Thursday, November21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:39AMSunset 5:21PM Thursday November 21, 2019 4:09 PM EST (21:09 UTC) Moonrise 1:31AMMoonset 2:56PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 349 Pm Est Thu Nov 21 2019
.gale warning in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 pm est this evening through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..Southwest 20 to 25 knots shifting to the northwest 15 to 25 knots this evening. Gusts up to 35 knot gales early this evening diminishing to 30 knots. Cloudy. Slight chance of showers and patchy drizzle through midnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet occasionally to 10 feet.
Friday..Northwest wind 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly clear through midnight then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 41 degrees...and 42 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:201911220530;;619801 FZUS53 KIWX 212049 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 349 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-220530-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KIWX 211958 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 258 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 258 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Areas of light rain and drizzle will continue into this evening as a cold front moves through. It will also remain breezy with temperatures near 50 degrees. Cooler and drier air will then filter in behind this front later tonight into Friday. Lows tonight will fall into the 30s, with highs on Friday near 40 degrees. An upper level system will bring a chance for rain and snow later Saturday morning through Saturday evening, with dry and seasonable conditions to follow Sunday and Monday.

SHORT TERM. (This Evening through Friday) Issued at 258 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

More organized, warm advection driven, rain shower activity associated with a shortwave working east into the Great Lakes has shifted northeast of the area. However, still can expect areas of light rain and drizzle into this evening given a moist low level environment and weak ascent along and in advance of a trailing cold front. Remaining breezy and somewhat mild otherwise into this evening.

Chillier air will infiltrate post-frontal later tonight into Friday as weak high pressure ridging builds in from the west. This subsident regime should aid in clearing out low clouds from nw to se later Friday morning into early Friday afternoon.

LONG TERM. (Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 258 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

12z global model guidance came in less enthusiastic overall with wet snow prospects Saturday afternoon/evening given less interaction with southwest CONUS upper low ejecting east toward the Mid MS/OH Valleys and trailing northern stream shortwave energy. The result was a slightly weaker and farther south- southeast sfc reflection track, with latest model consensus favoring areas southeast of US 24 for deformation precipitation. Precipitation within this deformation zone (wherever it ends up) would likely start as a wintry mix and then change over to a period of wet snow in response to strong upward vertical motion and thickness collapse under the upper level feature. Some slushy accumulation still appears possible (best chances southeast of US 24), though confidence remains very low given run to run inconsistencies. A reverse back to a stronger/farther north solution would not at all be a surprise. Seasonable temps and dry conditions then follow regardless into Sunday and Monday, with a good shot for a solid rain and wind maker by around Tuesday as deepening cutter makes a run northeast through the Great Lakes.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon) Issued at 1256 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

Pre-frontal trough type feature/warm advection induced rainfall continues to spread across northeast Indiana early this afternoon. Strong gradient and eastward migration of strong sfc pressure falls approaching the western Great Lakes has allowed for increase in southwesterly winds over the past few hours. Southwest winds of 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 30 to 35 knots will be possible through the afternoon hours as sfc low pressure slowly deepens across east central Wisconsin. Bulk of warm advection/pre-frontal precip should gradually shift eastward over next few hours. Some additional light rain or drizzle will be possible with cold frontal passage later this afternoon into this evening. Cigs should continue to deteriorate to lower end MVFR and possibly IFR levels this afternoon, with gradual improvement late tonight in post-frontal cold advection. Cigs should tend to scatter during the morning Friday as much drier low level air advects across northern Indiana.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . NONE. MI . NONE. OH . NONE. LM . Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for LMZ043-046.

Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ043-046.



SYNOPSIS . Steinwedel SHORT TERM . Steinwedel LONG TERM . Steinwedel AVIATION . Marsili

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook . Twitter . and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana www.twitter.com/nwsiwx www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi69 min SSW 19 G 26 50°F 1004.4 hPa (-2.0)
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi39 min S 25 G 28 49°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi39 min SW 24 G 26 53°F 50°F

Wind History for Holland, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last
24hr
S8
G11
S8
SE4
E6
E9
G12
E9
SE11
G16
SE11
G14
SE10
G17
SE10
G15
SE8
G13
SE9
G16
SE9
G16
SE12
G19
SE11
G25
SE16
G26
SE17
G30
SE17
G25
S19
G26
S21
G27
S24
G31
S24
G29
S25
G31
S26
1 day
ago
SW7
W6
W6
W7
W8
W11
W5
G8
NW6
NW7
NW5
NW5
W7
W6
W5
W6
E5
E4
E3
SE2
S6
S6
S10
S12
S12
2 days
ago
E2
W7
W8
NW8
NW6
NE5
E4
E4
E5
E5
E4
E4
E4
E4
E3
NE2
G5
SE7
SE6
G12
S8
G11
S10
SE9
G12
S11
S8
SW7

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi16 minWSW 25 G 399.00 miOvercast and Windy54°F48°F83%1005.6 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi13 minSW 20 G 3010.00 miOvercast and Breezy54°F53°F99%1004.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBEH

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last 24hrW3CalmSE4SE5SE6SE7S7S8S9S8
G16
S9S11S9
G16
S13
G20
SE11
G21
S10
G19
S13
G20
S13
G23
S15
G24
S15
G25
SW12
G28
SW13
G23
SW17
G30
W25
G39
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW75SW4S3W4W5
2 days agoW7W5W5W4W3CalmS3S3S4SW4SW4SW4SW4S4CalmS4S6SW6SW4--------NW4

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to store settings on the weather pages so that you return to the same settings when you click the weather pages. This is necessary to save your setup information. There are also cookies used if you click the save location button.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data period. I do log page view information to monitor the health of the site and to block abusive actors. I also host ads from Google. They may or may not sell your data. Please adjust your account settings with them if you wich. This site does not fall under the terms of the CCPA or GDPR due to its size and target audiance.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.