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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Watervliet, NY

June 25, 2024 5:40 AM EDT (09:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:16 AM   Sunset 8:38 PM
Moonrise 11:43 PM   Moonset 8:59 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Watervliet, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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512 FXUS61 KALY 250801 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 401 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds in from the Mid Atlantic Region today with mostly sunny skies and dry weather as temperatures rise back above normal. A warm front moves through tonight with increasing clouds and a few showers and thunderstorms. A cold front will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night, as a cooler and drier air mass builds in Thursday through Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 400 AM EDT...High pressure is building in from the Ohio Valley and the Lower Great Lakes Region this morning with clear/mostly clear skies and light to calm winds. Radiational mist/fog has formed in the sheltered valley north and east of the Capital Region. The mist/fog should burn off quickly this morning with mostly sunny/sunny skies due to the subsidence with low and mid level ridging aloft.

H850 temps will rise to about +1 to +2 STDEVs above normal as the actual values will be in the +14C to +17C range. Humidity levels will be comfortable with dewpoints in the 50s to around 60F in a few spots. Expect max temps to be close to the NBM/MAV MOS values with mid and upper 80s in the valley areas with a few 90F readings in the mid Hudson Valley and mid 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain. Winds will be lighter than yesterday and be from the west to southwest at 5-15 mph. Some cirrus will begin to increase in the late pm from the south and west ahead of a warm front.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Tonight...A warm front approaches the region from the south and west. Mid and high clouds increase. Low to mid level warm advection continues. Some elevated instability associated with the warm front and a weak mid level disturbance will bring some isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms especially north and west of the mid Hudson Valley. The thunderstorms may be more confined to the Adirondacks, w-central Mohawk Valley and the northern Catskills. Low temps will be milder with mid and upper 60s over the lower elevations and upper 50s to lower/mid 60s over the hills and mtns.

The forecast area enters a warm sector on Wednesday and it becomes moderately humid. The latest short-range and CAM guidance is hinting at a drier day with perhaps some showers and thunderstorms getting into locations south and west of the Capital Region in the late afternoon and early evening. The latest HRRRS has mean MUCAPEs of 750-1000 J/kg over the southern most zones of the southeast Catskills, mid Hudson Valley and NW CT with 0-6 km shear values around 35 KT. A few stronger thunderstorms may develop. The SPC Day 2 Outlook did not change much with a Slight Risk over the eastern Catskills, Mid Hudson Valley. A Marginal Risk continues over most of the rest of the forecast area. A few stronger storms are possible into the early evening, but the instability will be decreasing. The latest 3-km NAM shows the best MLCAPE and 0-6 km shear overlay towards 00Z/THU close to the I-84 corridor with the short-wave trough and the cold front. Any severe threat will likely be damaging winds or marginal severe hail. Max temps will generally be in the mid and upper 80s in the valleys with 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain. Heat indices look to remain below 95F for the mid Hudson River Valley, so a heat advisory is not anticipated at this time.

PWATs rise +1 to +2 STDEVS above normal into the 1.25-1.75" range. A secondary wave along the boundary will increase the showers and embedded thunderstorms WED night for moderate to locally heavy rain. The front is somewhat progressive and this should limit the flash flood threat. WPC has a Marginal Risk over the entire forecast area...so an isolated flash flood can not be ruled out. Some 1-2" or so rainfall tallies will be possible. Lows due to wet bulb cooling and cold advection in the wake of the front will be in the 50s to lower 60s.

Fairly good confidence in the ensembles and medium range guidance that the front will move through the region quickly by daybreak Thursday. A few showers may persist in the morning over western New England and the southern Adirondacks, as the the mid and upper level trough axis move trough. High pressure builds in from the Great Lakes Region. In the cyclonic flow aloft it will be cool with sun mixed with a few clouds. Max temps will be in the mid 60s to lower/mid 70s over the higher terrain. Highs below 1000 ft in elevation will range from the mid 70s to lower 80s. Humidity levels will be comfortable. The sfc anticyclone builds in over NY and New England with ideal radiational cooling conditions with clear skies and light/calm winds. Lows will fall into the 40s to lower/mid 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
We begin the long term period with large scale subsidence building behind our departing trough from Thursday resulting in strengthening high pressure for Friday. This will yield tranquil weather with plenty of sunshine for final day of the work week and seasonable temperatures rising into the upper 70s to low 80s with low humidity.

Our attention then turns to an incoming trough for the weekend.
Guidance is in good agreement with high pressure maintaining control of the Northeast Friday night into the first half of Saturday before a warm front progresses northward. Within the incoming warm sector, increasingly rich low and mid-level moisture with PWATs exceeding 1.50" and potentially even 2" advects into the Northeast and looks to restrict boundary layer mixing/insolation and thus high temperatures appear to remain only around normal albeit increasing humidity. Should insolation end up being higher with the deeper moisture delayed until evening, daytime temperatures may trend warmer for Saturday.

Strengthening warm air and moisture advection along the leading edge of the warm nose support POPs increasing to chances (30-50%) and likely (50-70%) for rain and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon into especially Saturday night when the stronger height falls arrive.
Guidance is in good agreement keeping the main parent trough and sfc cold front displaced well to our west over the Great Lakes and western NY so we remain in the warm sector Saturday night into Sunday. This should support even warmer daytime temperatures for Sunday as strong flow ahead of the incoming cold front results in even higher humidity. Parts of the mid-Hudson Valley may reach heat advisory criteria but still enough uncertainty to keep this out of the hazardous weather outlook. Ensemble guidance supports the slow progression of the incoming trough and sfc cold front which is why we maintained POPs at chance (30-50% ) for much of Sunday before the main thermal and moisture gradient finally pushes through eastern NY and western New England with the trough axis following in its wake.

Much cooler and drier air quickly infiltrates behind the cold front for Sunday night into Monday with winds also turning breezy. Dry weather continues into Tuesday and seasonable temperatures as high pressure from the Great Lakes builds into the Northeast.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
IFR visibility with even periods of LIFR visibility will be maintained at GFL through 11 UTC/25 due to fog formation under radiational cooling conditons while ALB/POU remain VFR. We removed the mention of fog development at PSF given current dew point depression at over 5 degrees; however, ongoing radiational cooling conditions will support additional cooling and as temperatures at PSF cool into the mid-50s towards sunrise, some patchy fog may form. Given how early sunrise is in late June, did not have enough confidence to include MVFR visibility at PSF, especially given lack of support in forecast soundings.
Will continue to monitor and adjust visibility forecast as needed.

Early fog at GFL burns off by or shortly after 11 UTC. Then SKC conditions expected at all terminals thanks to large scale subsidence building in behind our departing upper level trough.
Cirrus clouds return after 00 UTC from west to east at all terminals before mid-level clouds with ceilings around 10kft return. A few isolated showers may approach ALB, POU, and GFL by or shortly after 03 UTC with the potential reaching PSF towards the end of the TAF period. Given plenty of dry air beneath the cloud deck, maintained VFR conditions as any light showers or sprinkles that arrive prior to 06 UTC will likely not result in a flight category degradation.

Light and variable winds through 12 UTC. Then winds shift out of the west or southwest by 14-16 UTC at all terminals and turn a bit breezy becoming sustained 5-9kts and gusts reaching up to 15kts.
Strongest winds at ALB and PSF. Then, winds likely become light and variable by 01 - 03 UTC at all terminals.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: High Operational Impact
Definite SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KALB ALBANY INTL,NY 5 sm49 mincalm10 smA Few Clouds57°F55°F94%29.87
KSCH SCHENECTADY COUNTY,NY 15 sm--no data--
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Wind History graph: ALB
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   
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Troy
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Tue -- 02:35 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:18 AM EDT     5.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:21 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:43 PM EDT     4.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.2
4
am
1
5
am
2.5
6
am
4
7
am
5
8
am
5.4
9
am
5.3
10
am
4.5
11
am
3.1
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
-0.2
4
pm
-0.1
5
pm
1
6
pm
2.5
7
pm
3.5
8
pm
4.1
9
pm
4.2
10
pm
3.7
11
pm
2.7


Tide / Current for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Tue -- 02:25 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:10 AM EDT     5.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:11 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     4.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.3
4
am
1.2
5
am
2.8
6
am
4.2
7
am
5.1
8
am
5.4
9
am
5.2
10
am
4.3
11
am
2.9
12
pm
1.8
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
-0.3
4
pm
0
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
2.7
7
pm
3.7
8
pm
4.2
9
pm
4.2
10
pm
3.6
11
pm
2.6


Weather Map
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Albany, NY,




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