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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port Orford, OR

June 24, 2024 11:01 PM PDT (06:01 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:35 AM   Sunset 9:03 PM
Moonrise 10:41 PM   Moonset 7:15 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356
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PZZ300
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Orford, OR
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Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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134 FXUS66 KMFR 250537 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1037 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024

UPDATE
Updated the aviation section.

.AVIATION (25/06Z TAFs)...VFR conditions prevail across the region this evening. IFR conditions in marine stratus are expected to return to coastal areas overnight into early Tuesday morning, especially north of Cape Blanco and south of Gold Beach. These low clouds are expected to dissipate after sunrise, with VFR by 18Z.

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period for inland locations, with breezy afternoon and evening westerly winds.
Winds will be strongest east of the Cascades with gusts up to 25 kt.
/DW

MARINE
Updated 800 PM Monday, June 24, 2024...The thermal trough continues with steep seas for much of the waters south of Cape Blanco into Tuesday morning, except very steep and hazardous seas south of Pistol River through this evening. The approach of another front then disrupts the pattern with improving conditions Tuesday into early Thursday.

The front is expected to provide a deep layer of low clouds and a chance of showers Wednesday night. A return of the thermal trough pattern is expected Thursday into Friday night, with steep seas possible south of Cape Blanco. Another front and deep marine layer are likely to disrupt the pattern, with improved conditions for the weekend.
/DW

PREV DISCUSSION
/Issued 840 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024/

DISCUSSION...The forecast remains on track for tonight. Clear skies and stable weather continue over northern California and southern Oregon. Temperatures west of the Cascades will warm by about 5 degrees with little change to the east during the day Tuesday.

Please see the previous discussion for more details about the short- and long-term forecast. -TAD

FIRE WEATHER
Updated 200 PM Monday, June 24, 2024
Overall, warm (above normal) and dry conditions are forecast through this week with only a slight break Wednesday and then slightly more on Thursday. However, even with the cool down, we are still expecting elevated to critical fire weather conditions nearly every day going forward this week. Lastly, great humidity recoveries are expected both Thurs and Fri mornings when at least 70% overnight RH is forecast for most of the area these mornings, but afternoons still remain on the dry side.

The overlap of low RH (<20%) and breezy winds (>15mph) will be notable tomorrow across parts Modoc, Klamath, and Lake counties where we have flipped over the watch to a Red Flag Warning. Fuels are of course tricky this time of year in transition to summer, and this may be the limiting factor regarding fire weather conditions until fuels transition over to "high". We are leaning on fuels experts for these decisions during this transition period, and have coordinated these headlines.

Wednesday will be another day where we get a period of stronger, gusty WSW winds in combination with low humidity, especially east of the Cascades. For most of the area, guidance is showing a drop in temperature and an increase in humidity to help mitigate this threat, but areas farther east in Lake and Modoc counties are more susceptible. We have issued a Fire Weather Watch to account for this threat. We will have to evaluate Siskiyou County further because there are signs of critical fire weather conditions possible, especially around the outskirts of Scott Valley. We will headline this threat for now, but we may want to consider a warning for parts of Siskiyou County on Wednesday. The one caveat for Wednesday (and perhaps Tuesday night) is the thunderstorm potential. We will have to watch how this upper low tracks as the moisture fetch will be key, but right now its not the most favorable setup for thunder with the lack of instability. There are some signs of nocturnal thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday afternoon, but confidence is low at this time for thunder with the potential less than 10% at this time.

-Guerrero

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 232 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024/

DISCUSSION...

Monday and Tuesday will be warm and dry, but the overall heat risk will not climb above minor, despite being about 10 degrees above normal; and this is due to the overnight lows cooling efficiently.

A feature we are tracking is an area of moisture with tropical origins near Baja. It is currently offshore near central-Cal and is already electrified. A sign that it can support nocturnal storm activity. This blob of moisture will make its way north and by Tuesday night, be exiting NorCal in Modoc/Lassen County and moving into south-central Oregon around Lake County early Wednesday morning. This is a low confidence forecast, but with most hires models supporting the moisture moving in this direction, instability aloft being resolved and the implications being concerning, we thought it was best to include it. So, a 10-20% chance for thunderstorms was added to the forecast Tuesday night into Wednesday morning for portions of Modoc, Lake, and Klamath Counties. These storms are expected to be dry and if the storms can break through the dry lower layers, most models aren`t showing more than 0.1" of rain breaking through, which would still be close to the formal definition of dry lightning.

The implication of the nocturnal lightning is that if it occurs and fire starts result, a period of dry and windy conditions will lead to critical fire weather conditions east of the Cascades.
This would provide the weather variable to support the new fire starts spreading.

West of the Cascades though, Wednesday will offer around a 10 degree swing towards cooler temperatures as the front moves through a the trough ushers in a cooler airmass. In Coos and Douglas County, a chance for precip/drizzle will steadily rise up to 20-40% by the evening as a strong marine push banks up clouds against the mountains.

Thursday should be a fine sunny and cool day, if perhaps a bit windier in the afternoon. The cold air moving Thursday night in also favors temperatures nearing freezing across the northern portions of Lake and Klamath Counties. Certainly, if you have any cold sensitive plants or animals, you`ll want to track this part of the forecast so you can take action.

Then this cycle repeats of a brief warmup, followed by another weak trough and slight cooldown.

-Miles

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM PDT Tuesday for ORZ624.

Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for ORZ624-625.

CA...Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM PDT Tuesday for CAZ285.

Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening for CAZ285.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Tuesday morning for PZZ356-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening for PZZ356- 376.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 0 mi44 minN 11G16 55°F 46°F29.98
SNTO3 38 mi32 minNE 1.9 54°F 30.0454°F
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 43 mi86 min0G2.9 56°F29.98


Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBOK48 sm5 mincalm10 smClear52°F52°F100%29.97
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBOK
   
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Wind History graph: BOK
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Tide / Current for Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon
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Wedderburn
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Mon -- 01:12 AM PDT     7.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:15 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:37 AM PDT     -1.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:24 PM PDT     5.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:23 PM PDT     2.87 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:58 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:40 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon, Tide feet
12
am
6.5
1
am
7
2
am
6.8
3
am
5.9
4
am
4.5
5
am
2.7
6
am
0.9
7
am
-0.5
8
am
-1.4
9
am
-1.5
10
am
-0.8
11
am
0.5
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
3.6
2
pm
4.8
3
pm
5.3
4
pm
5.3
5
pm
4.8
6
pm
4
7
pm
3.3
8
pm
2.9
9
pm
3
10
pm
3.6
11
pm
4.5


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest   
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Medford, OR,




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