Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:36AMSunset 8:42PM Friday July 10, 2020 3:01 PM EDT (19:01 UTC) Moonrise 11:11PMMoonset 10:01AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
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location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 101847 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 247 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Fay moves north through eastern NY and NE PA this afternoon with clouds and precipitation overspreading the region. As Fay moves out of the area, a low pressure system propagates in from the Great Lakes Region bringing more unsettled weather for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. 1130 AM update .

The latest satellite animation shows a well-defined swirl about 30- 40 miles east of the Delaware coast that was associated with the center of Tropical Storm Fay. The forecast track of Fay from the 11 AM NHC advisory has not changed much and is consistent with the 12Z model guidance that has come in so far.

It's important to not that the coldest cloud tops associated with the deepest convection and heaviest precip continues to shift toward the northwest quadrant of the storm. This gives us confidence that the western edge of the heavier rainfall shield should at least make it into our far western areas. Cyclonic flow around Fay will advect tropical moisture (PWATs exceeding 2") in from the southeast through the afternoon. Orographic lift along the eastward-facing slopes of the Poconos and Catskills looks to be key for enhanced rainfall late this afternoon and evening. Model soundings show the presence of elevated instability for NEPA and the western Catskills, which although modest, should be sufficient for embedded thunder with locally heavy rain rates over these locations from about 3-4 PM through about 10- 11 PM. There is a potential for moderate to locally heavy rainfall to linger into the overnight hours across our NY zones, especially east of I-81, as easterly flow continues to provide upslope enhancement on the northern side of the low center. Will also have to watch for where the inverted trough/residual coastal front to the north of the low center reaches. If it happens to setup a bit farther west, then rainfall totals may be underdone overnight.

The start time of the Flash Flood Watch was pushed back to the mid afternoon as the heavier rain likely doesn't arrive until after 3-4 PM. Additionally, the watch was extended for the western Catskills until 4 AM. Considered expanding the watch to the Wyoming Valley where some of the CAMs highlight the potential for locally heavier amounts (1.5-2.5") in the upslope areas. Opted not to as antecedent conditions are drier and thus flash flood guidance is considerably higher (3-4" in 3 hours vs. 1.5-3" in 3 hours for the watch area). There is also more uncertainty regarding how far west the heavier rain occurs.

7 AM Discussion . Tropical storm Fay is expected to make landfall somewhere in NJ as a fairly weak system. It quickly races northward into eastern NY this afternoon with widespread precipitation across east- central NY and NE PA. Precipitation is expected to begin to move into NE PA around 17Z, spreading northward through the afternoon. PWATs will be 1.8 to 2.1 inches along with skinny CAPE will make for an efficient warm rain process with Delaware, Sullivan, and Pike counties seeing rainfall rates of up to 1 inch per hour at times. A flash flood watch has been issued for these counties as recent heavy rain, especially in Sullivan county, has made for a greater risk of flash flooding this afternoon. The back edge of the storm will have a tight precipitation gradient with the Finger lakes region and westward receiving little precipitation. There is still uncertainty across the I-81 corridor on where that back edge of the precipitation will be. A slightly further west track can bring a swath of heavy rain right up along and east of I-81 and some minor flooding is possible.

As Fay exits to the north into Canada, a 500 mb trough digs into the Great Lakes region. A dry slot ahead of a surface low clears the skies late Saturday with valley fog developing late. As the trough moves in, steepening lapse rates aloft will prime the atmosphere for another day of afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Saturday.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/.

Great Lakes trough with surface low will be over northern NY on Sunday morning. Trough and low will lift NE during the day slowly allowing drier and more stable air into the area however instability showers and storms should continue.

Another short wave will rotate into the area on Monday bringing yet another day with convection as showers and thunderstorms fire with the help of daytime heating.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. An upper trough will linger over the area into Tuesday keeping us unstable and bringing the chance for afternoon and evening convection. Looks like a decent chance for a break in the daily convection on Wednesday as ridging builds in behind the trough stabilizing the atmosphere. A weakening short wave zips by on Thursday bringing a renewed chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Temperatures for the period will remain at or above normal with abnormally high upper heights and a westerly flow.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Tropical storm Fay is forecast to move just east of the area over the 24 hours. This will bring clouds and rain to the area, and some mvfr and brief IFR conditions to AVP, with mainly MVFR elsewhere. Conditions will lower through the afternoon and become the most restrictive after 00Z. LAte night, before 12Z, conditions will slowly improve as the remains of the system pull out. Conditions will continue to slowly improve through the end of the TAF period as drier air tries to work in early Saturday.

Outlook .

Saturday afternoon into Saturday Night . A low moving into the region from the Great Lakes will bring scattered showers with occasional restrictions.

Sunday through Wednesday . Continued unsettled weather with afternoon showers and thunderstorms leading to occasional restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for PAZ040-048- 072. NY . Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NYZ057-062.

SYNOPSIS . AJG NEAR TERM . AJG/JRK SHORT TERM . DGM LONG TERM . DGM AVIATION . DGM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi43 min SSE 9.9 G 16 89°F 1011 hPa68°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi68 minSSE 610.00 miOvercast76°F66°F72%1013.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalm6S8SE4SE4SE10SE6S5SE6SE4S3S4S4SE6SE5SE5SE5E5SE7SE8SE8SE10SE11SE6
1 day agoW54NE10SE8S8S4CalmS3CalmSW3CalmS3S3CalmS3CalmSE3SE4S3Calm4----6
2 days agoS6S8S6S7S7S8SW6SW6SW6S6S4S6S5S4S4S3SW5SW6W5SW3SW6SW7SW5W9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.