NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
240 AM Update:

High pressure will remain in control over most of the area today and Thursday. There is a small chance for a few isolated showers to graze our far southern counties in NE PA tonight through Thursday morning, but the majority of the area will remain dry. Low pressure located along the Mid- Atlantic Coastline will track out to sea tonight. This system will likely only spread high clouds across most of our area, other than that small chance for a few showers across the far south.
Temperatures will remain warm today and tomorrow with highs in the mid to upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s to near 60 degrees.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
305 AM Update...

Light rain showers from a disorganized coastal low will push up into NE PA, starting earlier in the day Thursday, and lasting through Friday night. These showers will be of light intensity, with amounts up to a tenth of an inch through Friday night. All other areas will likely stay dry, but a stray shower could pass over areas from Binghamton eastward along the Southern Tier.
Friday high temperatures are expected to be in the mid 70s to low 80s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
305 AM Update...

High pressure will build into the area over the weekend, providing dry conditions Saturday through Monday. High temperatures expected in the low to uppers 70s Saturday, and cool down to highs in the mid 60s to low 70s by Monday. At the very end of the long term period, model guidance shows some sort of disorganized feature pushing in from the west. As of now, there are chances for rain showers beginning next Monday evening, but confidence in timing is low, since models vary greatly. We'll continue to monitor guidance for rain potential over the coming days.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR conditions with widespread high clouds will persist through the period, with the exception being ELM where valley fog is expected through this morning. Fog at KELM will lift by 14Z, resulting in a return to VFR conditions there. There will be a good chance for fog at ELM again early Thursday morning.

Outlook

Thursday through Sunday...Mainly VFR with valley fog possible at ELM during the early morning hours.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.