Sunday, July5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Friendsville, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:32AMSunset 8:44PM Sunday July 5, 2020 1:02 AM EDT (05:02 UTC) Moonrise 8:28PMMoonset 4:46AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Friendsville , PA
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location: 41.88, -75.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 050432 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1232 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will keep conditions quiet and very warm today. Hot and humid weather is then expected this week along with a chance for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 1230 AM Update:

The forecast remains on track and no changes were made with this update. The prior discussions remain valid.

845 PM UPDATE .

The last showers are now ending leaving mainly clear skies this evening as drier low level air sweeps in from the north. Expect mainly clear skies overnight with some patchy fog in the deeper valleys. Just some temp adjustments this evening in the grids.

230 PM update .

A few showers continue and mostly over Steuben County. Little in the way of organization and height. Shear is less than 20 kts. There is still good low level instability, but limited deep moisture. Forcing is weak. Movement is slowly to the south. Not seeing enough rainfall to be worried about flash flooding.

Convection will die toward sunset with the loss of heating. High pressure over the western Great Lakes will move southeast into the area tonight with drier air. Winds will be light to calm and skies mainly clear. Temperatures will drop into the mid and upper 50s and lower 60s. River valley fog is likely again late tonight in south central NY and NEPA.

Sunday will be mostly sunny and warm with highs from the mid 80s to around 90. Northwest flow aloft will keep deep moisture away from the area. Late in the day a weak surface low and short wave drops southeast into New England. A shower or thunderstorm is possible in northeast Oneida County late afternoon into the evening.

Sunday night warmer air moves in aloft. Skies will be partly cloudy with light to calm winds. Lows will be from around 60 to the lower 60s. River valley fog is again possible.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. 315 PM Update . A 500 mb ridge builds into the Northeast Monday with temperatures on the rise. Plentiful low level moisture plus day time heating will lead to instability developing during both Monday and Tuesday afternoon, with maximum CAPE values staying below 2000 J/kg. Without any disturbances or fronts to trigger the storms, thunderstorm development will be terrain driven. PoPs were increased over the Catskills and the Pocono Mountains as well as some of the higher elevations of Steuben county during the afternoon hours. Any storm that develops will be isolated and short lived. PWATs will be above average for this time of year so heavy rain is likely under any shower or thunderstorm that develops.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. 315 pm Update . Little change to the long range with todays guidance. Still keeping an eye on the tropical system that will pass east of the Carolinas later this week and adjusted PoPs. Right now all the guidance keeps the disturbance off of the coast with some rain associated with a weak cold front next weekend that may bring some relief from the hot temperatures and humidity.

Previous discussion . Mid-level ridging will continue to be in place across our region throughout this timeframe with surface high pressure. Warm and moist air will be transported northward as week goes on. Hot and humid will be general rule with mostly sunny days. However, a shortwave on Wednesday looks to provide enough of lift for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Only a stray shower or thunderstorm is likely to occur on other days given the lack of a lifting. By Friday, modeling is keying on a low pressure system along the Carolina coastline and cold front to the west but ensemble guidance has the majority of impacts from either feature next weekend.

Highs should end up around 90 or in the low 90's each day with muggy lows way up into the 60's and even some low 70's. As for the heat index, afternoon heat index values Tuesday through Friday are currently forecasted from 95-100 each afternoon in the Southern Tier of NY, Finger lakes and NY thruway corridor.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. 730 PM update .

VFR conditions expected to prevail much of the time over the next 24 hours.

Early Sunday morning patchy river valley fog may form. With no widespread rain today still thinking AVP will not have fog or low clouds like this morning. ELM has a chance for IFR fog from 8z to 11z and some on and off restrictions as early as 06z. Confidence in fog impacting ELM is moderate; temperatures are expected to cool efficiently under initially clear skies late this evening. Winds will also be light and variable. One caveat is that drier low level air will be advecting in from the north, at least initially.

All terminals will be VFR after 12z Sunday. Expect weak high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies with just a few or sct mid level cumulus (7-15k ft agl) in the afternoon. Dry weather expected.

Winds will be northwest to north at less than 10 knots this evening. Light and variable once again tonight. Sunday west to northwest at 5-9 kts.

Outlook .

Sunday night through Thursday . mainly VFR with a chance of brief restrictions due to afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity. Chance of IFR valley fog at ELM each morning.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . BJG NEAR TERM . BJG/DGM/TAC SHORT TERM . AJG/MWG LONG TERM . AJG/MWG AVIATION . MJM/TAC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY24 mi70 minNNW 510.00 miFair70°F50°F49%1014.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N6N3N5N5N4CalmE4NE4N44CalmNW10W7NW7NW7N9NW8N7N8N6N7NW5N5
1 day agoNW4NW6W4W6NW6NW5NW4NW6NW8NW9N11
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2 days agoW4W5W5W4W4NW3S3W4W8W6N7N7NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.