Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 5:06PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 8:54 AM EST (13:54 UTC) Moonrise 5:43AMMoonset 3:00PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
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location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 221137 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 637 AM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the eastern seaboard will provide our region with fair weather and gradual warming through Friday. An area of low pressure is expected to approach from the Ohio Valley Friday night and redevelop along the Mid-Atlantic coast Saturday. This coastal storm will likely track up the New England coast through Sunday. There is a potential for accumulating snow with the weekend system although rain may mix in and cut down on snowfall totals, especially in the lower elevations on Saturday. High pressure builds back in by early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. 630 AM Update . Updated early morning temperatures to capture the variability of the overnight lows and sky cover to better depict the dissipation of the lake-effect clouds later this morning.

330 AM Discussion . Early morning surface analysis shows a 1033 mb high centered over the Ohio Valley/mid Atlantic that extends northeastward into the Northeast states. A tranquil weather pattern will continue as the high remains anchored over the region through the near term.

Westerly flow in the boundary layer around the periphery of low- level ridge (centered over the Mid South) has resulted in a persistent stratocu deck downwind of Lake Ontario in CNY along and north of the Thruway. These clouds have prevented temperatures from falling much during the night (currently low to mid 20s). Meanwhile, temperatures have dropped into the single digits in the sheltered areas where there is light winds and clear skies.

The low clouds east of Lake Ontario are expected to dissipate between mid morning and midday. Meanwhile, high clouds will start to stream in from the west this afternoon but sunshine should still filter through the thin cirrus deck. The light southerly return flow will promote a gradual warming trend. High temperatures in the mid 30s will be commonplace.

High clouds will continue to stream atop the mid-level ridge tonight. Current thinking is the cirrus shouldn't have a huge influence on temperatures. Accordingly, favorable radiational cooling conditions are expected with a weak pressure gradient overhead. Went a few degrees below stat guidance for the typical sheltered spots that radiate effectively under this setup. Forecast lows generally range between 9 and 17F.

The southerly return flow will persist into Thursday and aid in the warming trend. Forecast high temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s are 6-12 degrees above normal for late January. High clouds will continue to stream into the area and may become thick enough later in the day to result in mostly cloudy skies.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Warm air continues to stream into the area Thursday night into Friday with high pressure sliding off to the east. High clouds will be building in overnight, and when combined with warming temperatures, this should help to keep temperatures a few degrees warmer overnight compared to the previous night. Lows in the 20s re expected, with highs in the 40s once again as skies turn overcast ahead of an upper level low moving in from the lower Midwest. This will start to touch off some rain and snow Friday night as temperatures fall back into the 30s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As the upper level low continues to push eastward towards the Mid Atlantic, surface occlusion occurs with a baroclinic zone developing along the coast. Guidance continues to indicate that another surface low will develop along this gradient generally by 12Z as the upper level low moves through. Most of the deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to initiate this secondary low development near the Delmarva, then tracks it up the coast towards New England and finally into the Canadian Maritimes by Sunday evening. This track would keep us in the cooler sector, with mainly a rain/snow event as temperatures Saturday and Sunday peak generally in the mid 30s. However, the latest ECMWF has taken a more inland track, developing the low over inland VA and WV, then tracking more northerly than northeasterly. This takes it directly across the Catskills and eastern NY, with warmer 850 mb temperatures and better chances for mainly a rain event. Another caveat that must be considered is whether the coastal low can develop as early as expected. A delay would result in reduced QPF across much of central NY and PA as there is a potential for a dry slot to work in before the new low can develop. As of right now, still looking at a potential for accumulating snow Saturday and Sunday, with the models still coming together on the timing if not the track of the next system.

Sunday night through Monday, lingering snow showers taper off to mainly lake effect snow showers with NW flow and 850 mb temperatures around -10 C. Ridging across the eastern US will bring a return to dry weather Monday night through Tuesday - though a weak shortwave grazing the NY and Canada border could touch off some snow showers across northern NY Tuesday. Temperatures the rest of the extended period stay a little above normal, with morning lows in the 20s and highs in the mid/upper 30s.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Today . Lake-effect clouds with CIGs around 2 kft AGL continues to provide MVFR conditions to SYR and RME early this morning. An improvement to VFR is expected as these lower clouds dissipate mid to late morning (around 14-15Z at SYR and 16-17Z at RME). Elsewhere, VFR today with high clouds increasing from W to E this afternoon. S wind 8 kt or less today.

Tonight . VFR with high clouds and light/variable winds.

Outlook . Thursday through Friday night . VFR. Sly winds under 10 kt Thursday become more SEly by Friday.

Saturday through Sunday . IFR conditions with snow (possibly mixing in with rain during the day Saturday) likely.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . JRK NEAR TERM . JRK SHORT TERM . HLC LONG TERM . HLC AVIATION . JRK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi55 min 25°F 1029.2 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi62 minWSW 610.00 miFair14°F10°F84%1030.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5NW5NW7NW6NW7N9
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1 day agoNW9
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2 days agoW18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.