Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Talent, OR
May 18, 2024 1:47 AM PDT (08:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:44 AM Sunset 8:30 PM Moonrise 2:54 PM Moonset 2:31 AM |
PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 822 Pm Pdt Fri May 17 2024
.hazardous seas warning in effect through Saturday evening - .
Tonight - N wind 20 to 25 kt with occasional gusts to 35 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: nw 11 ft at 8 seconds, W 3 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 19 seconds.
Sat - N wind 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 8 seconds and W 2 ft at 11 seconds.
Sat night - N wind 20 to 25 kt with occasional gusts to 35 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Wave detail: nw 10 ft at 7 seconds, W 2 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 20 seconds.
Sun - N wind 10 to 15 kt, rising to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 8 seconds, W 2 ft at 14 seconds and sw 2 ft at 18 seconds.
Sun night - N wind 20 to 25 kt with occasional gusts to 35 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds, nw 3 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 18 seconds.
Mon - N wind 15 to 20 kt, rising to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 8 seconds, nw 3 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Mon night - N wind 20 to 25 kt with occasional gusts to 35 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 8 seconds, W 3 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Tue - N wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 8 seconds, nw 3 ft at 16 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue night - N wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 7 seconds, nw 4 ft at 15 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Wed - N wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 5 seconds, nw 6 ft at 15 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Wed night - N wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
PZZ300 822 Pm Pdt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A thermal trough pattern will maintain gusty north winds and steep to very steep seas through the weekend. The strongest winds and steepest seas are expected south of cape blanco and during the afternoons and evenings. Conditions improve early next week as the thermal trough gets disrupted by an upper level pattern change.
Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 180539 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1039 PM PDT Fri May 17 2024
UPDATED AVIATION AND MARINE DISCUSSIONS
SHORT TERM
Friday through Saturday night...An upper low will slide by northeast of the area today. This upper low will be followed by another upper low north of the area Saturday. Temperatures will be near normal and similar both Friday and Saturday. There will be less cloud cover inland Saturday morning compared to Friday morning. For Friday night and Saturday morning, low clouds should be mainly north of Cape Blanco on the coast and in the Umpqua Basin. Afternoon winds will be gustier Saturday, especially east of the Cascades. 700 mb (10,000 ft) winds are expected to be stronger as the 2nd upper low will be closer to the area.
Afternoon heating and mixing will create gustier surface winds between 2 and 8 pm Saturday.
LONG TERM
An upper level low will be in southwestern Canada and this will dip into the PNW this weekend. However, the placement of this dip Sunday will still be far enough for our area to see a large increase in precipitation chances. I have added a ~15% PoP from 00Z Sunday to 00Z Monday near the Lane-Douglas Cascades with a lower PoP added farther south in Douglas County to account for the ensembles supporting more of an isolated chance in these areas.
While this trough lowers, a cooldown will come for the day Sunday.
For comparison, temperatures Saturday afternoon are expected to be slightly above normal near Medford and east with slightly below normal temperatures west. By Sunday all locations will be 5 to 15 degrees below normal. The spots that will see the largest cooldown will be east of the Cascades as they'll go from highs in the low 70s to the upper 50s on average.
By Tuesday an upper low will come from western Canada and this path will come closer to the western United States coast, so more impacts will be possible. For now, the PoPs have increased for more of southern Oregon in the Cascades and northern and central Lake and Klamath counties. A 300 mb northerly jet of 55-65 knots, but CAPEs are over 100 J/kg farther in eastern Oregon, so thunderstorm chances are under 15% with this precipitation chance. Rain chances will be highest in this area through Wednesday afternoon. Lingering rain chances will be kept in the long term, however with more disagreement on the placement of the trough during that time it could change. -Hermansen
AVIATION
18/06Z TAFs...Clear skies and VFR conditions across the forecast area will continue through most of the TAF period. Some higher cirrus may filter in from the north, especially in Oregon.
The main concern tonight will be LIFR ceilings along the coast later tonight as the boundary layer compresses, however; guidance is not showing this potential, and Satellite currently does not show the indications yet. Will put this at a 40% chance, and will leave it out of the TAFS for now.
Then, tomorrow, higher clouds may filter in from the north, mostly staying confined to Oregon. The bigger concern will be gusty northwest to north winds 25 to 30 kts across most of Oregon and California, impacting all terminals in the afternoon. Breezy winds will are most likely to occur between 2pm and 11pm PDT. -Schaaf
MARINE
Updated 830 PM Friday, May 17, 2024...A thermal trough pattern will maintain gusty north winds and steep to very steep seas through the weekend. Seas will be highest south of Cape Blanco around Brookings with waves reaching up to 10 to 12 feet and around 5 to 7 feet near Florence and Coos Bay. Seas will be a combination of fresh swell out of the northwest and some wind waves moving through the waters. Seas will remain hazardous to small crafts through the weekend and into early next week. Waves will subside to around 5 to 6 feet across all the waters around Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
-Schaaf/Smith
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 PM PDT Saturday for PZZ356-376.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1039 PM PDT Fri May 17 2024
UPDATED AVIATION AND MARINE DISCUSSIONS
SHORT TERM
Friday through Saturday night...An upper low will slide by northeast of the area today. This upper low will be followed by another upper low north of the area Saturday. Temperatures will be near normal and similar both Friday and Saturday. There will be less cloud cover inland Saturday morning compared to Friday morning. For Friday night and Saturday morning, low clouds should be mainly north of Cape Blanco on the coast and in the Umpqua Basin. Afternoon winds will be gustier Saturday, especially east of the Cascades. 700 mb (10,000 ft) winds are expected to be stronger as the 2nd upper low will be closer to the area.
Afternoon heating and mixing will create gustier surface winds between 2 and 8 pm Saturday.
LONG TERM
An upper level low will be in southwestern Canada and this will dip into the PNW this weekend. However, the placement of this dip Sunday will still be far enough for our area to see a large increase in precipitation chances. I have added a ~15% PoP from 00Z Sunday to 00Z Monday near the Lane-Douglas Cascades with a lower PoP added farther south in Douglas County to account for the ensembles supporting more of an isolated chance in these areas.
While this trough lowers, a cooldown will come for the day Sunday.
For comparison, temperatures Saturday afternoon are expected to be slightly above normal near Medford and east with slightly below normal temperatures west. By Sunday all locations will be 5 to 15 degrees below normal. The spots that will see the largest cooldown will be east of the Cascades as they'll go from highs in the low 70s to the upper 50s on average.
By Tuesday an upper low will come from western Canada and this path will come closer to the western United States coast, so more impacts will be possible. For now, the PoPs have increased for more of southern Oregon in the Cascades and northern and central Lake and Klamath counties. A 300 mb northerly jet of 55-65 knots, but CAPEs are over 100 J/kg farther in eastern Oregon, so thunderstorm chances are under 15% with this precipitation chance. Rain chances will be highest in this area through Wednesday afternoon. Lingering rain chances will be kept in the long term, however with more disagreement on the placement of the trough during that time it could change. -Hermansen
AVIATION
18/06Z TAFs...Clear skies and VFR conditions across the forecast area will continue through most of the TAF period. Some higher cirrus may filter in from the north, especially in Oregon.
The main concern tonight will be LIFR ceilings along the coast later tonight as the boundary layer compresses, however; guidance is not showing this potential, and Satellite currently does not show the indications yet. Will put this at a 40% chance, and will leave it out of the TAFS for now.
Then, tomorrow, higher clouds may filter in from the north, mostly staying confined to Oregon. The bigger concern will be gusty northwest to north winds 25 to 30 kts across most of Oregon and California, impacting all terminals in the afternoon. Breezy winds will are most likely to occur between 2pm and 11pm PDT. -Schaaf
MARINE
Updated 830 PM Friday, May 17, 2024...A thermal trough pattern will maintain gusty north winds and steep to very steep seas through the weekend. Seas will be highest south of Cape Blanco around Brookings with waves reaching up to 10 to 12 feet and around 5 to 7 feet near Florence and Coos Bay. Seas will be a combination of fresh swell out of the northwest and some wind waves moving through the waters. Seas will remain hazardous to small crafts through the weekend and into early next week. Waves will subside to around 5 to 6 feet across all the waters around Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
-Schaaf/Smith
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 PM PDT Saturday for PZZ356-376.
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Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMFR ROGUE VALLEY INTL MEDFORD,OR | 11 sm | 54 min | W 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 55°F | 37°F | 51% | 30.03 |
Brookings
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:30 AM PDT 1.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:37 AM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:13 AM PDT 4.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:05 PM PDT 1.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:59 PM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 08:34 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:30 PM PDT 5.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:30 AM PDT 1.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:37 AM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:13 AM PDT 4.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:05 PM PDT 1.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:59 PM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 08:34 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:30 PM PDT 5.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
3.9 |
1 am |
3 |
2 am |
2.2 |
3 am |
1.7 |
4 am |
1.7 |
5 am |
2.2 |
6 am |
2.9 |
7 am |
3.6 |
8 am |
4.3 |
9 am |
4.6 |
10 am |
4.4 |
11 am |
3.9 |
12 pm |
3.2 |
1 pm |
2.4 |
2 pm |
1.8 |
3 pm |
1.5 |
4 pm |
1.7 |
5 pm |
2.4 |
6 pm |
3.4 |
7 pm |
4.5 |
8 pm |
5.4 |
9 pm |
5.9 |
10 pm |
5.9 |
11 pm |
5.4 |
Crescent City
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:26 AM PDT 1.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:36 AM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:12 AM PDT 4.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:01 PM PDT 1.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:59 PM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 08:33 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:29 PM PDT 5.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:26 AM PDT 1.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:36 AM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:53 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:12 AM PDT 4.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:01 PM PDT 1.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:59 PM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 08:33 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:29 PM PDT 5.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Crescent City, California, Tide feet
12 am |
3.9 |
1 am |
2.9 |
2 am |
2.1 |
3 am |
1.7 |
4 am |
1.8 |
5 am |
2.2 |
6 am |
2.9 |
7 am |
3.7 |
8 am |
4.3 |
9 am |
4.6 |
10 am |
4.4 |
11 am |
3.9 |
12 pm |
3.2 |
1 pm |
2.4 |
2 pm |
1.8 |
3 pm |
1.5 |
4 pm |
1.8 |
5 pm |
2.4 |
6 pm |
3.4 |
7 pm |
4.5 |
8 pm |
5.4 |
9 pm |
5.9 |
10 pm |
5.9 |
11 pm |
5.4 |
Medford, OR,
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