Trumansburg, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Trumansburg, NY

June 24, 2024 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:28 AM   Sunset 8:48 PM
Moonrise 10:25 PM   Moonset 6:53 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202406241515;;569213 Fzus51 Kbuf 240843 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 443 am edt Mon jun 24 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-241515- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 443 am edt Mon jun 24 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through this evening - .

Today - West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest 15 to 25 knots. Showers likely this morning, then a chance of showers early this afternoon. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.

Tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

Tuesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Thursday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.

Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
the water temperature off rochester is 55 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Trumansburg, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 241807 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 207 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
Gusty winds will continue into the early evening before high pressure builds in. Tonight will be cool with temperatures warming back up into the 80s tomorrow but stay mostly dry.
Wednesday has a chance at seeing some some severe thunderstorms once again with best chances in the Southern Tier and south.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
145 PM Update...

Winds have become quite gusty this afternoon as a 850 mb jet passes over head with that wind able to mix down to the surface at times. Most of the area has seen gusts of at least 30 with hill tops getting over 40 mph and even a few locations getting 45 to 48 mph. The 850 mb jet is moving east through the rest of the morning with winds calming down from west to east and with loss of mixing after sunset, the rest of the area will have winds lessen. Tonight with high pressure building in, valley wilds will likely go calm. Fog was added to the grids mainly for the upper susquehanna river tributaries as well as the Mohawk valley as the clouds wont clear until near sunset so there will be more moisture and a lower threshold for fog formation. East of I81, dry air has been mixing in with sunnier skies as well as drier so fog formation will be tough.

Tomorrow warms back up with the trough axis east of the region and ridging builds in. Flow aloft becomes more SW bringing in higher dew points once again. The region is looking to stay dry but some of the models are trying to develop an MCS in the northern plains tonight that tries to propagate through the Great Lakes reaching our area by the afternoon. Confidence is low that will happen as the flow aloft is zonal so any propagating wave should be more west to east rather than dipping south so lowered precipitation chances in the afternoon.
Overnight there is a shortwave digging in so that is when there is better chances as showers and thunderstorms.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
345 AM Update...

The ridge breaks down Tuesday night, bringing zonal flow aloft and SW flow in the low levels. Warm moist air returns to the region thanks to this pattern, with overnight lows only falling into the mid to upper 60s. A weak shortwave looks to push into the area overnight, bringing a chance for rain showers and isolated thunderstorms from Oneida county to the Finger Lakes.
Confidence in the showers developing is low given a lack of deep moisture and the surface high still strong enough to influence weather of the CWA Best chance for precip will be north of the Thruway, but showers across CNY cannot be ruled out.

The next chance for severe weather arrives Wednesday afternoon.
A positively tilted trough will dig into the Mid-Atlantic from the Great Lakes during the late overnight and morning hours. The path and tilt of this trough will keep winds mostly WSW over the area, not allowing the hottest air from the south to make it into the CWA Rather, it moves into the Mid- Atlantic and up the coast into Southern New England. The Twin Tiers, NEPA and the southern Catskills will still climb into the upper 80s to low 90s with dewpoints in the mid 60s. This allows for CAPE to climb into the 2000-2500 j/kg range over this area with 1000-1500 j/kg to the north. Bulk shear values are also modeled strong, between 35-45kts out of the SW. A mid level shortwave will be the main driver of afternoon showers and storms and how far south this feature is as it crosses the CWA will determine the area with the highest chances for severe weather. Currently, guidance has it crossing central PA into southern NY. This puts the Twin Tiers, NEPA and southern Catskills in the severe weather Goldilocks zone. A shift north or south of the shortwave would thus move this zone according, so we will be paying close attention to it.

Shower and thunderstorm chances remain through the overnight hours as the cold front associated with the trough moves through the area. This is another feature we will be watching closely as guidance has sped up its arrival into the CWA over the past couple of days and if it can sync up a little better with the shortwave ahead of it, severe chances will increase across the area. With the front pushing through during the early overnight hours, temps will fall into the mid to upper 50s over NY and low to mid 60s over PA.

A strong ridge will build into the region Thursday, bringing NW flow and a shot of Canadian air, keeping temperatures cool and skies mostly clear. Highs will be in the 70s, with very low humidity. The high pressure center moves right over the CWA Thursday night, allowing for efficient radiational cooling that push temps down into the the mid 40s to low 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
400 AM Update...

High pressure holds on through Friday, bringing a very nice end to the work week. The weekend sees a return to active weather unfortunately as a positively tilted upper level trough moves into the region from the Great Lakes. A warm front and shortwave pushing through Saturday followed by a cold front on Sunday will allow for rain and thunderstorm chances through the weekend.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Cigs have mostly raised to VFR but winds are very gusty out of the NW. These winds will slowly lessen through the afternoon into 0Z tonight as high pressure builds in. Cigs will be scattering out through the rest of the dry air as the high pressure moves in as well. Vis restrictions were removed from ELM as the dry air moving in has brought dew points down far enough that there is a good chance that the terminal will be fog free. Tomorrow is looking VFR at all terminals.

Outlook...

Tuesday afternoon...VFR likely.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night...Restrictions possible in scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday through Friday...Mainly VFR.

Saturday...Restrictions from showers and thunderstorms possible.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KITH ITHACA TOMPKINS RGNL,NY 8 sm38 minNW 1010 smPartly Cloudy
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Wind History graph: ITH
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Binghamton, NY,




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