Oswayo, PA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oswayo, PA

June 22, 2024 12:20 AM EDT (04:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:30 AM   Sunset 8:48 PM
Moonrise 9:07 PM   Moonset 4:38 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Expires:202406211500;;408642 Fzus51 Kbuf 211343 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 943 am edt Fri jun 21 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez040-041-211500- buffalo to ripley along lake erie- 943 am edt Fri jun 21 2024

Today - North winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers late. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - West winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday - Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.

Monday - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest less than 10 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

LEZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oswayo , PA
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Area Discussion for - State College, PA
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FXUS61 KCTP 220246 AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 1046 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Heat will peak this weekend. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will occur again Saturday afternoon and evening.
The showers and storms will be more numerous on Sunday as a cold front pushes into the Commonwealth and gusty winds along with heavy rain may accompany these slow moving storms. Some relief from the heat and humidity is expected Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
Showers and a few ltg strikes left over the middle Susq, but the rest of the area is dry. Those few returns are likely the last gasp for tonight. Tweaks made to the near term temp/dew/sky trends, but nothing substantial. Stability and some clearing will allow some fog to form, mainly in the areas that got rain, and mainly in the valleys.

SHORT TERM /8 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Expect the low to mid level west to southwesterly flow to freshen over the upcoming weekend which will accentuate the already high temperatures/hot conditions with some downslope/adiabatic warming of the air.

Heat builds to a crescendo Saturday through Sunday with daytime heat indices likely to eclipse 100F both days over the far south and southeast, and nighttime lows peaking Sat night/Sunday morning in the mid to upper 70s in these areas.

In the midst of the ongoing Heat Advisory, it is worth noting that the experimental HeatRisk product paints the highest risk levels of the week occurring on Saturday and Sunday. If you have plans to do anything outside, plan to drink plenty of water and have options for getting relief from the heat.

As the upper ridge breaks down and deep layer shear values trend higher, a more organized severe t-storm threat may develop this weekend. SPC has introduced MRGL risk outlooks for both Saturday and Sunday. Speaking anecdotally from ~20 years experience, prolonged periods of heat in CPA are often broken by at least a semi-organized convective t-storm event. That being said, we could envision a higher SWO risk level in the cards.

The heat advisory continues through Saturday and will need to be extended for the southeast half of central PA on Sunday.
It's possible local heat indices could reach warning criteria ~105F in parts of the middle and lower Susquehanna Valley this weekend and will message that in the updated NPW and DSS briefing.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
No substantial changes will be forthcoming with the late evening update. Frontal passage mid-week should knock back the return of the heat.

Prev...
Upper ridge continue to flatten Saturday night and Sunday with the warmest overnight temperatures of this heat episode expected into Sunday morning. A round of showers/tsra will accompany this flattening as a cold front crosses central PA Sunday afternoon through Monday morning, but one more day of dangerous heat is expected over the southeast third of central PA Sunday afternoon with heat indices approaching or exceeding 100F. We'll be extending the Heat Advisory through Sunday evening for the Lower Susq River Valley as a result.

Behind the cold front, we expect still warm but much less humid conditions to arrive by Monday and last into Tuesday, as dewpoints drop into the 50s. This temporary relief from the heat will give way to another surge of heat and humidity for late Tuesday through Wednesday before a more refreshing air mass arrives for Thursday and Friday of next week.

AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Widespread VFR will continue for most of the area through the TAF period. Patchy fog will develop overnight into early Sat in areas that saw rain today. Best chance for fog will be at IPT, which was the only airfield with measurable precipitation today.

VFR conditions will prevail on Saturday with only very brief restrictions possible from an isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Saturday will be the warmest day of this stretch for most locations and pilots can expect high density altitude conditions.

Outlook...

Sat-Sun...Predominantly VFR, with continued heat and isold aftn/eve SHRA/TSRA. Density altitude concerns possible.

Mon...Predominantly VFR, with brief reductions possible in scattered SHRA/TSRA as a cold front crosses the area.

Tues...VFR, no sig wx expected.

CLIMATE
A heat wave will continue through the weekend with near-record temperatures forecast in some locations Saturday and Sunday.

Daily record highs for Saturday June 22 and Sunday June 23:

6/22 6/23 State College 93 (1988) 91 (1966) Harrisburg 97 (1988) 97 (1965) Williamsport 97 (1988) 94 (1923)
Altoona 91 (2022) 90 (1994)
Bradford 93 (2022) 86 (2013)

The following records have been set during this stretch of heat:

BFD: * A record high temperature of 89 degrees was tied at Bradford on Friday June 21st, tying the record set in 2022.
* A record high temperature of 90 degrees was set at Bradford on Thursday June 20th breaking the old record of 88 degrees set in 2012.
* A record high temperature of 88 degrees was set at Bradford on Wednesday June 19, breaking the old record of 87 degrees set in 1987.

IPT: * A record high temperature of 98 degrees was set at Williamsport on Friday June 21st, breaking the old record of 97 degrees set in 1923 and tied in 1933.

Highest Max Temperatures for Central Pennsylvania Observing sites for June (date of occurrence is in parentheses:

State College 96 in 1952 (26th) and 1933 (29th)
Harrisburg 100 in 1966 (27th), 1952 (26th), and 1934 (29th)
Williamsport 104 in 1925 (5th)
Altoona 97 in 1971 (28th) and 1953 (21st)
Bradford 93 in 2022 (22nd)

Longest run of consecutive days with max temp >=90 in June:

State College 6 (24-29th 1966) /current streak=0/ Harrisburg 10* (19-28th 1943) /current streak=5/ Williamsport 9 (18-26th 1923) /current streak=5/ Altoona 8 (13-20th 1994) /current streak=5/ Bradford 1 (20th 2024) /current streak=0/

*Harrisburg had a run of 11 days with temperatures greater than 90 degrees that started on 26th and ended on July 6th in 1901.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for PAZ004>006-010>012- 017>019-024>027-033>035-037-041-042-045-046.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for PAZ028-036-049>053- 056>059-063>066.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 77 mi50 min 76°F 30.08
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 81 mi50 min0G2.9 75°F 76°F30.0871°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 81 mi80 minS 4.1G5.1 77°F 30.11


Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KELZ WELLSVILLE MUNI ARPT,TARANTINE FLD,NY 14 sm24 mincalm5 smClear Mist 70°F70°F100%30.20
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Wind History graph: ELZ
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State College, PA,




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