Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beverly Hills, MI
March 29, 2024 5:12 AM EDT (09:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:17 AM Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 11:51 PM Moonset 8:05 AM |
LCZ460 Lake St Clair- 347 Pm Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Tonight - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots early in the evening becoming light and variable - .then becoming east 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Clear in the evening becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday - East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots early in the afternoon. Cloudy with showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday - North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon - .then becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Mostly cloudy. A chance of light showers in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Light showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday - North winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy with light showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LCZ400
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Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 290747 AFDDTX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 347 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Mostly sunny and seasonal temperatures today.
- Widespread showers arrive Saturday morning. Some rumbles of thunder will be possible.
- Additional showers will again be possible Sunday and Monday while temperatures settle near seasonal averages.
DISCUSSION
A diffuse high pressure system over the Great Lakes with antecedent dry conditions highlighted by an expansive dry low-level airmass within water vapor imagery have supported clear skies through the overnight hours. This brings a chilly start to the day, where temperatures now reside in the upper 20s. Little change to the synoptic pattern outside of some gradually building heights within the mid-level ridge will continue to support dry weather and clear conditions through the day. A subtle increase in warm air advection coupled with solar insolation will support daytime highs in the low to mid 50s, with some locally cooler temperatures across the Thumb.
Low-level warm air advection will then ramp up tonight into early tomorrow morning in response to an upper wave and low pressure system that builds into the Midwest. A 60 knots low level jet from h850 through h700 will build in across Indiana and Ohio just downstream of the low pressure, which will advect the nose of Gulf moisture into the southern Michigan. Forcing along the nose of this jet will be maximized south of the state line, but will clip portions of SE MI south of I-94 by the mid-morning hours. This will also elicit a decent frontogenetic response across MI, generally from Fremont to Monroe, with frontolysis taking place through the late morning hours, given the unfavorable zonality of the llj across Indiana and Ohio. Taking into consideration mid-level forcing from the upper-level shortwave and even a couple hours of upper-level divergence from right entrance dynamics from the extension of the atlantic jet, the expectation is for widespread rain to fill in over SE MI through the morning hours. Have increased PoP values for all of SE MI, placing categorical (>80%) south of M59, where the low- level forcing is maximized. Some rumbles of thunder will be possible here, respecting the deeper layer forcing, but SBCAPE/MUCAPE will not be present which is an inhibiting factor. Locations north will likely see lighter rain (70% chance) through the morning as a secondary sheared wave moves in along the cyclonically sheared side of an approaching jet stream.
There are some questions as to how well temperatures will recover within the wake of the passing low/wave. There is higher confidence that warmer air and stronger mechanical mixing, tapping into warmer air aloft, will fill in along or south of I-94 in the afternoon, promoting temperature highs in the mid to upper 50s. The question is how far north the warm nose will get into SE MI. The 10th percentile within the EPS has max highs of 44-45 degrees across ARB to DTW, supporting a lower-end possibility that the warm sector fails to breach up to I-94. Locations removed from the warm sector (highest probability along and north of I-69) will likely stay capped in the 40s with sustained drizzle possible noting boundary layer moisture extending through 5kft.
High pressure will build back in across the Great Lakes Sunday morning into the early afternoon, producing dry weather with highs in the low 50s. The main feature to watch through the early week period (late Sunday to early Tuesday morning) will be the baroclinic zone and stationary front that is expected to set up somewhere over southern Michigan or down across the northern Ohio River Valley.
This will be the focal point for prolonged rainfall, heavy at times, from overrunning along the front. Ensemble variance is large at this time regarding where exactly the front will settle. Through the midweek period, an upper-level wave will carve into the Midwest, enhancing the longwave trough pattern across the eastern US. This will bring additional chances for precipitation (rain to a rain/snow mix) during the midweek period.
MARINE
A narrow ridge of high pressure extending southeast from Manitoba drifts over the region today, resulting in predominantly WNW winds at around 10 to 15 knots. The next low pressure moves through the southern Great Lakes on Saturday, bringing rain and snow to parts of the region. Winds organize out of the E/NE ahead of the system early Saturday then shift to NW as it passes by to the south Saturday night. High pressure builds in early Sunday with benign weather and light, variable winds. This will be short-lived as multiple disturbances then track across the region Sunday night through the early week. At this time winds look to remain below marine headline criteria.
HYDROLOGY
Widespread rainfall will move in across SE MI through Saturday morning. The heaviest rainfall is expected to fall along or south of the I-94 corridor, where rainfall totals around a quarter-inch will be possible. Rainfall totals around a half-inch cannot be ruled out, but will likely stayed confined to or south of the state line. Rain is expected to exit the region through Saturday afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 1133 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
AVIATION...
VFR conditions hold tonight and Friday, as dry and stable low level conditions maintain a stretch of clear skies. Modest winds remain from the west tonight, persisting into Friday. High cloud thickness as winds flip to a light easterly flow in advance of a warm front early Friday night. Shower potential increases with an associated reduction in cloud base starting Saturday morning.
DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* None.
DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 347 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Mostly sunny and seasonal temperatures today.
- Widespread showers arrive Saturday morning. Some rumbles of thunder will be possible.
- Additional showers will again be possible Sunday and Monday while temperatures settle near seasonal averages.
DISCUSSION
A diffuse high pressure system over the Great Lakes with antecedent dry conditions highlighted by an expansive dry low-level airmass within water vapor imagery have supported clear skies through the overnight hours. This brings a chilly start to the day, where temperatures now reside in the upper 20s. Little change to the synoptic pattern outside of some gradually building heights within the mid-level ridge will continue to support dry weather and clear conditions through the day. A subtle increase in warm air advection coupled with solar insolation will support daytime highs in the low to mid 50s, with some locally cooler temperatures across the Thumb.
Low-level warm air advection will then ramp up tonight into early tomorrow morning in response to an upper wave and low pressure system that builds into the Midwest. A 60 knots low level jet from h850 through h700 will build in across Indiana and Ohio just downstream of the low pressure, which will advect the nose of Gulf moisture into the southern Michigan. Forcing along the nose of this jet will be maximized south of the state line, but will clip portions of SE MI south of I-94 by the mid-morning hours. This will also elicit a decent frontogenetic response across MI, generally from Fremont to Monroe, with frontolysis taking place through the late morning hours, given the unfavorable zonality of the llj across Indiana and Ohio. Taking into consideration mid-level forcing from the upper-level shortwave and even a couple hours of upper-level divergence from right entrance dynamics from the extension of the atlantic jet, the expectation is for widespread rain to fill in over SE MI through the morning hours. Have increased PoP values for all of SE MI, placing categorical (>80%) south of M59, where the low- level forcing is maximized. Some rumbles of thunder will be possible here, respecting the deeper layer forcing, but SBCAPE/MUCAPE will not be present which is an inhibiting factor. Locations north will likely see lighter rain (70% chance) through the morning as a secondary sheared wave moves in along the cyclonically sheared side of an approaching jet stream.
There are some questions as to how well temperatures will recover within the wake of the passing low/wave. There is higher confidence that warmer air and stronger mechanical mixing, tapping into warmer air aloft, will fill in along or south of I-94 in the afternoon, promoting temperature highs in the mid to upper 50s. The question is how far north the warm nose will get into SE MI. The 10th percentile within the EPS has max highs of 44-45 degrees across ARB to DTW, supporting a lower-end possibility that the warm sector fails to breach up to I-94. Locations removed from the warm sector (highest probability along and north of I-69) will likely stay capped in the 40s with sustained drizzle possible noting boundary layer moisture extending through 5kft.
High pressure will build back in across the Great Lakes Sunday morning into the early afternoon, producing dry weather with highs in the low 50s. The main feature to watch through the early week period (late Sunday to early Tuesday morning) will be the baroclinic zone and stationary front that is expected to set up somewhere over southern Michigan or down across the northern Ohio River Valley.
This will be the focal point for prolonged rainfall, heavy at times, from overrunning along the front. Ensemble variance is large at this time regarding where exactly the front will settle. Through the midweek period, an upper-level wave will carve into the Midwest, enhancing the longwave trough pattern across the eastern US. This will bring additional chances for precipitation (rain to a rain/snow mix) during the midweek period.
MARINE
A narrow ridge of high pressure extending southeast from Manitoba drifts over the region today, resulting in predominantly WNW winds at around 10 to 15 knots. The next low pressure moves through the southern Great Lakes on Saturday, bringing rain and snow to parts of the region. Winds organize out of the E/NE ahead of the system early Saturday then shift to NW as it passes by to the south Saturday night. High pressure builds in early Sunday with benign weather and light, variable winds. This will be short-lived as multiple disturbances then track across the region Sunday night through the early week. At this time winds look to remain below marine headline criteria.
HYDROLOGY
Widespread rainfall will move in across SE MI through Saturday morning. The heaviest rainfall is expected to fall along or south of the I-94 corridor, where rainfall totals around a quarter-inch will be possible. Rainfall totals around a half-inch cannot be ruled out, but will likely stayed confined to or south of the state line. Rain is expected to exit the region through Saturday afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 1133 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
AVIATION...
VFR conditions hold tonight and Friday, as dry and stable low level conditions maintain a stretch of clear skies. Modest winds remain from the west tonight, persisting into Friday. High cloud thickness as winds flip to a light easterly flow in advance of a warm front early Friday night. Shower potential increases with an associated reduction in cloud base starting Saturday morning.
DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* None.
DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI | 20 mi | 73 min | NW 1G | 33°F | 30.05 | |||
AGCM4 | 39 mi | 55 min | 31°F | 38°F | 29.98 | |||
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH | 48 mi | 73 min | NW 6G | 37°F | 30.03 | 20°F | ||
MBRM4 - 9014090 - Mouth of the Black River, MI | 54 mi | 55 min | 32°F | 29.98 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KVLL OAKLAND/TROY,MI | 4 sm | 17 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 32°F | 18°F | 55% | 30.04 | |
KPTK OAKLAND COUNTY INTL,MI | 14 sm | 19 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 18°F | 68% | 30.01 | |
KDET COLEMAN A YOUNG MUNI,MI | 15 sm | 19 min | N 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 18°F | 51% | 30.03 | |
KDTW DETROIT METROPOLITAN WAYNE COUNTY,MI | 22 sm | 19 min | W 04 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 30°F | 19°F | 64% | 30.03 | |
CYQG WINDSOR,CN | 23 sm | 72 min | N 06 | 9 sm | Clear | 32°F | 18°F | 55% | 30.03 | |
KMTC SELFRIDGE ANGB,MI | 23 sm | 17 min | NNW 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 30°F | 19°F | 64% | 30.00 | |
KYIP WILLOW RUN,MI | 24 sm | 19 min | WSW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 28°F | 21°F | 74% | 30.03 |
Detroit, MI,
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