Sunrise 6:29 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 11:57 AM   Moonset 2:46 AM

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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 858 Am Pdt Tue Apr 16 2024
.hazardous seas warning in effect until 2 pm pdt this afternoon - ..gale warning in effect from 2 pm pdt this afternoon through late Wednesday night - .
Today - N wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind nw 30 kt late afternoon. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves nw 7 ft at 6 seconds. SWell nw 6 ft at 11 seconds. Tonight - NW gales 35 kt - .becoming N late in the evening, then - .easing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight - .easing to 15 to 20 kt early in the morning. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 30 kt - .easing to 15 to 20 kt late in the evening, then - . Veering to N 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves N 9 ft at 7 seconds. SWell nw 4 to 5 ft at 10 seconds. Wed - N wind 15 to 20 kt - .rising to 30 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 10 to 15 kt - . Backing to nw 15 to 20 kt late in the afternoon. Wind waves N 7 ft at 7 seconds. NW swell 4 ft at 10 seconds. Wed night - N wind 30 kt - .easing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 15 to 25 kt - . Becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves N 9 ft at 8 seconds. SWell nw 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 18 seconds. Thu - N wind 15 to 20 kt northern portion and N 10 to 20 kt brookings southward. Wind waves N 6 ft at 7 seconds. SWell nw 2 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds. Thu night - Northern portion, N wind 10 to 15 kt. Brookings southward, nw wind 5 to 10 kt - .veering to ne after midnight. Wind waves N 4 ft at 7 seconds. SWell sw 2 to 3 ft at 16 seconds.Fri - NE wind 5 kt - .backing to W in the afternoon and evening, then - .backing to S after midnight. Wind waves N 2 ft at 5 seconds - .becoming less than 2 ft. SWell sw 2 to 3 ft at 14 seconds. Sat - S wind 10 kt - .veering to W in the afternoon, then - . Veering to nw in the evening - .veering to N after midnight. Wind waves S 2 ft at 4 seconds - . Shifting to the nw 2 ft at 4 seconds in the afternoon and evening, then - .shifting to the N 3 ft at 4 seconds after midnight. SWell sw 2 ft at 14 seconds and W 2 ft at 13 seconds - .building to W 5 ft at 13 seconds.

PZZ300 858 Am Pdt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A persistent thermal trough will result in gusty north winds over the waters through midweek. Through this morning, steep to very steep wind driven seas are expected south of cape blanco with highest south of gold beach. This pattern will result in gale force north winds during the afternoons and evenings through Wednesday with the highest winds and seas from about port orford southward. Conditions hazardous to small craft with gusty north winds and steep seas expand north of cape blanco during this time frame. The thermal trough weakens Thursday into Friday with improving conditions, though steep seas are likely to linger through the end of the week.

FXUS66 KMFR 161151 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 451 AM PDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Updated AVIATION Section

DISCUSSION
Satellite imagery is showing some high clouds across portions of southern Oregon and northern California with marine stratus built in across inland portions of Coos and Douglas Counties. Overall, we are entering into the influence of a ridge of high pressure which will result in sunny mild days and cold nights through Friday. Any overnight cloud cover should dissipate in the mid to late morning.

The main threat in the short term will be to tender plants, especially for portions of the Applegate, Evans, and Sams Valleys, and also for outlaying areas of the Rogue Valley. The freeze watch has been upgraded to a freeze warning for these areas. The Illinois Valley will likely also see freezing temperatures, but climatology suggests a greater than 50% chance of freezing temperatures through the end of April anyway, so the growing season has likely not started there. Similar reasoning for areas east of the Cascades to not see any freeze products yet.

The dry weather with slowly rebounding temperatures will continue into late this week into the weekend. Then, a weakening front will push through the area, and some light rainfall could be possible for areas of coastal Coos and Douglas, with maybe a 15% chance or less for inland Douglas County.

Brief ridging returns into early next week, but it is worth noting a weak disturbance in the ridge may lead to a showery/thunderstorm type pattern. Right now, that National Blend of Models is trying to tie the precipitation to terrain (mainly the Cascades), which seems somewhat reasonable at this point. Have gone with this solution. The most likely scenario at this point is that this weakness brings temperatures closer to normal with some increased cloud cover. Please stay tuned to the forecast as the ensembles will begin to resolve these features as we draw closer to the event.

AVIATION
16/12Z TAFs...Ceilings are impacting portions of the Umpqua Basin and along the immediate coast north of Reedsport this morning. The ceilings, in general, are VFR and are running in the 3500-4500 ft range. But, they do obscure areas of higher terrain in portions of northern Curry, northern Josephine, Coos and Douglas counties. Patchy fog is present in the lower Klamath River Valley of western Siskiyou County and also some of the East Side valleys.
However, these shouldn't last long this morning with conditions becoming VFR in all areas by mid-late morning. VFR prevails tonight into Wednesday morning, though patchy fog and/or low clouds could bank up against the Umpqua Divide again. -Spilde



MARINE
Updated 200 AM Tuesday, April 16, 2024...A strengthening thermal trough will bring strong gusty north winds to the waters through much of the rest of this week. Steep to very steep wind driven seas are expected south of Cape Blanco through this morning.
The thermal trough will be strongest during the afternoons/evenings through Wednesday resulting in gale force north winds and very steep seas from about Port Orford southward. Conditions hazardous to small craft are expected to expand north of Cape Blanco during this time frame resulting with gusty north winds and steep seas there.

The thermal trough weakens Thursday into Friday, and this is when conditions are expected to improve, though steep seas are likely to linger through the end of the week. -Spilde

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM PDT Wednesday for ORZ024-026.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ350-370.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ356- 376.

Gale Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ356-376.

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Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon, Tide feet

Wedderburn
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Tue -- 12:55 AM PDT     3.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:44 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:19 AM PDT     5.15 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:57 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:52 PM PDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:56 PM PDT     4.81 feet High Tide
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Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon, Tide feet

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