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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Conneaut, OH

February 8, 2025 1:41 PM EST (18:41 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:25 AM   Sunset 5:49 PM
Moonrise 1:29 PM   Moonset 5:01 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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LEZ148 Expires:202502081515;;485006 Fzus51 Kcle 080836 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 336 am est Sat feb 8 2025
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez147>149-081515- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh-geneva-on-the- lake to conneaut oh-conneaut oh to ripley ny- 336 am est Sat feb 8 2025

Today - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. A slight chance of snow early this afternoon. Snow late. The lake is mostly ice covered.

Tonight - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Snow with a slight chance of freezing rain in the evening, then a chance of snow overnight.

Sunday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow in the morning.

Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers in the evening.
waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 34 degrees, off cleveland 33 degrees, and off erie 32 degrees.
LEZ100
No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Conneaut, OH
   
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Area Discussion for Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 081808 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 108 PM EST Sat Feb 8 2025

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will move across the southern half of the area this afternoon and evening before exiting to the east late tonight.
High pressure will build east over the region Sunday into Monday before a series of systems cross the area Tuesday and late Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
1 PM update...
Opted to hold with the Winter Weather Advisory for now, with freezing rain accumulation up to one quarter inch for a swath from Marion to Youngstown. Will need to monitor trends closely as the precipitation moves into the local area, although initial precipitation rates with the freezing rain may be heavy enough that radial ice accumulation is inefficient. Otherwise, some minor timing and temperatures adjustments to the forecast.

Previous Discussion...
Dry weather with high clouds will persist through this morning, but the weather will become unsettled by this afternoon. Low pressure will lift northeast out of the Mid- Mississippi Valley early afternoon before tracking east across the southern half of the area late afternoon into the evening. Isentropic lift a head of the low will allow precipitation chances to rapidly increase from the southwest early this afternoon and spread northeast into the evening.

Overall, the big picture of the forecast remains the same; a wintry mix of snow/sleet/freezing rain is expected across the area this afternoon and evening with snow most likely along the northern fringes of the area and a longer duration of freezing rain likely in the southern portion of the CWA The placement of the transition zones for ptype will remain fickle and will depend on the exact placement of the low, so any accumulations will be subject to minor changes in future updates. The wintry mix will most likely transition to snow as cold air advection develops behind the low as it moves east into central PA. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect starting at 18Z/1 PM today and will end for zones outside of the snowbelt at 06Z/1 AM Sunday.

The axis of freezing rain has shifted inland from the lakeshore and largely focused along and south of U.S. 30 so ice accumulations may only amount to a trace (or less) across the Toledo area and across Lake/Ashtabula/Erie counties in NE OH/NW OH. With that being said, ice accumulations have trended a bit higher in southern zones and a swath of the local area from roughly southern Wyandot county through Wayne County and south into northern Knox County may receive up to two-tenths of an inch of ice accumulation. High resolution guidance is hinting at an outside chance of locally higher ice accumulations to a quarter inch or more, but confidence in the placement/coverage of higher accumulations is too low to warrant an upgrade to an Ice Storm Warning. Will need to continue to monitor the ice forecast and adjust headlines as needed. There will most likely be a sharp gradient between freezing rain/rain and locations along the southern border of the area (roughly southern Morrow to Stark counties) may see more rain than freezing rain. However, any southward shift in the low would result in higher ice accumulations. Winds will likely pick up later tonight with gusts to 20 mph likely after about 10 PM, so this may cause some issues with branches/power lines. By that point, most of the precip should've transitioned to snow.

Total snow/sleet accumulations will be under an inch at inland locations, but a swath of 1 to 2 inches is likely from roughly Lucas County east into southern Crawford County, PA. Lingering lake effect snow into Sunday will result in higher storm total amounts of 2 to 3 inches from Lake/Geauga counties east into Crawford County, PA with higher amounts of 3 to 5 inches likely across the higher terrain of Ashtabula and Erie County. The Winter Weather Advisory will end at 12Z Sunday for the snowbelt of NE OH/NW PA.

High pressure will build east across the area during the day Sunday and any remaining snow showers will taper off early in the day. Dry weather will be favored for the remainder of the near term period.

Highs will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s today, but a few spots in southern zones may touch the mid 30s for a brief period today.
Tonight's lows are expected to fall into the lower 20s. Sunday's maximum temps will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
A broad area of high pressure extending from the northern Plains will influence the local area during the short term.
Skies will scatter out or clear across much of the area on Sunday night allowing for good radiational cooling and lows dropping into the teens. Monday will be dry with an expanding cirrus deck and high temperatures that are slightly below normal. On Tuesday an upper level trough will slide southeast out of Canada towards the northern Great Lakes. The associated cold front will lack moisture but will settle southeast across the area on Tuesday. The forecast contains a chance of snow showers but with little if any accumulation. Temperatures at 850mb will settle into the -8 to -13C range behind the front and re-establish cold surface temperatures in the teens across the area Tuesday night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The next system to monitor is still on track to impact the region on Wednesday night. Low pressure is forecast to track northeast through the Ohio Valley towards western New York by Thursday morning. This occurs as shortwave energy aloft lifts northeast towards the region while a trough moving southeast out of Canada phases with the broad longwave trough evolving out of the Great Basin. This system will be accompanied by a good push of Gulf moisture with overall qpf amounts of approximately a quarter to a half inch. Model trends over the last 24 hours point towards a more northerly storm track with both the GFS and ECMWF over Northeast Ohio by 12Z Thursday. While initially precip type looked primarily like snow, warm air aloft may result in either a wintry mix of sleet/freezing rain or even possibly a transition to rain for a portion of the southern counties. It is a little too soon to have much confidence in the storm track but will be keeping a close eye on pattern evolution and storm track heading into next week. Locations in Northwest Ohio look more likely to see snow from this system.
Kept precipitation type as all snow in the forecast for now but did start to trend Wednesday night lows upward.

A cold front will be pulled south behind this system with scattered snow showers possible into Thursday. High will remain below normal for the remainder of the long term forecast.

AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/
Rapidly deteriorating conditions expected from west to east across the terminals during the first part of the TAF period.
Widespread precipitation and IFR conditions expected through at least 00Z before precipitation ends from west to east as a quick moving low tracks eastward between the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Most terminals will see some quick SHSN before a transition to mixed precipitation, mainly FZRA. Some brief PL possible at KTOL and KCLE but the predominant ptype is expected to be SN or FZRA, with KFDY east to KYNG expected to see several hours of FZRA. IFR conditions persist across the region after 00Z through 12Z, with some -SHSN possible at KCLE and KERI.
Some improvement in ceilings expected towards 12Z through the end of the period, although IFR will hang on a bit longer across eastern terminals. East winds at the onset of the period will become northwest overnight as the low passes south of the area.

Outlook...Non-VFR in snow showers and clouds will likely persist across northeastern Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania into Sunday. Non-VFR may return in snow across the southern half of the area on Tuesday and again on Wednesday.

MARINE
High pressure will depart to the east today while low pressure tracks northeast through the Ohio Valley, reaching western Pennsylvania by tonight. Easterly winds will increase to around 15 knots before backing to northeast at 15 to 20 knots tonight, and then northwesterly on Sunday. Winds will decrease to 10 knots or less by Sunday night as a ridge of high pressure extends from the Upper Midwest. The high will maintain winds of 15 knots or less through Tuesday.

The next impactful system to monitor will be associated with low pressure tracking northeast through the Ohio Valley on Wednesday night. The track and strength of this system is still likely to change but northerly winds are expected to increase to 20 knots or more with a storm track south of Lake Erie.

Small Craft Advisory issuance remains suspended until further notice due to extensive ice cover.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for OHZ003- 006>011-017>023-027>033-036>038-047.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for OHZ012>014- 089.
PA...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for PAZ001>003.
MARINE...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 3 mi42 minE 4.1G5.1
ASBO1 15 mi42 minESE 4.1G5.1
WCRP1 18 mi42 min0G5.1 28°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 25 mi72 minESE 7G11
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 42 mi54 min 29°F 32°F29.9814°F
NREP1 44 mi72 minSE 2.9G8.9 28°F


Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KHZY NORTHEAST OHIO RGNL,OH 15 sm48 minSE 0810 smOvercast27°F14°F59%30.02
KERI ERIE INTL/TOM RIDGE FIELD,PA 21 sm50 minSSE 0510 smOvercast27°F12°F54%30.06

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes  
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Cleveland, OH,





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