Wood Lake, NE Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wood Lake, NE

June 24, 2024 1:42 PM CDT (18:42 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 9:21 PM
Moonrise 11:03 PM   Moonset 7:33 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wood Lake, NE
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Area Discussion for - North Platte, NE
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FXUS63 KLBF 241708 AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1208 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

KEY MESSAGES

* A marginal risk (risk level 1 of 5) of severe weather is possible this afternoon and evening across much of western and north central Nebraska.

* Hot temperatures are expected today as heat indices rise to over 100 degrees allowing the heat advisory to remain in effect for portions of southwest and north central Nebraska.

* The next chance for significant thunderstorms arrives Wednesday night into Thursday, however, the severe potential remains low at this time.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 348 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The main weather concern for the short term will be the increasing temperatures today. A surge of warm air advection will push surface highs well into the mid 90s to low 100s (warmest across southwest Nebraska) by this afternoon. Temperatures continue to be increased a degree or two above guidance as confidence remains high in achieving these highs. Latest probabilities continue to suggest high temperatures of over 100 degrees are in in the 90+ percentile range across southwest Nebraska, which only increases confidence in the potential to rise above guidance. Not only will air temperatures soar today, but these highs combined with increased moisture from recent rainfall will push heat indices into the 100 to 105 degree range for portions of southwest and north central Nebraska. Despite increased temperatures and confidence, no changes have been made to the going heat advisory. Temperatures should greatly lessen as the sun begins to set and will quickly drop back into the mid 90s by mid- evening allowing the heat advisory to expire by that time.

Some isolated precipitation chances are possible on this evening as well, but confidence remains low and should be mainly diurnally driven. While widespread severe storms are not anticipated with this activity, an isolated stronger to briefly severe storm is entirely possible especially if it can tap into some of the better instability. Large hail would be the primary threats before storms weaken by late evening.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Issued at 348 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Zonal flow will keep dry weather for the most part across the region through the middle of the week. Temperatures moderate back into the low 80s (northern Nebraska) to mid to upper 90s (south of I-80) for Tuesday and Wednesday. Some isolated thunderstorms are possible again across portions of northern Nebraska on Tuesday evening. Again these storms will be diurnally driven and widespread severe storms are not anticipated.

The next major chance of precipitation will then arrive on Wednesday night into Thursday night as a series of upper level troughs and frontal passages move off the Rockies across the central Plains. At this time, confidence still remains low in strength as well as track of the systems and therefore severe weather potential remains low. A marginal risk of severe storms has be introduced by SPC for storm development on Wednesday night across the High Plains where the best instability exists at this time. This may change in the next few days as instability shifts and the models get a better handle on the overall environment. Lingering rain will continue into Saturday morning bringing a wet start to next weekend with just some isolated rain shower chances for Sunday. Plenty of clouds and rain will allow high temperatures to fall back into the mid 70s to mid 80s for the weekend. Low temperatures will also drop over the weekend with a chilly low 50s across northern Nebraska for Friday and Saturday nights.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Little more than some mid clouds over central and western Nebraska early this afternoon, but there may be some isolated thunderstorm development late in the day and into this evening.
Coverage is expected to be sparse so not enough confidence to warrant a TEMPO or even a VCTS. Will monitor radar trends closely and amend if activity develops on a trajectory to impact a TAF site. Any convection will wane quickly with loss of diurnal heating toward sunset so expect dry conditions overnight and through the end of the valid period. There is a hint for some sub-VFR CIGs to move down from the north and affect KVTN late Tuesday morning but probabilistic guidance shows a 30 percent chance or less for CIGs at or below 3kft AGL, so will put in some low VFR SCT clouds and see if a trend for lower CIGs develops as later guidance becomes available.

The boundary layer is hot, dry, and deeply mixed. This will create some gusty conditions into early this evening before winds diminish for the overnight period. Note however that in this environment any storms that do develop will be capable of producing strong and erratic gusty outflow winds that may travel a good distance from the parent convection. Lack of confidence in timing and location of convection prohibits a specific mention in the TAF but pilots should anticipate rapid changes in wind speed and direction near any thunderstorms.



LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for NEZ007-010-027>029-038-059-069>071.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KVTN MILLER FIELD,NE 13 sm50 minWNW 1110 smClear95°F57°F28%29.76
KANW AINSWORTH RGNL,NE 22 sm27 minWNW 0710 smClear91°F63°F38%29.76
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North Platte, NE,




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