Poestenkill, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Poestenkill, NY

June 16, 2024 10:59 PM EDT (02:59 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:14 AM   Sunset 8:36 PM
Moonrise 3:20 PM   Moonset 1:50 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Poestenkill, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 170225 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1025 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure shifts east of New England tonight. Hot and humid weather arrives Monday and continues through most of the week with isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible from the mid week onward. Dangerous heat and humidity levels will impact many of the valley areas Tuesday through Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/

Update
As of 10:25 PM EDT...Clearing skies across NY and calm winds in some of the more sheltered areas have allowed temps to drop quickly after sunset, with portions of the ADKs, upper Hudson Valley, and Catskills seeing temperatures in the 50s per latest NYS mesonet and ASOS obs. Rate of temperature decrease should slow over the next few hours as winds pick up with the increasing pressure gradient as surface high pressure slides further to the east and mid and high clouds increase with remnant convective activity tracking north of our region.
Nevertheless, a few patches of radiation fog are possible through the next few hours where temperatures approach the respective dew points. Otherwise, previous forecast remains on track with more details below...

Previous
A 1025 hPa sfc anticyclone shifts east to southeast of New England this evening into tonight. Low and mid level heights will continue to rise tonight with strong ridging building in from the Mid Atlantic Corridor and the Southeast. A sfc warm front will approach from the Ohio Valley and the Mid Atlantic States. Mid and high clouds will increase. There is a small chance some lower stratus moves in south and east of Capital Region. Some cooling will occur with the sct-bkn mid and high clouds with light to calm winds.

Lows will be in the 50s to around 60F with some pockets of upper 40s possible in the sheltered valleys.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Heat Advisories issued noon Tuesday to 8 pm Thursday for all of southern VT, and eastern NY excluding most of the southern Adirondacks, and the eastern Catskills...

Tomorrow will be the transition to the heat and humidity, as the warm front lifts north and east of the region. Low and mid level warm advection continues. The latest NAEFS shows H500/H700 height anomalies of +2 to +3 STD Devs above normal. A few showers or thunderstorms may pop up over the southern Adirondacks with the warm front and weak mid level impulse. Sfc dewpoints rise into the low to mid 60s with some upper 50s over the higher terrain, as humidity levels increase. Max temps were accepted close the latest EC/GFS MOS blend with mid and upper 80s in the valleys with a few isolated 90F readings, and mid 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain. Heat indices stay below advisory thresholds of 95F or less.

Monday night will be muggier and much more humid compared to past few night, as the ride strengthens aloft. The skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60s in the valley areas, and upper 50s to mid 60s over the hills and mountains.

Tuesday into the mid week the heat and humidity levels ramp up.
H850 temps on the latest GFS/ECMWF increase to +18C to +21C. The H850 temp anomalies are +1 to +3 STDEVs above normal. Southerly winds of 5 to 15 mph will allow dewpoints to creep up in the 60s to near 70F. Heat indices in the Hudson River Valley, Mohawk Valley and CT River valleys rise into the mid 90s to lower 100s.
Extensive collaboration with neighboring WFOs was to go with Heat Advisories TUE and extend through THU with possible upgrades to Excessive Heat Warnings for certain areas WED and THU. Record maxes could be achieved in some locations (see the Climo section below). Any isolated thunderstorms threat should be confined to the Adirondack Park/western Mohawk Valley with a capped atmosphere. The differential heating between the terrain could allow for a pop-up convective cell or two. Max temps were from an ECM Ensemble MOS/NBM blend with lower and mid 90s below 1000 ft in elevations and mid 80s to near 90F over the hills towns and mtns.

A balmy and muggy night will occur Tue night with mid 60s to lower 70s for low temps with the ridge along the East Coast firmly in place. It will be mostly clear overnight.

Wednesday should be one of the peak hot days of the heat with 596-597 decameter heights over NY and New England. We may have to upgrade portions of the Capital District, Mohawk Valley, Upper Hudson River Valley, Lake George Region and the CT River Valley of southern VT to an Excessive Heat Warnings with heat indices hovering near 105F. Dangerous hot and humid weather will continue over much of the region where the advisories are out.
We may have to add in Litchfield Co including the hills to the advisories and portions of the Berkshires if heat indices hit 100F or so, or it is the 2nd day of 95-99F. The NBM numbers look a little warm with H850 temps are around 20C. We could see some upper 90s, but local wind effects may be needed. We have highs in the upper 90s (97-98F in the immediate Capital District, the CT River Valley and portions of the Hudson River Valley). The higher terrain will be the mid 80s to lower 90s. Most the lower elevations will be in the 90s. We could see some isolated thunderstorms pop- up north and west of the Capital District. It will be important to stay cool and hydrated if outside on Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Heat Advisories continue until 8 pm Thursday for all of southern VT, and eastern NY excluding most of the southern Adirondacks, and the eastern Catskills...

Heat will continue a bit longer into the long term period with a strong 500 hPa upper high centered over the mid-Atlantic peaking around 598 dm (+2 to +3 STDEV). Thursday looks to be the hotter day of the period before the high slowly shifts southward and weakens Friday into the weekend. 850 hPa temperatures Thursday afternoon look to be around +20C. Even accounting for some superadiabatic mixing, highs may reach the mid to upper 90s in the valleys with upper 80s to lower 90s across the higher elevations. While some localized valley areas could approach 100 degrees, there was not enough confidence to forecast a temperature that high at this time. Dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s to lower 70s should result in widespread heat index values (feels like temperatures) in the upper 90s to lower 100s in the valleys with some upper 80s to localized mid-90s across higher elevations. A Heat Advisory has been issued for some valley areas through the day Thursday. An upgrade to an Excessive Heat Warning may be needed for some areas if confidence on heat indices of 105 F or greater increases. Little relief will be in place Wednesday and Thursday nights with lows in the mid-60s to lower 70s.

The combination of differential heating plus the potential for some weak upper level energy to track over the northern periphery of the ridge and an approaching front near the US/Canadian border could lead to some isolated showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon, especially for far northern areas. The southern shift in the high, additional upper-level shortwave energy and the frontal boundary dropping southward should result in a gradual downward trend in temperatures Friday through the weekend along with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. Though, heat indices may still reach the mid to upper 90s across some valley areas on Friday and trends will be monitored for any additional heat headlines.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 00z Tuesday...All sites are currently VFR, which should continue through most of tonight with SCT to BKN mid and high clouds. May see some low stratus spread northwards towards POU and/or PSF towards sunrise resulting in MVFR cigs, but this would likely burn off by around 14z with a return to VFR conditions through at least the end of the TAF period. Mainly SCT mid-level clouds will be around through the day tomorrow.

Winds tonight remain light at around 5 kt from the south/southeast, except at ALB where winds increase to around 10 kt with some higher gusts after midnight. Tomorrow morning, winds increase to 5-10 kt at all TAF sites from the south with some gusts up to 15 kt in the afternoon especially at ALB/PSF/POU.

Outlook...

Monday Night to Thu night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:

Tuesday June 18: Albany - 97 (1957, 2018)
Glens Falls - 95 (1907)
Poughkeepsie - 94 (2018)

Wednesday June 19: Albany - 94 (1995)
Glens Falls - 97 (1995)
Poughkeepsie - 92 (1941, 1943, 1993, 2016)

Thursday June 20: Albany - 97 (1953)
Glens Falls - 97 (1923)
Poughkeepsie - 96 (2012)

Friday June 21: Albany - 97 (1938)
Glens Falls - 96 (2012)
Poughkeepsie - 97 (1949)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ038>043-047>054-059>061-064>066-083-084.
MA...None.
VT...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ013>015.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 54 mi89 min0 71°F 30.1551°F




Airport Reports
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   
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Troy
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Sun -- 01:28 AM EDT     4.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:09 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:33 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:25 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
4.1
1
am
4.6
2
am
4.5
3
am
3.9
4
am
3.2
5
am
2.5
6
am
1.9
7
am
1.1
8
am
0.6
9
am
0.9
10
am
1.9
11
am
2.9
12
pm
3.6
1
pm
3.9
2
pm
4
3
pm
3.4
4
pm
2.6
5
pm
1.9
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
0.8
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
1.2
11
pm
2.5


Tide / Current for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Sun -- 01:20 AM EDT     4.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:59 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:25 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
4.2
1
am
4.6
2
am
4.5
3
am
3.8
4
am
3
5
am
2.4
6
am
1.8
7
am
1
8
am
0.6
9
am
1
10
am
2.1
11
am
3
12
pm
3.6
1
pm
4
2
pm
3.9
3
pm
3.3
4
pm
2.5
5
pm
1.8
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
2.7


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Albany, NY,




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