Friday, July3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ripley, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 9:01PM Friday July 3, 2020 10:14 PM EDT (02:14 UTC) Moonrise 6:51PMMoonset 3:14AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ061 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 918 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Overnight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..West winds less than 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Light and variable winds. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ061 Expires:202007040815;;277365 FZUS61 KCLE 040118 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 918 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... High pressure averaging 30.00 inches will remain over the western Great Lakes region through the weekend and into early next week. A weak cold front will move south across the lake on Saturday. LEZ061-169-040815-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ripley, NY
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location: 42.48, -79.85     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 032337 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 737 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. Very warm conditions are expected through the holiday weekend. A period of hot and humid weather is expected next week. Otherwise, there will be little in the way of any needed rainfall. The highest chances for showers and thunderstorms will be across the Eastern Lake Ontario region.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Any spotty showers to die off by 03z . otherwise high pressure over Upper Great Lakes to provide fair dry weather through Saturday night.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Sunday and Monday are expected to be mainly rainfree as an upper level ridge from the Plains begins to shift eastward. Before the ridge established across the Eastern Great Lakes, one last shortwave dropping across Canada will clip the North Country late Sunday afternoon with perhaps a shower or thunderstorm. Aside from this activity we should remain rainfree.

The ridge axis will remain far enough to the west to allow for the upper level flow to remain northwest . keeping higher moisture levels at bay to our south. It will be very warm with 850 hPa temperatures around 17 to 20C bringing afternoon surface highs into the mid 80s to lower 90s under a mix of sun and clouds. The lower dewpoints may keep apparent temperatures just below advisory levels (95F).

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. . Oppressive Heat with Heat Advisories Likely THROUGH this Period .

An upper level ridge will push eastward this period, pushing 850 hPa temperatures of +18 to +21C across our region. A shortwave trough will remain to our north Tuesday night - Wednesday, but it will flatten the upper level ridge over our region and also draw moisture northward over the Lower Great Lakes. This moisture, combined with surface temperatures in the upper 80s to mid 90s will generate apparent temperatures across the lake plains and in many of the valleys to between 95 and 100 With dry antecedent conditions. have continued to aim above model temp guidance. Nights will remain warm with lows within a few degrees of 70F. Of note, this hot spell will continue THROUGH the end of the period, with the upper level ridge again building over the Eastern Great Lakes region Thursday and Friday . with sticky humidity levels remaining.

A few subtle shortwaves traveling through the mean flow could aid in the development of spotty showers or thunderstorms . this in addition to lake breeze boundary storms, but no widespread convective activity is expected this period. The best chances for showers and thunderstorms will likely be Wednesday when a shortwave crests the upper level ridge over our region.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR flight conditions will remain firmly in place throughout the region during this TAF period. While there may be a few showers early this evening over the western counties . any issues will be few and far between.

Outlook .

Saturday night through Wednesday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. A weak pressure gradient will maintain light winds and negligible waves on the Lower Great Lakes through the holiday weekend. Expect an onshore flow each afternoon as lake breeze circulations set up.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . TMA NEAR TERM . RSH SHORT TERM . Thomas LONG TERM . RSH/Thomas AVIATION . RSH MARINE . HSK/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NREP1 16 mi104 min W 1.9 G 7 80°F
45167 25 mi54 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 75°F 74°F1 ft
EREP1 25 mi56 min WSW 4.1 G 6
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 26 mi74 min SW 6 G 8 76°F 1013.2 hPa (+0.0)
45142 - Port Colborne 35 mi74 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 73°F 72°F1 ft1013 hPa (+0.3)
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 45 mi56 min 74°F 1013.5 hPa

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY31 mi81 minSW 510.00 miFair77°F68°F74%1013.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW5S5SW3SW6SW6SW5SW6SW7SW7W9W8SW7W9W8W7Calm6W7W8SW7SW5SW5Calm
1 day agoSW4S4SW5SW4SW6SW5SW5S4SW4SW6W76W9W9SW9W8SW10SW11SW10SW11
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2 days agoE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4NW3N7N7NE8NW8N6NW7NW7N6NW5NW5W3SW4SW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.