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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bainbridge, NY

June 25, 2024 4:39 AM EDT (08:39 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:27 AM   Sunset 8:45 PM
Moonrise 10:49 PM   Moonset 8:08 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bainbridge, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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639 FXUS61 KBGM 250744 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 344 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
Today will feature mainly sunny and warmer weather, with afternoon temperatures back up into the 80s. Wednesday has a chance at seeing scattered severe thunderstorms once again with best chances in the Southern Tier and Northeast PA during the afternoon and evening hours. Dry weather returns for Thursday and Friday with seasonable temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

340 AM Update

Clear skies and a cool start early this morning, with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to around 60 degrees.
There is some patchy valley fog across Otsego, Delaware, Sullivan and Chenango counties. This fog will burn off and dissipate by around 8 AM. Otherwise, skies will be mostly sunny this morning, with thin cirrus clouds arriving by midday. These cirrus clouds will get thicker and lower to mid level clouds by late afternoon and early evening...as the remnants of the current large MCV over the west-central Great Lakes pushes overhead. There could be a few light showers by this evening, but initially there is a lot of low level dry air in place to overcome, as afternoon dew points are only progged to be in the low to mid-50s, with temperatures well into the 80s expected.

Low level moisture gradually increases after sunset, along with instability inching up. This will open the door for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms tonight as a weak warm frontal system moves into the area. This will become a stationary front late tonight, bisecting across the forecast area...the exact position of this boundary is unknown at this time...but some guidance puts it close to the NY/PA border by daybreak Wednesday. Much warmer tonight with lows in the 60s and even a few spots near 70.

Wednesday looks to start off relatively quiet, with the above mentioned remnant front over the region. The frontal boundary should lift back north some during the day; allowing for increasing heat, humidity and instability across NE PA, the Twin Tiers and perhaps as far north as the I-90 corridor. The areal extent and intensity of any severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening will depend greatly on this warm frontal position and therefore the amount of instability present over the forecast area. With current NBM model guidance suggesting highs reaching well into the 80s and even some lower 90s in the Wyoming Valley this will bring plenty of surface heating to the region and steep low level lapse rates. South of the warm front, surface dew points are forecast to be in the upper 60s to low 60s...with only upper 50s to low 60s for dew points north of the front. This drier air mass across the northern portion of the CWA will limit instability. SPC has most of the area under at least a Marginal Risk for severe storms, with a slight risk from near Binghamton south and east across the southern Catskills and NE PA. Again, the details on these thunderstorms are still uncertain when it comes to exact mixed layer CAPE values. Deep layer shear looks favorable with 40-50 kts in the 0-6 km layer.
With PWATS between 1.6 to 1.9 inch range Wednesday evening there will also be a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from heavy thunderstorms over most of the area and this is something else that will need to be watched as we get closer in time.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
310 AM Update...

Cold front continues to move through Wednesday night as surface low pressure system tracks east. The track of the low will determine the amount of instability that will be present overnight. At this time model guidance suggests conditions will wind down with some elevated instability lingering. Therefore rain showers are mainly expected with possible elevated thunderstorms. Behind the front temperatures will fall into the mid 50s to low 60s overnight. As the upper level trough tracks east model guidance shows a potential wave of moisture moving through on Thursday. This may allow the chances for some showers to continue through Thursday morning although NBM kept conditions dry for now. Otherwise better chances for dry conditions is Thursday afternoon/evening as an upper level ridge attempts to build in with high pressure at the surface. Temperatures are expected to range in the 70s for CNY with some areas in NEPA climbing into the low 80s. With clear skies temperatures overnight will fall into the upper 40s to low mid 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
310 AM Update...

High pressure centers over our region on Friday allowing calm and dry conditions to continue. Another system approaches from the west just in time for the weekend as upper level trough dips into our area. This increases chances for showers and storms Saturday and Sunday, possibly into Monday as well if upper trough is slow to move out. Upper ridge and surface high looks to build back in on Tuesday with drier conditions returning. Temperatures during this period are expected to range in the 70s to mid 80s during the day with overnight lows fluctuating with some nights in the 50s and some in the 60s.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
140 AM Update

VFR conditions expected through the period. Skies are nearly completely clear over the region currently. Valley fog is forming over the eastern counties where it is already cooler and humidity levels remain high. For our taf sites, there is a slight chance (10-20%) for patchy fog to form near RME over the next several hours, as overnight lows approach the crossover temperature (55F) here. ELM looks to remain above their crossover temperature of 49F, even with the clear skies overhead, so widespread fog in the Chemung River Valley is not expected at this time. Sunny to mostly sunny skies are expected areawide for most of the day today.

Some mid level clouds will approach toward sunset and into the evening hours. There is a chance for some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms after 00z, mainly for the NY terminals; but confidence was too low to include in the tafs this far out in time. Will monitor trends in the latest model guidance/CAMS.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night...Restrictions possible in scattered showers and thunderstorms; especially Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Thursday through Friday...Mainly VFR.

Saturday...Restrictions from showers and thunderstorms possible.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KOIC LT WARREN EATON,NY 19 sm4 mincalm10 smClear52°F52°F100%29.99
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Wind History graph: BGM
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Tide / Current for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
   
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Tivoli
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Tue -- 04:50 AM EDT     4.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:49 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:41 PM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:52 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
1.7
2
am
3
3
am
4.1
4
am
4.6
5
am
4.8
6
am
4.5
7
am
3.9
8
am
2.8
9
am
1.6
10
am
0.6
11
am
0
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
2.7
4
pm
3.5
5
pm
3.9
6
pm
3.9
7
pm
3.6
8
pm
2.9
9
pm
1.9
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
0.5


Tide / Current for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
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Tue -- 04:20 AM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:19 AM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:11 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
2.2
2
am
3.4
3
am
4.2
4
am
4.5
5
am
4.4
6
am
4
7
am
3.2
8
am
2.1
9
am
1
10
am
0.3
11
am
-0.2
12
pm
-0
1
pm
0.8
2
pm
2
3
pm
2.9
4
pm
3.5
5
pm
3.7
6
pm
3.6
7
pm
3.1
8
pm
2.3
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.4


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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Binghamton, NY,




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