Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fleischmanns, NY

KEY MESSAGES
1) Bitterly cold feels-like temperatures this morning for all of eastern New York and western New England leading to an increased risk of hypothermia and frostbite if exposed to the cold for in little as 30 minutes.

2) Breezy conditions are in store for Sunday as a coastal low moves just off the Atlantic Coast, with no snow impacts still on track for eastern New York and western New England.

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Cold Weather Advisories for almost all of eastern New York and western New England continue through this morning for bitterly cold feels-like temperatures between 5 below to 20 below.
Extreme Cold Warnings continue for the Berkshires, the southern Adirondacks, and portions of the Mohawk Valley. When we talk about feels-like temperatures, that's the combination of the actual temperature and wind speeds outside. With winds this morning ranging between 5 and 15 mph and wind gusts up to 25 mph, it'll feel even colder than the actual temperature. Low temperatures this morning range from 17 below in the higher terrain locations to 1 below in a few valley locations. So, the primary take away is that cold temperatures continue this morning and exposure to these temperatures for in little as 30 minutes can lead to an increased risk of hypothermia and frostbite. Try to limit as much time outdoors this morning as possible and continue to dress for the bitter cold when heading outdoors.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

The strong coastal low off the Atlantic is still on track to stay out to sea and probability of precipitation across eastern New York and western New England has dropped to less than 10 percent for Sunday. Mostly sunny to partly sunny skies are in store with breezy conditions as the winds aloft mix down to the surface during the day. Winds have high probabilities (greater than 75 percent) of ranging between 15 and 30 mph during Sunday afternoon. We'll have to monitor the trends for the Litchfield Hills, Berkshires, and southern Vermont for winds gusts over 45 mph Sunday afternoon, especially for higher terrain locations as the coastal low heads further northeast bringing potential wind impacts to these locations. Nevertheless, it'll be a breezy Sunday in store across eastern New York and western New England with the cold conditions continuing.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 18z Saturday...Flying conditions are VFR at all terminals as of 12:35 PM EST, and should remain VFR through the TAF period. May see FEW to SCT mid-level clouds around this afternoon at ALB/GFL/POU, and FEW to SCT clouds between 2000-3000 ft at PSF for a short period late this afternoon. Clouds generally diminish after sunset, with just a few passing mid level clouds around and prevailing VFR conditions through at least the end of the TAF period tomorrow. Winds will be from the W/NW at 10-15 kt with gusts up to around 25 kt (strongest at ALB/PSF) thhrough this evening. At GFL/POU, winds become light and variable within a few hours of sunset, but at ALB/PSF winds remain at 5-10 kt through most of tonight. Winds at ALB may become light and variable shortly before sunrise Saturday morning. Tomorrow, winds increase back to 5-8 kt from the W/NW at ALB/POU/PSF but remain light and variable at GFL through 18z.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST Saturday for CTZ001-013.
NY...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST Saturday for NYZ032-033- 038-042-059-060-064>066-082.
Extreme Cold Warning until 2 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ032- 033-038-042-082.
Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST Saturday for NYZ039>041- 043-047>054-058-061-063-083-084.
MA...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST Saturday for MAZ001-025.
Extreme Cold Warning until 2 PM EST this afternoon for MAZ001- 025.
VT...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST Saturday for VTZ013>015.