Palenville, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Palenville, NY

March 4, 2024 4:14 AM EST (09:14 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:23 AM   Sunset 5:51 PM
Moonrise 3:27 AM   Moonset 11:53 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 404 Am Est Mon Mar 4 2024

Today - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.

Tue - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.

Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain, mainly in the evening.

Wed - S winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.

Wed night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Thu - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely.

Thu night - N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.

Fri - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Fri night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

ANZ300 404 Am Est Mon Mar 4 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure north of the area holds on through today, before weakening tonight. Low pressure approaches from the mid atlantic coast and moves slowly through Tuesday and Tuesday evening. A second low pressure system approaches on Wednesday and passes to our southeast on Thursday. High pressure then briefly builds in during Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palenville, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 040857 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 357 AM EST Mon Mar 4 2024

SYNOPSIS
Mainly dry but mild weather expected today, although chances for rain increase on late tonight into Tuesday as a weak area of low pressure tracks up the East Coast. We briefly dry out to start the day Wednesday, but then chances for rain increase again Wednesday afternoon and night as another area of low pressure passes by to our southeast. Dry weather returns for the end of the week, with yet another chance for precipitation next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Areas of clouds over most of the region, with some breaks in the Hudson Valley from the Capital Region south and including NW CT and parts of southern VT. Areas seeing the clear sky are also experiencing some fog as radiational cooling has helped develop the fog.

Light south to southeast low level flow will slowly mix out some of the clouds and fog, as will the strong March sun. Clouds could be slow to break in the southern Adirondacks to eastern Catskills, and parts of the Berkshires, as clouds could anchor to terrain.

There is a zone of colder boundary layer temperatures associated with narrow low level ridging in southern VT through eastern NY.
So, temperatures may not warm up as much as they could because of the light low level flow and lack of full sun. Highs in the 50s with around 50 southern Adirondacks.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Southern stream upper energy and associated low level forcing track north toward our region tonight through Tuesday. Low level jet forcing, deep moisture advection and upper dynamics will support rain expanding across our region from around daybreak Tuesday through the day. The best coverage of rain will be in the afternoon, and also from about the Capital Region east and south. Highs Tuesday in the 40s with near 50 western Mohawk Valley and parts of the southern Adirondacks, where there are just chances for rain.

Rain exits Tuesday evening but another southern stream upper impulse phases with some northern stream upper energy tracking out of the Great Lakes and OH Valley later Wednesday and Wednesday night. So, some dry weather Wednesday morning with a few breaks in the clouds. Then clouds and rain develops Wednesday afternoon. Strong warm advection, moisture advection, low level jet forcing will result in some locally heavy rain Wednesday night, especially south and east of the Capital Region. Increasing boundary layer frontogenesis Wednesday night associated with the advancing thermal gradient at the leading edge of cold advection will support locally heavy rain as well.
Highs Wednesday in the 50s with around 50 southern Adirondacks.

Cold advection and a wind shift to the northwest will begin to spread across our region later Wednesday night, with a mix of rain and show showers in the southern Adirondacks and southern Green Mountains. Lows Wednesday night in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The long term period opens with drying conditions as an adjacent coastal low weakens and begins to pull away from the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Precipitation from this system will be tapering off from northwest to southeast, with areas south and east of Albany more likely to experience some additional showers through Thursday afternoon/evening. In the wake of this system, high pressure builds in at the surface with mid/upper-level ridging aloft to reinforce tranquility across eastern New York and western New England for the end of the work week and possibly the better portion of the first half of the weekend.

Medium to long-range guidance continues to struggle to align in regards to the temporal details of the next system to bring widespread precipitation to the region, hence the less than confident wording to describe Saturday's conditions. A potent shortwave embedded within a longwave, southern-stream trough will begin to track north and east from the Southern Plains Friday as high pressure builds over the West Coast. Dual areas of low pressure will form at the surface, one in the southern Midwest in association with the upper shortwave and the other near the Gulf Coast in response to an adjacent inverted trough. The primary low associated with the upper shortwave will track north and east through the Midwest into the Ohio Valley region by Saturday afternoon as its mid/upper-level counterpart begins to take on a negative tilt. The secondary low will simultaneously slide along the southeast until it reaches the southern Atlantic Coast. At this time, the two features do not look to phase. Rather, the primary low looks to potentially interact with a northern-stream shortwave rotating around the southern periphery of an upper-low in Southeast Canada which could enhance and prolong precipitation across the region Sunday into Monday. These details, however, though relatively similar between the ECMWF and CMC-NH, are still uncertain at this time. The GFS paints a similar picture in terms of the evolutionary details and conditional outcome of this system, but does so following an expedited timeline such that widespread precipitation begins Friday night and ends by Sunday. One detail of this forecast that sustains relatively high confidence is that the precipitation from this event should likely be primarily rain outside of a little snow or a mix of the two at higher elevations during overnight periods of possibly Friday night and, more likely, Saturday night when temperatures will fall below or just above freezing in these areas.

Speaking of temperatures, the extended period will look to be fairly mild for early March with highs mainly in the low to upper 40s especially Thursday through Saturday. Highs will cool down slightly Sunday into Monday with upper 30s to low/mid 40s across large valley areas and low to mid 30s above 1500 ft. Low temperatures throughout the period will range largely from the upper 20s to 30s.

AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 06Z Tuesday...Low stratus paint the sky across much of the region this morning with low-level moisture trapped below a subsidence inversion. Cloud base heights range from about 2400 ft to about 3200 ft with ceilings only observed at KGFL and KPSF due to patchy clearing keeping skies clear over KPOU and just a FEW layer over KALB. With little to no wind to sustain mixing, clouds are expected to fill back in at KALB throughout the morning, returning ceilings at MVFR levels by daybreak. There is some uncertainty in the timing on this given the erratic nature of clearing and cloud development/re-development currently seen on infrared satellite imagery, but BUFKIT soundings increase confidence that MVFR ceilings will return later this morning.

Throughout the day today, low-level humidity will remain elevated, increasing the likelihood that clouds will stick around. Increased winds out of the southeast, however, may induce some mixing capable of rising (or maintaining in the case of KPOU) ceiling heights to VFR thresholds. However, with an approaching coastal disturbance, low stratus will be reinforced later into the afternoon/evening, allowing ceiling heights to fall into the MVFR category once again.

Winds throughout the period will begin light and variable and gradually shift out of the southeast at speeds of 4-7kt.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA.
Wednesday Night: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite RA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of SHRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 12 mi105 min 0 40°F 30.3039°F
TKPN6 12 mi57 min 0G1 38°F 39°F30.3437°F
NPXN6 24 mi105 min 0 38°F 30.3338°F


Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPOU38 sm21 mincalm10 smA Few Clouds36°F34°F93%30.31
Link to 5 minute data for KPOU


Wind History from POU
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
   
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Catskill
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Mon -- 02:07 AM EST     0.87 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:22 AM EST     3.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:52 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:08 PM EST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:01 PM EST     2.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Catskill, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
1
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.9
4
am
1.1
5
am
1.8
6
am
2.6
7
am
3.3
8
am
3.6
9
am
3.6
10
am
3.3
11
am
2.8
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
1.6
7
pm
2.3
8
pm
2.7
9
pm
2.8
10
pm
2.7
11
pm
2.5



Tide / Current for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
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Mon -- 01:13 AM EST     0.82 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:25 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:31 AM EST     3.68 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:53 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:14 PM EST     0.72 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:50 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:10 PM EST     2.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.9
3
am
1.1
4
am
1.7
5
am
2.5
6
am
3.3
7
am
3.6
8
am
3.7
9
am
3.4
10
am
3
11
am
2.3
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
2.7
8
pm
2.9
9
pm
2.8
10
pm
2.6
11
pm
2.1




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Albany, NY,



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