Wednesday, February19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Catskill, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:34PM Wednesday February 19, 2020 7:37 AM EST (12:37 UTC) Moonrise 5:26AMMoonset 2:40PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 551 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from noon est today through this evening...
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt early this evening, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..N winds around 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 551 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will build in through Thursday. Upper level trough pushes offshore Thursday night as a surface high builds behind into central new york state. Dry conditions persist through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Catskill, NY
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location: 42.22, -73.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 191149 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 649 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2020

SYNOPSIS. Other than some lake effect snows to the west of the Hudson Valley through Thursday night, mainly fair weather is expected through the weekend as high pressure dominates. Today will be brisk and gusty with colder temperatures settling through Thursday night. Temperatures will then moderate back above normal for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 645 am . Adjusted temperatures, dew points, sky cover and pops based on observational data and blended with latest guidance. The region is being squeezed between the deepening departing low pressure system that brought yesterday's precipitation and advancing high today. The result is a brisk and gusty west-northwest flow with a tight pressure gradient in place and cold air advection occurring. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected. Temperatures will continue to fall this morning then should stabilize for a period by midday before dropping off later in the afternoon. Lake effect snows with a cold flow across Lake Ontario; 850 mb temperatures are forecast to drop to -10 to -12C today and GLERL reports a lake-wide average temperature of 39F across Ontario. The low level flow shifts more northwesterly as the day progresses so focus for the lake effect will be across central New York with chances for snows in the western Mohawk and Schoharie Valley with less than an inch expected.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. An Arctic high from central Canada is expected to drift southward across the Plains through Friday. It's then expected to shift eastward settling over the Southeast United States as we head into the weekend. This high will build into our region. However, a reinforcing boundary will sweep across the region tonight and set up a favorable northwesterly flow for lake effect snows across central New York into the western Mohawk Valley and Schoharie this evening into Thursday. Snowfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible into southern Herkimer County. If confidence increases then a winter weather advisory may be needed. Otherwise accumulations will be light. The lake effect diminishes as the day progresses Thursday as ridging builds in with fair weather to close out the week.

Turning much colder tonight with lows bottoming out mainly between 0 and 20 degrees. Readings Thursday and Thursday night will run around 10 degrees below normal. Temperatures will begin to moderate with near normal temperatures expected Friday and Friday night.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure will cover much of the eastern half of the CONUS Saturday through Sunday with mostly clear skies and moderating temperatures. Highs Saturday will range mostly from the mid 30s to lower 40s over the area, then most places will get into the 40s on Sunday.

A mid-level closed low will track east from the southern plains toward the Ohio Valley later Sunday into Monday. The low will open up and accelerate eastward as it approaches the northeast later Monday into Tuesday. There are some timing differences with this system as the ECMWF is faster than the GFS by about 12 hours. Due to these uncertainties with timing we have gone with just chc pops for Monday and Tuesday as this system passes across the area. As has been the case with many recent systems, it appears that temperatures will be marginal for frozen vs. liquid precipitation, and we have rain or snow in the forecast, with a tendency for more snow during the night Monday and more rain during the warmer afternoon hours Monday and Tuesday. Model differences with the surface pressure pattern Monday into Tuesday are significant. The latest GFS shows a large surface high north of our area by Tuesday which act as a source for low-level cold air which would increase the potential for frozen or even freezing precipitation. However, the ECMWF shows a stronger and faster-moving surface low pressure area which splits the surface high and indicates less potential for low-level cold air.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Dryer colder air is moving across the region today behind a cold front that crossed the area last night. Conditions will be VFR through tonight with clear to partly cloudy skies. A few lake effect snow showers will be confined to areas west of the Hudson Valley. Westerly winds will also be increasing behind the front, with gusts of 20 to 30 kts today, diminishing to 5 to 15 kts tonight.

Outlook .

Thursday to Sunday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SN. Monday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of RA. SN.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydro issues are expected over the next several days. Other than lake effect snows fair weather is expected through the weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . IAA NEAR TERM . IAA SHORT TERM . IAA LONG TERM . MSE AVIATION . MSE HYDROLOGY . IAA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 15 mi68 min E 1 31°F 1019 hPa29°F
TKPN6 15 mi56 min WSW 1 G 1.9 31°F 33°F1020.6 hPa30°F
NPXN6 28 mi68 min S 1.9 34°F 1021 hPa29°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 80 mi50 min NW 1.9 G 4.1 40°F 39°F1019.2 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 81 mi50 min NW 6 G 8 40°F 38°F1019 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA32 mi44 minWNW 16 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy32°F0°F%1017.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPSF

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalm5SW4SW6CalmCalmSW4SW5SW3CalmS4SW4W3SW3S7SW3SW3W4W5SW5NW7NW9W7W7

Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:44 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:46 AM EST     3.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:40 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:28 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.621.50.90.30.20.71.72.53.33.83.93.62.92.21.50.70.10.10.81.52.32.9

Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York
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Coxsackie
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:23 AM EST     3.55 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:14 AM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:54 PM EST     4.98 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:39 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:57 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.42.92.31.81.10.40.61.52.53.44.24.854.53.72.91.90.70.10.51.322.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.