Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Madison, OH
February 18, 2025 9:41 PM EST (02:41 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:12 AM Sunset 6:01 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 9:39 AM |
LEZ167 Expires:202502190315;;126377 Fzus61 Kcle 182059 Glfle
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 359 pm est Tue feb 18 2025
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
Synopsis - A ridge averaging 30.50 inches will remain across the region through Wednesday. A trough averaging 30.20 inches will enter from the south on Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure 30.80 inches will enter from the west for Friday into Saturday. A trough averaging 30.20 inches will enter on Sunday.
lez165>167-190315- vermilion to avon point oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border- 359 pm est Tue feb 18 2025
Tonight - West winds 5 to 15 knots. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots.
Wednesday night - West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Scattered snow showers overnight.
Thursday - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning.
Thursday night - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots.
Friday - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Saturday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.
waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 359 pm est Tue feb 18 2025
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez165>167-190315- vermilion to avon point oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border- 359 pm est Tue feb 18 2025
waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
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Area Discussion for Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 190049 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 749 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will build over the region through tonight before an upper low crosses the area Wednesday night into Thursday.
High pressure will build east over the area Thursday night into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Only made minor adjustments to match temperatures trends over the next couple hours. The expectation remains for the rate of cooling to slow as cirrus overspreads the area.
Previous discussion...
High pressure will continue to build over the region through tonight, although lingering moisture may result in continued flurries/light snow showers through the remainder of the afternoon and possibly into early this evening. Upper ridging may allow clouds to scatter out slightly, but there will most likely be quite a bit of cirrus south of the lakeshore as a shortwave passes to the south of the local area overnight.
Expect overnight lows to fall into the single digits and possibly approach zero degrees in portions of NW PA and maybe far NE OH tonight. With that being said, lighter winds and lack of radiational cooling due to cloud cover will result in slightly warmer apparent temperatures than last night; wind chills to zero to 5 degrees below zero are expected areawide tonight into early Wednesday with locally colder wind chills to 5 to 10 degrees below zero expected across portions of far NE OH and especially NW PA. The coldest wind chills of 10 degrees below zero (and possibly slightly colder) are expected across the higher terrain of interior NW PA.
Dry weather will continue through most of Wednesday before an upper low begins to approach from the northwest Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. This will result in an uptick in cloud cover late Wednesday morning and afternoon and increasing chances of snow showers Wednesday night. Moisture will be marginal Wednesday night so have capped PoPs at around 50 percent. Precipitation rates will be relatively light and snow amounts through daybreak Thursday morning will generally be half an inch or less.
Wednesday's highs will be in the teens with overnight lows in the single digits to low teens. Wind chills will be in the single digits for most of the area Wednesday and possibly approach zero degrees late Wednesday night.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough will become centered over the Great Lakes region on Thursday, as the main surface low pressure system pushes off the East Coast. The combination of the low to the southeast and the trough aloft will draw in colder air and have enough lift to generate widespread snow that will then transition into more of a traditional lake effect snow setup. Have a mix of chance to categorical PoPs to account for the snow with the highest in the primary snow belt. The back side of the trough and high pressure will be quick to build in on Friday with drying conditions occurring. Have a largely dry forecast for Friday. Temperatures will be well on the colder side of normal with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure will remain across the region on Saturday and will continue to promote a dry forecast with below normal temperatures. This surface high will push to the east on Saturday into Sunday and allow for southerly flow and warmer temperatures to return to the region. This flow will bring back some more moisture into the region and with a weakening upper trough entering, there could be some snow showers that develop on Sunday. Another upper trough and low pressure system with a cold front will enter the Great Lakes region on Monday and bring rain and snow chances as temperatures improve toward normal early next week.
AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/
A ridge of high pressure will remain over the area through tonight, weakening slightly on Wednesday as a trough settles south into the Central Great Lakes. Stratocumulus from this afternoon is dissipating and expect VFR conditions to continue into Wednesday morning. Low level moisture will increase Wednesday afternoon and evening ahead of this trough with an expansion of stratocumulus and MVFR conditions.
West winds will be light overnight at 7 knots or less becoming northwesterly on Wednesday afternoon.
Outlook
Non-VFR conditions possible in widespread snow showers Wednesday night into Thursday and in lake effect snow showers across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania through early Friday.
MARINE
The ridge across the region will continue to promote light west flow across the lake tonight into Wednesday. An approaching trough will flip flow to the northwest for Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure will return to the region for Friday into Saturday, bringing back weak west flow for Friday and then southwest flow for Saturday, as the high pushes east. The southwest flow may pick up a bit on Saturday as a tighter pressure gradient develops over the lake with the next system approaching for early next week.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 749 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will build over the region through tonight before an upper low crosses the area Wednesday night into Thursday.
High pressure will build east over the area Thursday night into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Only made minor adjustments to match temperatures trends over the next couple hours. The expectation remains for the rate of cooling to slow as cirrus overspreads the area.
Previous discussion...
High pressure will continue to build over the region through tonight, although lingering moisture may result in continued flurries/light snow showers through the remainder of the afternoon and possibly into early this evening. Upper ridging may allow clouds to scatter out slightly, but there will most likely be quite a bit of cirrus south of the lakeshore as a shortwave passes to the south of the local area overnight.
Expect overnight lows to fall into the single digits and possibly approach zero degrees in portions of NW PA and maybe far NE OH tonight. With that being said, lighter winds and lack of radiational cooling due to cloud cover will result in slightly warmer apparent temperatures than last night; wind chills to zero to 5 degrees below zero are expected areawide tonight into early Wednesday with locally colder wind chills to 5 to 10 degrees below zero expected across portions of far NE OH and especially NW PA. The coldest wind chills of 10 degrees below zero (and possibly slightly colder) are expected across the higher terrain of interior NW PA.
Dry weather will continue through most of Wednesday before an upper low begins to approach from the northwest Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. This will result in an uptick in cloud cover late Wednesday morning and afternoon and increasing chances of snow showers Wednesday night. Moisture will be marginal Wednesday night so have capped PoPs at around 50 percent. Precipitation rates will be relatively light and snow amounts through daybreak Thursday morning will generally be half an inch or less.
Wednesday's highs will be in the teens with overnight lows in the single digits to low teens. Wind chills will be in the single digits for most of the area Wednesday and possibly approach zero degrees late Wednesday night.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough will become centered over the Great Lakes region on Thursday, as the main surface low pressure system pushes off the East Coast. The combination of the low to the southeast and the trough aloft will draw in colder air and have enough lift to generate widespread snow that will then transition into more of a traditional lake effect snow setup. Have a mix of chance to categorical PoPs to account for the snow with the highest in the primary snow belt. The back side of the trough and high pressure will be quick to build in on Friday with drying conditions occurring. Have a largely dry forecast for Friday. Temperatures will be well on the colder side of normal with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure will remain across the region on Saturday and will continue to promote a dry forecast with below normal temperatures. This surface high will push to the east on Saturday into Sunday and allow for southerly flow and warmer temperatures to return to the region. This flow will bring back some more moisture into the region and with a weakening upper trough entering, there could be some snow showers that develop on Sunday. Another upper trough and low pressure system with a cold front will enter the Great Lakes region on Monday and bring rain and snow chances as temperatures improve toward normal early next week.
AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/
A ridge of high pressure will remain over the area through tonight, weakening slightly on Wednesday as a trough settles south into the Central Great Lakes. Stratocumulus from this afternoon is dissipating and expect VFR conditions to continue into Wednesday morning. Low level moisture will increase Wednesday afternoon and evening ahead of this trough with an expansion of stratocumulus and MVFR conditions.
West winds will be light overnight at 7 knots or less becoming northwesterly on Wednesday afternoon.
Outlook
Non-VFR conditions possible in widespread snow showers Wednesday night into Thursday and in lake effect snow showers across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania through early Friday.
MARINE
The ridge across the region will continue to promote light west flow across the lake tonight into Wednesday. An approaching trough will flip flow to the northwest for Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure will return to the region for Friday into Saturday, bringing back weak west flow for Friday and then southwest flow for Saturday, as the high pushes east. The southwest flow may pick up a bit on Saturday as a tighter pressure gradient develops over the lake with the next system approaching for early next week.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH | 30 mi | 72 min | WSW 2.9G | |||||
ASBO1 | 32 mi | 42 min | SSW 4.1G | |||||
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH | 34 mi | 54 min | 32°F | 30.38 | ||||
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH | 40 mi | 42 min | S 2.9G |
Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Cleveland, OH,

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