Thursday, January23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 8:03AMSunset 5:49PM Thursday January 23, 2020 2:32 PM EST (19:32 UTC) Moonrise 7:22AMMoonset 4:39PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 1108 Am Est Thu Jan 23 2020
Rest of today..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Rain likely. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tonight..East wind 5 to 15 knots. Rain likely. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Friday..East wind 5 to 15 knots. Rain. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Friday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots veering west after midnight. Rain and snow. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off michigan city is 33 and 34 degrees at st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:202001232315;;397509 FZUS53 KIWX 231608 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1108 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-232315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 231711 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1212 PM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 306 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

A mixture of light rain and light snow is expected at times today across northwest Indiana and southwest Lower Michigan. Dry conditions are expected elsewhere into early this evening with cloudy skies and highs in the mid 30s to low 40s. A low pressure system will then lift into the area later tonight into Friday with periods of rain. Some snow could mix in at times, especially later Friday night and Saturday. High temperatures Friday into the weekend will generally be in the mid to upper 30s.

SHORT TERM. (Today through Friday) Issued at 306 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

Top-down saturation will eventually yield increasing probabilities for a period of light snow into nw IN and sw MI this morning into early this afternoon as broad corridor of moist isentropic ascent edges east in response to shortwave energy lifting northeast toward the Western Great Lakes. These saturation issues could allow for some sleet/rain to mix at onset, with a mix or full changeover to light rain by this afternoon as sfc temps warm into the mid 30s. Overall light intensity to any snow (coating to half inch) and marginal temps should result in minimal impact on roads. Dry/cloudy and milder elsewhere today with highs in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Several rounds of light to occasionally moderate rain are then expected later tonight into Friday as large scale ascent increases and a weak trowal feature lifts in on the northeast flank of an approaching closed low. The low level airmass should be just warm enough to keep precipitation in liquid form and temps mainly in the mid 30s. With that said there could be a brief mix with wet snow at the onset later tonight-Friday morning, best chances north of US 24/30 where light slushy accums cannot be ruled out.

LONG TERM. (Friday Night through Wednesday) Issued at 1212 PM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

The closed low will wobble overhead on Saturday, releasing east into New England by Sunday. The associated weakening deformation axis will pivot back through the area later Friday night into Saturday with numerous showers expected. Held with rain/snow mix wording during these periods given remaining questions wrt marginal boundary layer temps and possible loss of ice in DGZ before moisture wraps back through. Little, if any, snow accumulations or impacts are currently expected.

Lingering cyclonic flow off the lake will likely keep clouds and perhaps a few snow flurries/drizzle around Saturday night and Sunday, with quiet wx and above normal temps to follow into early next week.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon) Issued at 640 AM EST Thu Jan 23 2020

VFR early will give way to MVFR toward late evening and eventual IFR by daybreak Fri timed with eastward arrival of low level moisture plume along with increasing deep layered ascent. Warm boundary layer temps preclude any snow mention at this point through this fcst cycle.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . NONE. MI . NONE. OH . NONE. LM . NONE.

SYNOPSIS . Steinwedel SHORT TERM . Steinwedel LONG TERM . Steinwedel AVIATION . T

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi33 min SSW 1 G 7 38°F 1019 hPa (-1.7)
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi33 min SE 7 G 11 35°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi33 min SSE 13 G 14 35°F 31°F

Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi40 minSSE 910.00 miOvercast37°F26°F65%1019.1 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi37 minSSE 75.00 miLight Snow35°F27°F74%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBEH

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S7S8S9S8S6S9S9S7S6S7S7S6S4S4S4S5SE5SE5S4S8S9S8SE9
1 day agoW9W11W8S5S4S4S4S5S6S5S6S6S5SW5S7S6S6S7S10
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2 days agoSW3SW3S3S4S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmNW5W5W7W8W9SW11W11SW9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.