Sunrise 5:27 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 3:30 PM   Moonset 3:12 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 647 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024
Tonight - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: ne 1 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers, mainly this evening. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sun - NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: ne 1 ft at 3 seconds. Sun night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Mon - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 647 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure will be in place through Monday. The high gradually slides farther out into the atlantic through midweek. A frontal system approaches from the west Wednesday night. The associated cold front approaches Thursday and moves across Thursday night.

FXUS61 KALY 181950 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 350 PM EDT Sat May 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Clouds and scattered showers diminish today north and west of the Capital District as high pressure begins to build while clouds linger to the south and east closer to an upper-level disturbance. High pressure Sunday into the workweek will warm temperatures well above normal through midweek, before a chance for rain showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday into Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
A weakening surface trough continues to track across eastern New York into western New England, resulting in light showers extending from the eastern Catskills into southern Vermont.
Upstream observations show little in the way of precipitation reaching the surface as surface dewpoint depressions are generally 15 degrees or more across the region per ASOS and NYS Mesonet stations.

A weak upper-level system offshore to the southeast has aided in maintaining easterly flow and a relatively cool airmass with abundant clouds upstream over much of New England. However, as upper ridging and high pressure begin to build in from the west, a clearing trend is expected through this evening, particularly from the Capital District to the north and west. Temperatures along and west of the Hudson will be near seasonal norms this afternoon, reaching highs in the mid 60s to low 70s, while conditions will be slightly cooler, in the upper 50s to mid 60s, in the Taconics and western New England.

High pressure continues to increase tonight, with patchy fog possible where skies are clearest, most likely in the Upper Hudson and Mohawk Valleys, and within sheltered locales in the southern Adirondacks. Light rain showers or drizzle may persist in the Connecticut River Valley thanks to moist, onshore flow.
Temperatures fall to overnight lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s across the region.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Upper ridging and surface high pressure continue to build into the beginning of the workweek, yielding dry weather, clearing skies, and a warming trend through the period.
Temperatures will rise well above normal, reaching highs in the upper 60s to upper 70s beneath partly cloudy skies on Sunday, and mid 70s to mid 80s beneath mostly sunny skies on Monday.
Overnight lows similarly trend upward despite favorable radiative cooling conditions, from the upper 40s to mid 50s on Sunday night to widespread 50s across the region on Monday night as surface dewpoints trend upward with developing southerly to southwesterly flow.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Upper ridging over the region Tuesday and Wednesday with summer like temperatures. Strong upper impulse tracks across southern Canada and the Great Lakes later Wednesday through Thursday and there is considerable spread in sources of guidance/ensembles as to the track and timing of the upper impulse and associated cold front.

Some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms could reach the southern Adirondacks later Tuesday afternoon. Then, some scattered thunderstorms are possible along a pre frontal low level trough in our region Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Highs Tuesday well into the 80s with around 80 higher terrain. Highs Wednesday in the 80s with near 90 Hudson Valley and lower 80s higher terrain. Heat index values will be near actual temperatures since no extreme humidity is expected ahead of the cold front.

The low level forcing ahead of the cold front is in question, depending on how deep the cold advection will be behind the cold front. Low level jet energy will be relatively strong but mainly westerly and deep shear will be enough for some potential strong thunderstorms. Instability ahead of the cold front should be considerable but if the timing of the cold front is Wednesday night to Thursday morning, then instability will be minimized. Still too early to tell but again, strong thunderstorms possible but to early to determine the potential for and/or magnitude of severe weather.

Cooler and drier weather Friday. Highs Thursday, timing the front with a bit of an earlier frontal passage, in the upper 70s to lower 80s with around 70 southern Adirondacks. Highs Friday in the mid 70s to near 80 with mid 60s to lower 70s higher terrain.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Through 18Z Sunday...VFR conditions expected to prevail at all terminals through much of the period. Scattered rain showers continue to track across portions of the region, with periods of light rain possible at POU/PSF around 21Z Sat-03Z Sun. Upstream observations indicate little precipitation is reaching the ground, and therefore minimal impacts to vsbys are expected.

Otherwise, high pressure building in from the west will see a general clearing trend, particularly at ALB/GFL, through the remainder of the period. Sct-bkn skies at 3-5 kft will decrease in coverage to few-sct through this evening. Patchy fog is possible tonight where skies are clearest, most likely at GFL. With easterly flow advecting a marine airmass into southern and eastern areas, MVFR cigs may develop this evening at PSF and overnight at POU.

Light east to northeast winds at 10 kt or less will continue through today, becoming calm to light and variable after 00-06Z Sun. Winds increase out of the east to northeast again at less than 10 kt after 12-15Z Sun.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

New Baltimore
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:26 AM EDT     4.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:35 AM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:34 PM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:58 PM EDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New Baltimore, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:43 AM EDT     4.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:51 PM EDT     4.38 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Albany, NY,