Thursday, January23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Ewen, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:00PM Thursday January 23, 2020 7:10 AM EST (12:10 UTC) Moonrise 7:30AMMoonset 4:48PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 612 Am Est Thu Jan 23 2020
Today..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sat..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain.
Sat night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Rain in the evening, then chance of rain and sleet after midnight.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..W winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 612 Am Est Thu Jan 23 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will remain across the area through Friday. Low pressure tracks across the region over the weekend and into the maritimes on Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Ewen, NY
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location: 41.92, -73.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 231124 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 624 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will move off the Mid Atlantic Coast today with temperatures rising above normal this afternoon. After another chilly night tonight, Friday will be dry with above normal temperatures. A storm system will approach from the south and west Friday night bringing rain and snow to the region over the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Updated at 545 am. Temperatures continue to fall steadily despite the presence of some high cloudiness early this morning. Current temperatures range from the teens in the mid-Hudson Valley and Capital District, to the single digits in the Lake George and Saratoga region, and near zero in Adirondacks. Current forecast is in good shape and just made minor changes in latest update to reflect current conditions. Previous discussion is below.

A high pressure ridge extends from western New England southwestward across Pennsylvania and Virginia early this morning. Some high level cloudiness is moving across the area but these clouds are thin which has allowed for some radiational cooling and temperatures falling in the teens and single digits.

High pressure along the mid-Atlantic coast will bring fair weather across the area today with sunshine through high clouds. 850 mb temperatures will rise to between 1 and 3 degrees C. With winds remaining light we won't see full mixing of these temperatures, but still high temperatures today should reach the mid 30s to lower 40s which is nearly 10 degrees above normal for late January.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Temperatures tonight will be a little tricky as high pressure ridging along the east coast will bring another night with light winds and radiational cooling potential. However it looks like clouds will be increasing and overall we are not expecting temperatures to get quite as cold as early this morning. However we have lowered blended guidance values down at least a few degrees across the area to cover for expected low temperatures mainly in the teens.

Friday will be another mild, dry day as high pressure moves east across Quebec toward northern New England and the Canadian maritimes. Temperatures may even be a few degrees warmer than today with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Low pressure will approach the area Friday night with increasing clouds, then precipitation will overspread the area on Saturday as a primary area of low pressure moves northeast toward the western Great Lakes while secondary low pressure develops over Pennsylvania or Maryland.

A period of moderate precipitation looks quite likely Saturday afternoon into Saturday night as secondary cyclogenesis occurs near the northern mid-Atlantic coast and tracks north. Precipitation type with this system is still somewhat uncertain, however our operational models have been trending warmer with this system and it appears that rain will be the most favored precipitation type for many areas. A brief period of snow may occur on the front side of the storm early Saturday afternoon as precipitation overspreads the area, however warming aloft and at the surface should change the precipitation over to rain over lower elevations including the Hudson and Mohawk Valleys by mid to late afternoon. There may be a period of freezing rain over higher terrain and north of I-90 later Saturday or Saturday night as the warm nose aloft overspreads that area while surface temperatures will be near freezing. Meanwhile from the Capital District southward we area expecting the entire column to be above freezing by late Saturday with rain the most likely precipitation type. However, its important to realize that this storm is still 3 days away and minor changes in the track and intensity could still produce slightly different thermal profiles and precipitation types vs. what is now expected. Based on the current expected track of the mid-to-upper level system across upstate NY we expect a dry slot to move rapidly northward across our area Saturday evening, which will cut back on precipitation amounts to the point where heavy rain potential does not look high at this time.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Storm begins to wind down on Sunday as upper level low and associated surface low track across the northern CWA and out of our area. Within this cyclonic flow regime, precipitation will be favored in upslope regions. Thus highest POPs posted for the western Adirondacks. Despite the transiting of an upper level low in January, temperatures will not be too cold. 850mb temps are about +3-5C above the later January norm of -9C. So, highs on Sunday around freezing highest elevations and upper 30s to low 40s valley locations. Snowfall totals of around an inch or two seem likely for the western Adirondacks. This total may be somewhat on the low side. Will continue to monitor.

Monday the upper level low continues to pull away from the region, although cyclonic flow continues. Again, best chances for some snow are in the upslope regions of the Adirondacks. Temperatures continue above normal with highs in the upper 20s highest elevations to around 40 mid-Hudson Valley.

Ridging aloft and at the surface yields a dry Tuesday. Temperatures once again are above normal with readings similar to Monday.

Models diverge for Wednesday, with the high pressure dominating in the ECMWF. A trough transits the region in the GFS solution bringing some light precipitation. The forecast leans toward the ECMWF. Needless to say, temperatures on Wednesday will once again be above normal.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. No changes since the 06z forecast . VFR conditions all terminals through the forecast period.

High pressure at the surface and aloft yields VFR conditions. Just high clouds passing through.

Outlook .

Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: High Operational Impact. Definite SN. Saturday Night: High Operational Impact Definite RA. SN. Sunday: High Operational Impact Likely RA. SN. Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. No significant hydro problems are expected in the ALY HSA waterways the next several days. Dry and cold weather is expected through Friday night. This will allow ice to form, thicken and strengthen on area bodies of water.

The next chance of widespread precipitation will be on the weekend when a complex storm system may bring snow or a mix of precipitation types to the region. The precipitation may be mostly rain in valleys, and more snow over the higher terrain, but it will be based on the track of the system and the amount of cold air in place. Total QPF may range from a third of an inch to about an inch. Some minor within bank rises are possible.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . MSE NEAR TERM . MSE SHORT TERM . MSE LONG TERM . OKeefe AVIATION . OKeefe HYDROLOGY . Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 6 mi100 min NNE 1.9 18°F 1030 hPa15°F
TKPN6 7 mi58 min Calm G 1 14°F 32°F1029.7 hPa12°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 8 mi100 min E 1 13°F 1029 hPa10°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 67 mi52 min N 1.9 G 1.9 22°F 38°F1029 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 70 mi80 min NW 5.8 G 5.8 32°F 25°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW33CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmW3CalmSW3CalmN5N3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN6N7N7NW11NW9N8N8N9N9N7N6CalmN3N3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:02 AM EST     3.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:20 AM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:22 PM EST     4.15 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:48 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:02 PM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.12.41.70.90.3-0.2-00.81.92.93.74.14.13.52.61.70.8-0-0.4-00.81.82.6

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:58 AM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:02 PM EST     3.59 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:48 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:40 PM EST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.51.91.20.60.1-0.20.211.92.73.33.63.42.821.20.4-0.2-0.30.211.82.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.