Sunday, July5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Orford, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:41AMSunset 9:01PM Sunday July 5, 2020 7:47 PM PDT (02:47 UTC) Moonrise 8:52PMMoonset 5:05AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 225 Pm Pdt Sun Jul 5 2020
Tonight..NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 10 to 20 kt...easing to 5 kt after midnight, then...becoming variable less than 5 kt late tonight. Wind waves 3 ft. Mixed swell S 2 to 4 ft at 16 seconds and nw 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Mon..NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, wind variable less than 5 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell sw 2 to 3 ft at 15 seconds and nw 2 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon night..NW wind 10 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 5 to 10 kt...easing to 5 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell sw 2 to 3 ft at 15 seconds and nw 2 ft at 11 seconds.
Tue..N wind 5 to 10 kt...backing to nw 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 ft in the afternoon. Mixed swell sw 2 ft and nw 2 ft.
Tue night..N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. Mixed swell nw 2 ft and S 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. Mixed swell nw 2 to 3 ft and S 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. Mixed swell nw 2 to 3 ft and S 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..N wind 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less... Becoming 3 ft in the evening, then...becoming 2 ft or less after midnight. NW swell 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less... Becoming 3 ft. NW swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ300 225 Pm Pdt Sun Jul 5 2020
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters.. Northerly winds will remain moderate and gusty from cape blanco to pt. St. George into this evening. Meanwhile, a low, long period south swell is resulting in waves breaking farther from the coast than normal. This will make the surf zone larger than normal and could also result in problematic bar conditions, especially for mariners with little experience in such conditions. Relatively light winds and low seas are expected this week, except for advisory level conditions possible south of gold beach Tuesday and especially Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Orford, OR
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location: 42.74, -124.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 060246 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 746 PM PDT Sun Jul 5 2020

DISCUSSION. Visible satellite imagery is showing clear skies across the majority of the forecast area. Clouds are observed at the coast and coastal valleys north of Cape Blanco, and these low clouds will fill in through the night. A dry cold front will approach the forecast area tomorrow, and this will result in stronger winds in most places. Gusts into the 20s (mph) are likely west of the Cascades while areas east of the Cascades gust into the 30s (mph). Additionally, afternoon humidity on Monday ahead of the front will be low east of the Cascades, around 10 to 15 percent, and we've added portions of Lake County to the Fire Weather Watch that was issued earlier today for Modoc County. We'll be examining the new data this evening to determine if upgrading to a Warning is warranted.

Please see the previous discussion that details the continued near- normal temperatures and expected warming trend next weekend. Only changes made to the forecast was to add fog to the Brookings area for tonight and remove fog for the coastal areas north of Cape Blanco due to the marine layer being very deep. Keene

AVIATION. For the 06/00Z TAF Cycle . Another round of marine stratus will cover the central Oregon coast and portions of the Umpqua valley tonight. MVFR ceilings are expected for most of the night under this stratus layer. For areas farther inland, VFR will prevail for the next 24 hours with breezy winds east of the Cascades on Monday.

-Smith

MARINE. Updated 200 PM PDT Sunday, 5 July 2020 . Northerly winds will become a bit gusty from Cape Blanco southward to Pt. St. George this afternoon. Meanwhile, a low, long period south swell will continue through this evening resulting in waves breaking farther from the coast than normal. This will make the surf zone larger than normal and could also result in problematic bar conditions, especially for mariners with little experience in such conditions. Relatively light winds and low seas are generally expected to continue this week, though advisory level conditions will be possible for areas south of Gold Beach during the afternoon/evening Tuesday and especially Wednesday.

Of note, where upwelling was prevalent for several days last week, the water is still quite cold. Water temperatures from Port Orford to the Point St. George Buoy 27 still are ranging in the mid to upper 40s. However, the water has warmed into the mid to upper 50s from Port Orford Buoy 15 to Umpqua Offshore Buoy 229.

FIRE WEATHER. Updated 730 PM PDT Sunday, 5 July 2020 . Mostly dry cold fronts Monday and Thursday are both likely to drive the most appreciable weather related to wildfire risk this week. These mostly dry cold fronts will bring increased and gusty winds, inland surges of marine layer moisture, and slightly cooler weather behind them.

In addition to the Fire Weather Watch for Fire Weather Zone 285 / the Modoc for 2PM to 8PM PDT Monday, we've issued a Fire Weather Watch for SE Fire Weather Zone 624 for the same time period . for strong and gusty southwest winds along with low relative humidities. Winds will also be strong and gusty elsewhere Monday afternoon and evening, especially behind the front from the Rogue and Applegate Valleys south and eastward to the Mount Shasta highlands. Gusts of 25 to 35 mph are expected at these locations, though gusts up around 40 mph are possible in the Modoc and across Lake County.

For Thursday, July 9th both the ECE and GEFS continue to show another strong upper level shortwave trough and associated mostly dry cold front moving through the forecast area. Model trends are away from measurable rainfall and possible thunderstorms and more toward another round of strong and gusty southwest through northwest winds Thursday into Friday.

In the longer term, while there are some detail differences in both the ECE and the GEFS, both operational models of the two ensembles indicate temperatures are most likely to increase to at or above normal from about the 13th through the end of the month. This is notable because late July through early September is typically the core of both our wildfire and smoke season in the Medford NWS forecast area and warmer than normal temperatures are a precursor to both higher fire danger and lightning wildfire ignitions. ~BTL/Keene

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 209 PM PDT Sun Jul 5 2020/

DISCUSSION . Long wave troughing will remain over the PacNW today and well into the upcoming week. This will keep the area under near to slightly below normal temperatures with largely dry conditions and breezy afternoons. Expect the nightly return of marine stratus along the coast, especially north of Cape Blanco, and into the Umpqua Basin. These clouds will linger into the morning hours, but will give way to sun in the afternoons. Overall, changes in the day to day weather will be subtle and anything more notable will be due to shortwave troughs moving through the larger scale trough at times during the upcoming week.

One such shortwave trough is expected to bring a dry cold front through the area Monday into Tuesday, resulting in a slight cooling trend with enhanced afternoon breezes. Winds will be quite breezy across the area Monday afternoon and evening, especially in the Rogue and northern Shasta Valleys and east of the Cascades. Gusts of 25 to 30 mph will be common in those areas. Humidities will low in Modoc county to warrant fire weather concerns and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for this. For more details, see the Fire Weather discussion below. Regarding thunderstorm potential Monday afternoon, models have trended weaker with thunderstorm parameters. Also, none of the high-resolution convection allowing models (CAMs) indicate any convection for tomorrow, so have kept thunderstorms out of the forecast. Another weak disturbance will move through Tuesday morning and this could bring a chance for some light showers along the coast from North Bend northward. It will likely bring a further inland intrusion of the marine layer as well as it should be deep enough to spill over the Umpqua Divide.

Another, potentially stronger, shortwave trough is expected to pass through the area Thursday night into Friday. Models continue to vary in the strength of this trough, but have come into better agreement regarding precipitation. It will be a dry trough and although there are still differences in the strength of this trough, it should at least be similar to the one expected Monday. So expect another round of breezy to gusty afternoon winds with another further inland marine push. As for any thunderstorm potential with this trough, current parameters continue to look too stable in our area for thunderstorm concerns. The better area of moisture and instability looks to north and east of the area. However, will continue to monitor for any changes.

As we head into next weekend, the area will remain under southwesterly flow and the Four Corners High will strengthen. This will result in building heights over the area with a warming trend over the weekend. However, this still results in temperatures at to just below normal for the weekend. /BR-y

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . Beach Hazards Statement until 11 PM PDT this evening for ORZ021-022. Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for ORZ624.

CA . Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for CAZ285.

Pacific Coastal Waters . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 0 mi54 min NNW 12 G 22 61°F 47°F1022.2 hPa
46015 - Port Orford - 16 NM West of Port Orford, OR 19 mi38 min N 12 G 14 58°F 56°F1021.7 hPa55°F
46128 38 mi48 min 57°F 58°F
SNTO3 38 mi78 min N 5.1 62°F 1023 hPa54°F
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 43 mi72 min NNW 5.1 G 8.9 67°F1021.9 hPa

Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brookings, Brookings Airport, OR47 mi52 minNW 1110.00 miFair62°F52°F70%1020.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBOK

Wind History from BOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW6S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalm4SW45SW4W66NW13
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1 day agoNW6CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW343W3NW7NW8NW9
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2 days agoNW7SE5SE4SE4CalmSE3CalmW33Calm4SE5SE4Calm3S3SW4SW5S5NW11NW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon
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Wedderburn
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:47 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:05 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:00 AM PDT     -1.56 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:39 PM PDT     5.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:43 PM PDT     2.63 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:57 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:50 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.46.85.53.71.80-1.1-1.6-1.1-01.63.24.65.45.554.23.42.82.73.14.15.36.4

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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