Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 4:33PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 6:09 AM EST (11:09 UTC) Moonrise 4:22PMMoonset 6:33AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
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location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 110844 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 344 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will continue to move east of the region tonight resulting in an end to rain and snow. Another weak cold front brings a few snow showers along the NY Thruway tomorrow evening before high pressure builds into the area to end the work week. Low pressure will move up the coast Saturday bringing rain.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. 1245 AM Update .

Little change with this latest update. Kept in chances for a few spotty snow showers across central NY over the next few hours with some snow showers still being reported across the area. This largely winds down by 9Z with colder, drier air (dewpoints in the teens) already working in. Otherwise, most of the lingering light snow continues over our far southeastern counties, generally southeast of a line from Ricketts Glen state park to Carbondale to Livingston Manor. Adjustments to the forecast have been to move snow out earlier than previously forecast. Most of the snow should be out by 10Z, with just a few spare snow showers possibly lingering through sunrise. Additional totals up to an inch will be possible by sunrise, but with wet roadways, snow showers, and colder air working in, roads are already turning icy tonight. This will lead to slick road conditions during the morning commute.

Previous discussion continues below.

On Wednesday, winds will shift to southwest ahead of a weak cold front moving through the Great Lakes. This should largely shut off any chance for Lake Effect snow showers. However, with an arctic airmass in place modeled boundary layer temperatures indicate a struggle into the low 30's for afternoon highs. Winds shift to westerly and northwesterly Wednesday night. Modeled wind directions will tend to favor locations along the NY Thruway for a period of more sustained Lake Effect snow showers Wednesday night with a few inches potentially falling. The highest totals should fall in northwestern Oneida county. Lows Wednesday night will fall down into the 10's.

Lake effect snow will be continuing Thursday morning across the Syracuse/Utica/Rome area off of Lake Ontario. The low level flow will shift from 290 to 250 shifting the snow showers north and out of the area by afternoon. Snowfall amounts during the day of an inch or less.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. 345 AM Update . Temperatures will be on their way back up, along with the likelihood for rain eventually as we head into the weekend.

High pressure will shove offshore Thursday night through midday Friday, though a surface ridge will extend from it to keep dry air in the lower levels and thus quiet weather. Aloft, southwest flow will gradually bring in warming temperatures and increasing moisture. High thin clouds will thus thicken with time, especially by midday Friday onward. Temperatures mainly in the 20s Thursday night, will moderate to highs of mid 30s to lower 40s on Friday.

An upper trough will amplify while taking on a negative tilt across the Mississippi to Ohio Valleys Friday-Friday night. This will cause deepening low pressure to shoot up roughly the eastern side of the Appalachians or along the East Coast late Friday into Saturday. The models do differ somewhat in this detail; ECMWF goes pretty much directly over our region whereas GFS and Canadian models are more right along the coast. Tail end of the NAM run seems to be somewhere in between; if anything, closer to the ECMWF. The footprint of this system is large enough to where the end result is similar in terms of rain being very likely Friday night into Saturday; the question will be how much based on which school-of-thought turns out correct. Also, with such warm thermal profiles aloft, we will have to monitor potential for brief freezing rain/ice if initial precipitation develops early enough for higher terrain east of I-81 on Friday; and perhaps northern Oneida County into Friday evening. Model consensus has been to delay the precipitation a bit however, to the point that much of Friday could be dry albeit cloudy before rain presses south to north late afternoon-evening.

Other than northern Oneida which may be near freezing initially, lows Friday night will generally be mid 30s-near 40 and rising, followed by highs of 40s-near 50 Saturday.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. 345 AM Update . Colder air wraps back across the area during the second half of the weekend into early next week, with snow showers perhaps mixed with rain showers at times. Another system may then move into the area by next Monday night-Tuesday.

Low pressure will pass by the area by Saturday night, with cold air advection changing remaining precipitation to snow or mixed rain-snow. There could be some snow accumulation especially in parts of Central New York Saturday night-early Sunday, and perhaps lake-enhanced/lake-effect snow showers later Sunday through Sunday night focused more on the typical northern zones.

With our active pattern continuing unabated, a brief brief Monday appears likely to give away to another system advancing out of our southwest Monday night or Tuesday. While models all generally have the system, they differ considerably on track and strength of the associated wave/low. Right now, odds favor some sort of all snow, to snow/mix scenario. There could be some accumulations with this, but things could easily change considering it is still about a week out; we will sort it out in coming days.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A few lingering snow showers may lead to temporary MVFR to fuel alternate visibility and ceiling restrictions at SYR, ITH, BGM and AVP, but snow showers end by 9Z as colder, drier air works in. Otherwise, generally VFR ceilings at around 3500 to 5000 ft across all terminals except for BGM and ITH. MVFR ceilings continue at BGM and ITH with a broken cloud deck at around 2500 to 2800 ft.

After sunrise, ceilings are expected to lift to around 3500 to 5000 ft across all terminals, finally scattering out by this evening with VFR conditions everywhere except RME and SYR. Lake effect snow showers will be possible there overnight, with generally MVFR ceilings and minor visibility restrictions - but we cannot rule out brief periods of IFR restrictions overnight in any heavier snow bands.

Outlook .

Thursday . Snow showers possible near KSYR and KRME with MVFR- IFR restrictions, otherwise VFR expected.

Thursday night . VFR expected areawide.

Friday . VFR to start, then rain moves in late with possible restrictions.

Friday night through Sunday . Restrictions likely in periods of rain through Saturday then rain and snow showers on Sunday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . DGM/MWG NEAR TERM . DGM/HLC/MWG/TAC SHORT TERM . MDP LONG TERM . MDP AVIATION . BJT/HLC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi57 min SSE 5.1 G 7 1023.2 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi76 minN 610.00 miOvercast22°F16°F78%1021.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SW8SW7SW10W10W14
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1 day agoS7S5S6SE9S6S6S7S9S8S15
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2 days agoS6S5SE7S6S8S8
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S10S9SW8S6S9S5S6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.