Fair Plain, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fair Plain, MI

June 22, 2024 12:15 AM EDT (04:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:08 AM   Sunset 9:24 PM
Moonrise 9:43 PM   Moonset 5:13 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 1031 Pm Edt Fri Jun 21 2024

Overnight - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.

Sunday - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 61 degrees and at michigan city is 69 degrees.

LMZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 212320 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 720 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

KEY MESSAGES

* Dangerous heat and humidity will persist into Saturday.

* There is a low chance (20-30%) for isolated storms this afternoon into early this evening across far ne IN, sc MI and far nw OH.

* A cold front will bring better chances (50-80%) for showers and storms late Saturday night into Sunday morning, followed by dry and cooler (near normal) temperatures into Monday.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 230 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Pooled moisture/instability near a loosely defined sfc trough may be enough to generate isolated afternoon convection in far ne IN, far nw OH and sc MI through early this evening. Similar to previous days, little shear/flow/forcing to speak of with non- severe pulse type cells favored (a few gusts > 40 mph). Dry and hot under a scattered diurnal cu field otherwise with a strong TN Valley centered upper ridge continuing to dominate.

A series of shortwaves will track out of the Rockies into the Upper Midwest on Saturday, and through the Great Lakes Sunday into Monday.
This will suppress the positive height anomaly southwest into the Southern Plains. Southwest flow will deepen in response to the approaching system tonight through Saturday evening, pushing the leftover boundary well north of the area with dry conditions and somewhat breezy southwest winds (gusts 20-25 mph on Sat). Highs on Saturday should push the mid 90s across the entire area with peak PM heat indices making one last run at 100F.

Height falls through the Great Lakes will eventually force a cold front southeast through the area later Saturday night into Sunday morning with a better opportunity for showers and storms.
Instability magnitudes will be limited given poor diurnal timing and meager mid level lapse rates. A weakening, outflow dominant, area on sub-severe convection likely survives into northern portions of the area later Saturday night in this environment, with the cold front off to the southeast by peak heating Sunday.

Sfc anticyclone will briefly build in Sunday night into Monday behind Sunday's cold front with a welcomed cooldown (seasonable temps). Theta-e ridge then tries to build in Tuesday into early Wednesday as warm advection ramps up in advance of the next approaching upper level wave, and behind the exiting sfc high. This pattern favors a few convective systems, and possible a very hot/muggy Tuesday, though confidence remains on the low side regarding PoPs and temps given lingering model differences. Dry and seasonable wx then to follow for the second half of the week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 720 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Substantial diurnal mixing and warm temps aloft will keep our area stable and dry through the period. Subtle boundary across Michigan will lift even further north on Sat as weak shortwave/ surface low approach. The associated cold front will bring a chance of storms after 00Z Sat night. SW winds will increase ahead of this system on Sat as well with gusts to 25 kts likely, especially at KSBN.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Saturday for INZ005>008-012>015-020-022-023-103-104-116-203-204-216.
Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Saturday for INZ009-017- 018-024>027-032>034.
Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for INZ020-103-203.
OH...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Saturday for OHZ001-002- 004-005-015-016-024-025.
MI...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for MIZ078>081-177-277.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi75 minS 1.9G7 83°F 30.09
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 10 mi35 minS 9.7G12 80°F 75°F1 ft30.0869°F
45168 24 mi35 minSSE 5.8G7.8 78°F 74°F0 ft30.0469°F
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi35 minE 8G9.9 81°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi105 minWSW 8.9G9.9 85°F 30.0165°F
45170 34 mi115 minS 5.8G5.8 77°F 1 ft30.09
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 46 mi35 minSSW 4.1G5.1 82°F 30.07


Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBEH SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN RGNL,MI 5 sm22 minSSE 0310 smClear81°F68°F66%30.06
KLWA SOUTH HAVEN AREA RGNL,MI 23 sm20 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy77°F68°F74%30.06
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Wind History graph: BEH
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Northern Indiana, IN,




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