Hatfield, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hatfield, MA

June 17, 2024 9:47 AM EDT (13:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:11 AM   Sunset 8:31 PM
Moonrise 4:20 PM   Moonset 2:06 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ331 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny To The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 558 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Today - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 3 seconds.

Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 3 seconds.

Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 3 seconds.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 3 seconds.

Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 558 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure remains centered off the mid atlantic coast through Thursday before slowly weakening and drifting east. A surface trough lingers over the area for the end of the week through the first half of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hatfield, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 171108 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 708 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

SYNOPSIS

Increasing temperatures and humidity today along with gusty south winds. Dangerous heat and humidity arrives on Tuesday and peaks in the Wednesday through Friday time frame. Near to record breaking high temperatures are possible with afternoon Heat Indices between 98 and 106 degrees away from the immediate south coast. The main threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms will be Friday into the weekend...but specific timing remains uncertain. We do expect the excessive heat to break this weekend, but it will remain humid.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

Today:

Upper level ridge continues to build over the region with high pressure still overhead. 850mb temps will be on the rise to +15C ahead of the dangerous heat and humidity expected starting Tuesday.
Winds at the surface will also continue to increase out of the south at 10 to 15 mph, gusting 20-25 mph. This will bring high temperatures back up into the low to mid 80s with dewpoints in the low 60s. Winds should be strong enough to keep sea breezes at bay except near the south coast where southerly winds will enhance the sea breeze and bring cooler daytime temps in the upper 70s to southern RI and SE MA.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/

Tonight:

Center of the 595 dm ridge arrives overnight. Dewpoints will continue to rise overnight with southerly flow. Even with mainly clear skies and decreasing winds, overnight lows will only drop into the mid 60s region wide.

Tomorrow:

Dangerous heat and humidity arrives Tuesday as temperatures rise into the low to mid 90s. With dewpoints rising near 70F, the heat index will rise into the upper 90s to low 100s. Due to this, a heat advisory or excessive heat watch have been issued for much of SNE.
The South coast along with the Cape and Islands were left out due to southerly flow bringing cooler temperatures off the ocean. The WPC experimental heat risk tool highlights much of SNE in a moderate risk for heat related impacts. What this means is that those who are sensitive to heat, or without effective cooling systems could be at risk. If you do have to spend time outdoors starting Tuesday, remember to stay hydrated and take breaks in shaded areas or indoors with air conditioning.

With large amounts of heat, comes large amounts of instability. HRRR mean SBCAPE values are above 1000 J/kg on Tuesday, However, an 875mb warm nose will make it difficult for convection to break the CAP.
With almost zero shear and very dry upper levels, any convection that does fire will have a difficult time maintaining itself. Most of the Hi-res guidance is in agreement with this showing weak showers with the exception of the NSSL WRF which seems a bit bullish on convective coverage and intensity. Did add slight chance POPs to interior NW MA to match the HRRR 4hr max updraft probs at 10%.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Key Points...

* Dangerous Heat & Humidity continues through Fri * Near Record Highs with Heat Indices from 98 to 106 degrees * Main threat for scattered showers/t-storms Fri into the Weekend * Excessive Heat breaks this weekend...but it still will be humid

Details...

As has been the case for several days...the models continue to be in excellent agreement that the heat and humidity will peak in the Wed through Fri time frame. The guidance indicates 500 mb height fields approaching 600 dm...which is rarely seen in our region and a strong signal for the potential of record heat. This is also supported by the NAEFS & EPS Situational Awareness tables...which indicates several parameters outside the models climatology.

The guidance supports near record highs well into the 90s...perhaps touching 100 degrees in spots. Record highs will be challenged and we may approach all time record highs for the month of June.
Regardless...afternoon heat indices are likely to be in the ballpark of between 98 and 106 degrees away from the immediate south coast, Cape and Islands. We opted to continue the Excessive Heat Watch through Fri for the lower elevations of western MA/CT as well as interior east/northeast MA. This is where the greatest risk is for Heat Indices to reach or just exceed 105 degrees. Across the rest of the region...opted to issue a Heat Advisory away from the marine modified airmass near the immediate south coast, Cape and Islands.
There will not be much relief overnight with heat indices only dropping into the 70s.

The strong upper level ridge will tend to result in mainly dry weather Wed & Thu...but can not rule out an isolated convective threat given the anomalous airmass in place.

The main threat though for scattered showers/t-storms will be Fri and into the weekend as the upper level ridge begins to get suppressed south. This will allow shortwave energy to impact us at times on west to northwest flow aloft. Timing is difficult at this point...but scattered showers & t-storms will be possible Fri into the weekend. As the upper level ridge is suppressed to our south...we do expect the excessive heat to break but it still will be humid.

AVIATION /11Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

12z TAF Update...

Today: High Confidence

VFR. A narrow band of low clouds flirting with the BDL terminal will burn off by mid morning. SSW winds increasing to between 10 and 15 knots with a few gusts of 20 to 25 knots near the coast.

Tonight: High Confidence

VFR. Decreasing southerly winds.

Tomorrow:

VFR. Low risk for an isolated afternoon shower or t-storm across NW MA.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

VFR. Increasing SSW winds today gusting up to 20 knots or so this afternoon.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

VFR. Increasing S winds today gusting between 15 and 20 knots this afternoon.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Juneteenth: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.
Slight chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Wednesday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, chance TSRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today:

Continued clear conditions with increasing southerly winds at 10-15 knots, gusting up to 25 knots across the near shore waters along the south coast. Opted to hoist a short-fused small craft advisory for these waters and seas may be choppy. Seas 2-4 ft

Tonight:

Clear conditions with slowly decreasing southwest winds 10-15 kts. Seas 2-4 ft.

Tomorrow:

Clear conditions with increasing southerly winds gusting 20-25 knots once again. Seas 2-4 ft

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Juneteenth: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday Night through Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers, chance of thunderstorms.

CLIMATE
All Time June High Temperature Record (Daily)

BOS - 100 F (06/06/1925, 06/26/1952 and 06/30/2021)
BDL - 100 F (06/26/1952, 06/30/1964)
PVD - 98 F (06/25/1943, 06/15/1945 and 06/30/1945)
ORH - 98 F (06/26/1952)

Most recent day of 100 F (or greater)

BOS - 100 F (07/24/2022)
BDL - 100 F (07/21/2019)
PVD - 100 F (07/28/2020)
ORH - 102 F (07/04/1911)*

* For ORH this is the only 100+ degree day in its period of record.

Daily High Temperature Records...

June 18th

BOS - 94 F (1907 and 1929)
BDL - 95 F (1957 and 1994)
PVD - 94 F (1929)
ORH - 93 F (1907 and 1929)

June 19th

BOS - 96 F (1923)
BDL - 95 F (1995)
PVD - 94 F (1923)
ORH - 93 F (1923)

June 20th

BOS - 98 F (1953)
BDL - 97 F (2012)
PVD - 95 F (1941)
ORH - 93 F (1953)

June 21st

BOS - 96 F (2012)
BDL - 96 F (1953 and 2012)
PVD - 96 F (1941)
ORH - 91 F (Multi-Years)

Daily Warmest Low Temperatures Records...

June 18th

BOS - 72 F (1929)
BDL - 70 F (1905)
PVD - 72 F (1929)
ORH - 69 F (1905 and 1994)

June 19th

BOS - 73 F (1995)
BDL - 72 F (1929)
PVD - 70 F (1995)
ORH - 72 F (1929)

June 20th

BOS - 78 F (1931)
BDL - 74 F (1931)
PVD - 74 F (1931)
ORH - 72 F (1931)

June 21st

BOS - 80 F (2012)
BDL - 73 F (1923 and 2012)
PVD - 75 F (2012)
ORH - 74 F (1923 and 2012)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Excessive Heat Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Friday evening for CTZ002-003.
Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Friday for CTZ004.
MA...Excessive Heat Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Friday evening for MAZ003-005-006-010-011-013-014.
Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Friday for MAZ002- 004-007>009-012-015>019-026.
RI...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Friday for RIZ001>005.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ231>236-254-255.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Providence, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCEF WESTOVER ARB/METROPOLITAN,MA 14 sm52 minSW 0710 smMostly Cloudy66°F59°F78%30.20
KBAF WESTFIELDBARNES RGNL,MA 17 sm24 minSSE 1010 smMostly Cloudy68°F61°F78%30.21
KORE ORANGE MUNI,MA 21 sm55 minS 0910 smA Few Clouds66°F57°F73%30.23
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Wind History graph: CEF
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Tide / Current for Hartford, Connecticut
   
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Hartford
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Mon -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:53 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:13 PM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:49 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Hartford, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
2.1
1
am
2
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.4
5
am
1.1
6
am
0.8
7
am
0.5
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.1
11
am
1.4
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
1.1
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.8


Tide / Current for Rocky Hill, Connecticut
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Rocky Hill
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Mon -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:45 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:27 AM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:46 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rocky Hill, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
2.1
1
am
2
2
am
1.7
3
am
1.5
4
am
1.1
5
am
0.8
6
am
0.5
7
am
0.5
8
am
0.8
9
am
1.2
10
am
1.5
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
1
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
2.2


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Boston, MA,




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