitation after Sunday comes potentially on Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

845 AM Update...

* Mostly cloudy today but mainly dry & mild with a few peeks of sun possible this afternoon with highs mainly in the 50s

Previous forecast is on track. The shortwave that brought light rainfall to the region last evening has departed. Model cross sections indicate that low level moisture lingers...so that has kept the region cloudy but mainly dry at mid-morning. The lingering patchy fog will burn off slowly...but mainly dry weather will prevail through the afternoon. Light westerly flow might be enough for a few peeks of sunshine this afternoon despite an abundance of cloudiness. Airmass is quite mild for this time of year with 850T between +3C and +5C. So despite an abundance of clouds expect highs to top off in the 50s across most locations and a few spots may hit the upper 50s. These high temperatures are about 10 degrees above normal for this time of year.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/

345 AM update...

* Mainly dry Saturday evening, then rain possible late * A rainy Sunday along with cool, brisk conditions

Tonight...

Mainly dry weather lingers thru the evening hours. Then overnight, robust southern stream short wave enters the MS Valley. This trough induces SW flow aloft along the eastern seaboard and is accompanied by a strong, 170 kt upper level SW jet streak, with strong thermal and moisture advection into SNE. This likely results in rain approaching the region toward daybreak Sunday. Temps remain above normal, with lows overnight only in the upper 30s to lower 40s, about 10 degs warmer than normal. Light WNW winds in the evening behind the passing weak frontal boundary. Then winds become NE toward Sunday morning, as low pressure develops over the Mid Atlantic from the approaching trough, combined with high pressure over Quebec.

Sunday...

Southern stream short wave moves across the OH Valley and is accompanied by a strong 170 kt upper level jet streak on its southwest periphery into SNE. Beneath this upper level jet streak is a strengthening surface low approaching New England from the southwest. Atlantic and Gulf moisture will combine with strong jet dynamics and a mid level warm front to yield a widespread rain event for SNE Sunday. Despite some CAD from 1025+ mb Quebec high, marginal airmass combined with 850 mb low tracking northwest of the region, ptype will be all rain for Sunday for SNE.

Looks like a fairly steady light to moderate rain Sunday with qpf ranging from 0.25 to 0.75. No flood issues but definitely a wet, dreary and raw day. Definitely not as mild as previous days, with highs more typical for early Dec, with temps in the 40s, but it will feel cooler given the brisk ENE onshore flow.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

345 AM update...

Highlights

* Soggy Sun night into early Mon with a plain rain. Breaks of sunshine late Mon AM through the afternoon. Near to slightly warmer than seasonable temps.

* Generally dry Tue to Thu, but with considerable cloudiness and below normal temps.

* Next shot for widespread precip comes late in the week as a clipper system slides in.

Sunday Night through Monday...

A shortwave trough lifts from the eastern Great Lakes Sun night into northern New England by early Mon. A shortwave ridge builds in behind it for mid/late Mon, but another trough lifts into VA/NC late on Mon. Will remain under cyclonic flow through this period. A broad low lifts through southern New England Sun night into early Mon. A weak ridge nudges in from VA/NC on Mon.

Guidance in good consensus at this point with how things evolve.
Only question is how strong a the secondary coastal low is.
Depending on the strength there still could be a 6 hr window of moderate rainfall due. This is depicted by the latest ECMWF with a more lift across central/northern MA with speed/directional convergence at 850 hPa. The NAM/GFS and GEM offer differing solutions at this juncture, but all depict more uniform flow and less lift. The result is a lighter rainfall. The majority of GEFS/EPS and GEPS ensemble members lean toward the moderate rain solution, so the forecast reflects this. Expect a dry slot to punch in late on Sun into Mon, which will bring precip to an end from southwest to northeast. Suspect we may be just a bit slow on this at this point in time other than along the MA/NH/VT border.

After Mon AM should be dry for most of the region other than along the MA/NH/VT border where there could be a few spotty showers and perhaps a bit of snow mixing in across the higher terrain. Think there could be a few breaks of sunshine, but likely more clouds than sun. Highs near seasonable levels with readings in the 40s across the interior on Mon and near 50 along the south coast.

Tuesday through Thursday...

Cyclonic flow in place with a few waves swinging through, but mainly to our south/southwest. The only exception is on Wed where a shortwave digs into the eastern Great Lakes/New England later in the day. Generally dry and quiet weather as high pressure nudges in from northern Quebec. A clipper system slides mainly to our south on Wed, but could perhaps bring some spotty rain/snow showers.

Have stuck with the NBM through this timeframe as its generally got the right idea. Though suspect if this shortwave slides through on Wed the shower activity could be a bit more widespread than am currently advertising. Would be cold enough for some snow early on Wed before ptype changes over to rain during the day Wed.

Will have persistent NW to NNW flow, which will advect colder air into our region. The coldest air at 850 hPa will be overhead on Thu with temps of roughly -7 to -10 degrees C. Highs will generally be in the 30s Tue-Thu, but will have some low 40s across the coastal plain especially on Tue/Wed. Low temps generally in the 20s, but there will be some teens across the interior Wed night into Thu.

Friday...

A ridge builds from the Great Lakes early Fri through New England by late in the day. A shortwave quickly lifts across the Great Lakes region later on Fri and perhaps into Sat. This may swing a clipper system through our region bringing our next opportunity for more widespread precip.

Still a fair amount of uncertainty with this system, especially on the intensity and exact track of the clipper system per the GEFS/GEPS/EPS guidance evident by the large spread in intensity and location of individual member lows. Give the spread stuck generally with the NBM, but did bump PoPs up to slight chance to indicate some risk of precipitation. Should see temps starting to climb upward as flow turns southerly or westerly bringing slightly milder, but still seasonably cool air to our region.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

18Z TAF Update...

This afternoon into tonight...High Confidence.

Widespread IFR to low end MVFR conditions persisted very early this afternoon in low clouds and fog patches. Some guidance indicates we may see brief/temporary improvement for a short time late this afternoon into this evening with MVFR and perhaps even a brief period of VFR conditions. Whether or not that occurs remains to be seen...but either way IFR/LIFR conditions are sure to return overnight with rain overspreading parts of the area especially south of the MA Turnpike by 12z Sunday.
Light WSW winds this afternoon shift to the NE later tonight.

Sunday...High Confidence.

Widespread IFR-LIFR conditions in periods of rain and fog. NE winds of 5 to 15 knots with the strongest along the coast where some 20-25 knot gusts are expected.

Sunday night...High Confidence.

IFR-LIFR conditions persist much of the night...but perhaps a bit of improvement by 12z Monday across CT/RI/SE MA. While the steadier/heavier rain will come to an end in most spots Sunday evening...light showers/drizzle and fog will persist longer especially in central and NE MA. NE winds 5 to 15 knots to more of a light W direction by daybreak Monday.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF trends, lower on exact timing.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF trends, lower on exact timing.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance RA, slight chance SHRA.

Monday Night through Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

345 AM update...high confidence.

Today...weak frontal boundary across New England combined with high pressure offshore will yield light SW winds across the MA/RI waters.
Fog this morning burns off to good vsby this afternoon.

Tonight...a weak and dry frontal passage briefly shifts winds into the NW this evening. Then low pressure enters the Mid Atlc region toward morning, shifting winds to the NE over the New England waters. Rain may overspread the RI and southern MA waters toward daybreak Sunday.

Sunday...intensifying low pressure approaching New England from the southwest, combined with high pressure over Quebec will result in increasing ENE winds 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Long fetch will result in building seas. Rain will reduce vsby.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain likely, patchy fog.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ231-250-251-254.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ232>235-237-255-256.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 1 mi53 min SW 7G8 45°F29.98
PVDR1 1 mi53 min WSW 5.1G6 30.00
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 6 mi53 min SSW 7G8 46°F29.98
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 11 mi86 min NW 4.1 51°F 30.0149°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 11 mi53 min WSW 4.1G5.1 30.01
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 13 mi53 min WSW 8.9G9.9 29.99
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 13 mi53 min 46°F30.00
FRXM3 13 mi161 min 49°F 48°F
PDVR1 13 mi53 min SSW 4.1G6 29.99
PRUR1 14 mi161 min 51°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 15 mi53 min WSW 5.1G6 46°F29.99
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 21 mi53 min SW 9.9G12 50°F29.99
NBGM3 28 mi53 min W 6G8 29.96
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 33 mi71 min WSW 15G16 49°F 30.00
44085 34 mi45 min 51°F3 ft
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 42 mi53 min 29.97
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 42 mi53 min 48°F29.98
NLHC3 48 mi53 min 52°F29.98
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 48 mi86 min WSW 1.9 50°F 29.9850°F

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Wind History for Providence, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPVD THEODORE FRANCIS GREEN STATE,RI 6 sm19 minWSW 047 smOvercast52°F48°F87%29.98
KSFZ NORTH CENTRAL STATE,RI 10 sm14 minvar 0510 smOvercast48°F46°F93%29.97
KOQU QUONSET STATE,RI 14 sm80 minWSW 057 smOvercast54°F48°F82%29.99
KUUU NEWPORT STATE,RI 19 sm17 minvar 047 smOvercast50°F48°F94%29.98
KTAN TAUNTON MUNI KING FIELD,MA 20 sm18 minWSW 0610 smMostly Cloudy54°F46°F77%29.97
KEWB NEW BEDFORD RGNL,MA 24 sm17 minWSW 0710 smMostly Cloudy55°F50°F82%29.97

Wind History from PVD
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Providence, State Pier no.1, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Providence, State Pier no.1, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet



Tide / Current for Conimicut Light, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Conimicut Light, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast   
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Boston, MA,



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