Chiloquin, OR Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chiloquin, OR

June 15, 2024 4:26 AM PDT (11:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:28 AM   Sunset 8:47 PM
Moonrise 1:40 PM   Moonset 12:49 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chiloquin, OR
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Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 151103 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 403 AM PDT Sat Jun 15 2024

DISCUSSION
Radar is showing a few weak showers entering into southern Oregon along the coast and into Douglas County. Satellite imagery is showing some clouds across more portions of southern Oregon and northern California. This is part of a broad low pressure system that will be pushing through the Pacific Northwest this weekend. These showers will largely be confined to the coast and to areas north of the Jackson/Douglas County border. The main story regarding this low is that it will lead to generally colder temperatures and expected freezing conditions for Saturday night into Sunday morning for Father's Day. Have upgraded the freeze watch to a freeze warning. Please see the NPWMFR for more details.
Otherwise, we will experience cool, breezy afternoon today.

This low and associated fronts are producing a little more uncertainty in the forecast Sunday afternoon into Monday afternoon than usual. A stronger front is rotating around the slow-moving low in the Pacific Northwest and is expected to weaken as it tracks inland. The strength and positioning of this wave have a wide range of solutions among the ECMWF and GEFS ensemble members. The forecast leans slightly wetter than the NBM solution, with a widespread slight chance to chance probability of light rain in order to highlight the risk of an honest to goodness rainfall, especially west of the Cascades, with the highest probability during late Sunday evening into early Monday morning. The operational version of the GFS leans toward the wetter side of the solutions, a little wetter than our forecast, while the weaker ECMWF is more representative of the NBM. We will be watching this closely for potential adjustments as data updates.

The upper low is expected to gradually move eastward Monday night. Then, Tuesday through Friday, models indicate weak trough to near zonal flow over the region with a high pressure ridge offshore.

With this pattern expect daytime temperatures to trend warmer (becoming slightly above normal) and generally dry conditions.
Overnight low temperatures will be cool to mild Monday night/Tuesday morning, with a potential for areas of frost conditions in valleys east of the Cascades. For Monday night/Tuesday morning, National Blend of Models indicates a 50-60% chance for low temperatures in the mid 30s in valleys east of the Cascades (Klamath Falls, Lakeview and Alturas) with a 20-25% chance for low temperatures down to 32.
Areas in northern Klamath County, near Chemult, have a higher chance (60-80%) for freezing conditions (32 deg and below) during this period. Overnight/morning low temperatures will trend warmer Tuesday night through late in the week. Northerly winds maybe gusty during the afternoons/evenings for areas along the coast as a surface thermal trough builds beginning Monday night into Tuesday.
Otherwise, expect typical diurnal breezes across the area.
-Schaaf/Clarstrom

AVIATION
15/06Z TAFs...High clouds and clear visibilities are supporting continued VFR conditions across northern California and southern Oregon overnight, but a few scattered MVFR clouds will be possible, especially with showers. Gusty winds pick up across the area in the afternoon once again. -Schaaf

MARINE
Updated 230 AM Saturday, June 15, 2024...Winds will increase late this afternoon and evening south of Port Orford with steeper seas developing near the California border. The steeper seas and gustier winds will continue in this area into Sunday.

The active weather will persist into next week, but the timing and sea state forecast will both benefit from extra guidance. Another upper level disturbance is expected to move over the area, bring more slight precipitation chances (10-20%) and wind gusts of 15 to 20 kts over all waters Sunday into Monday morning. A wider thermal trough is forecast to build on Monday evening and remain into midweek, bringing wind-built steep seas to most if not all waters and gusts of near 30 kts south of Gold Beach. Long-term probabilistic guidance currently has low (10-30%) chances of waves over 9 feet limited to Brookings and farther south through next week, so anything more than steep seas is not currently expected.

-TAD



MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 8 AM PDT Sunday for ORZ029>031.

CA...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ084-085.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Sunday for PZZ356-376.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLMT42 sm33 minW 1310 smClear45°F36°F70%30.10
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Medford, OR,




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