Thursday, October17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Friendsville, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 6:20PM Thursday October 17, 2019 2:55 PM EDT (18:55 UTC) Moonrise 7:47PMMoonset 9:51AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Friendsville , PA
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location: 41.88, -75.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 171852
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
252 pm edt Thu oct 17 2019

Synopsis
Rain continues this afternoon through tonight courtesy of a cold
front tracking into western ny and a deepening coastal low.

Warmer and dry weather will return for the weekend before rain
showers return once again starting Monday night.

Near term through Friday night
1215 pm update...

winds across the finger lakes have topped out higher than
expected, with sustained winds up to 20-25mph and a few gusts up
to 40-45 mph over the past couple of hours. So, winds have been
adjusted upward slightly for this afternoon across the whole
area, but for the finger lakes in particular. Winds are meeting
the criteria for a wind advisory, but given the late hour and
the more isolated nature of the higher wind gusts, will
continue to avoid hoisting a wind advisory.

Otherwise, continued pulling back slightly on pops across our
southernmost forecast area as strong NW flow leads to
increasingly better chances for showers downwind of the lakes -
generally north of a line from watkins glen - ithaca - delhi.

Winds fall back overnight, but showers continue mainly downwind
of lake ontario overnight through Friday morning before high
pressure building in helps to dry things out. Clouds will stick
around during the daytime before skies begin to clear out
Friday evening.

As for temperatures, we really haven't been able to budge much
over the past several hours, with highs generally in the
mid upper 40s this afternoon. Still expecting lows in the
low mid 40s, and possibly upper 30s across the higher
elevations of the catskills before temperatures again peak in
the mid upper 40s Friday afternoon.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
230 pm update...

high pressure will move overhead Saturday. After a frosty start,
temperatures MAX out in the mid and upper 50s. This is slightly
below average. As the high and upper level ridge moves east
late Saturday and Saturday night, mid and high clouds come in
from the southwest. This is on the north side of a storm moving
through the mid atlantic states. The trend with this storm is
too push it south keeping any rain out of the area. The euro
still holds on to some light rain Sunday but other models now
dry. With dry low level air Saturday night lows fall back into
the 30s to around 40. Slightly warmer on Sunday with highs
around 60.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday
230 pm update...

this period starts with an upper level ridge over the northeast
us. Moisture will be pumped northeast ahead of a deep trough and
cold front over the plains. The trend has been to slow the front
down so now it moves through late Tuesday. Rain should hold off
until Monday night but lingers into Tuesday night. After the
rain during the last 24 hours, will need to watch the rain
amounts for this system. Moisture fetch is good. The upper
level trough lifts northeast through the area Wednesday.

Wednesday into Thursday improving weather.

A temperature roller coaster with temperatures warming ahead of
the front into Tuesday then falling again Wednesday and
Thursday. Low temperatures warm well into the 40s Monday night
then fall back into the 30s Thursday morning. Highs peak Monday
in the low and mid 60s, change little Tuesday, then fall into
the 50s the rest of the week.

Aviation 19z Thursday through Tuesday
145 pm update...

still looking at mainly MVFR and fuel alternate ceilings this
afternoon, through the evening across all terminals. Lingering
showers may cause temporary MVFR visibility restrictions at
times over the next few hours, with ceilings possibly dropping
to ifr across all sites save rme and avp. Otherwise, still
looking at a risk for some low-level wind shear up to 30-45kts
until around 0z.

Lingering showers overnight are not expected to cause any
impacts, but ceilings will continue to drop back mainly to fuel
alternate across all terminals, but ifr ceilings are expected by
10z at ith, bgm and elm. Ceilings improve to fuel alternate and
MVFR after sunrise.

Gusty NW winds are expected the rest of today through Friday.

Wind gusts mainly around 20-30kts this afternoon drop back to
around 16-25kts tonight, then gusts up to 20kts are possible
Friday.

Outlook...

Friday night through Sunday... MainlyVFR. Morning fog
possible.

Monday and Tuesday... Restrictions possible in showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp hlc
short term... Tac
long term... Tac
aviation... Hlc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY24 mi62 minWNW 14 G 3010.00 miLight Rain43°F39°F89%995.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8SE9SE8S9NW12
G19
NW8
G17
NW7N8NW7W8NW8W9W8NW10
G17
NW8
G19
W9W13
G18
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W17
G30
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G28
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G31
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1 day ago6S76SE4S5S6S4S5SE8SE7SE9SE9S8S10SE10SE9SE8S11S11
G21
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G19
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G20
S9S9
G18
S15
G27
2 days agoW15
G21
W8N7N14
G19
N11NW8NW5W3W3W3W3SW3W3W3NW4NW4NW3W4W4W3SW5S4SW6Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.