Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sherburne, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:21AMSunset 6:09PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 10:27 AM EDT (14:27 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:27PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201910221530;;093756 Fzus51 Kbuf 221020 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 620 Am Edt Tue Oct 22 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-221530- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 620 Am Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday morning through late Wednesday night...
Today..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. A chance of showers early, then rain developing. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain in the evening, then just a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..West winds 10 knots or less. Scattered showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. The water temperature off rochester is 58 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sherburne, NY
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location: 42.74, -75.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 221330
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
930 am edt Tue oct 22 2019

Synopsis
A strong cold front will bring breezy winds and periods of rain
areawide later today into tonight. High pressure builds back in
Wednesday through Thursday, bringing mainly dry and seasonable
weather. Another cold front approaches the region Friday brining
chances for more showers to end the week.

Near term through Wednesday
Strong warm air advection is developing out ahead of the
frontal boundary, and temperatures will hold steady or slowly
rise through the 50s this morning. Some patchy drizzle develop
across the higher terrain of the poconos this morning and will
likely continue for the rest of the morning. Only minor
adjustments to the forecast below with the mid-morning update.

Ahead of the front, enough lift and moisture will present for a
widespread band of rain to move through the region ahead of the
front. Rain overspreads the area arriving in the far west
between 11am to 2pm. The rain will move somewhat slowly off to
the east, reaching the i-81 corridor by 2-5pm, then finally our
eastern zones by 4-7 pm. This is expected to be a period of
steady, moderate rain... Cannot rule out a rumble of thunder
along the front itself, but not enough confidence to include in
the forecast grids at this time. Used a blend of the latest
hrrr, rap, 3km NAM for timing of rainfall today. Used a similar
blend of models, along with nbm and wpc for QPF forecasts for
this event. A surge of deep moisture is still expected to arrive
along and just ahead of the front, with pwats reaching around
1.3 inches for a few hours. Overall, rainfall amounts are
trending down from this system, as it will be quite progressive.

Latest forecasts now only have the steady rain lasting for
about 6-9 hours at any one location. Am now expecting between
0.40 to 0.80 inches of rain for much of the area, with locally
up to 1.25 inches by the time the rain ends tonight. With these
amounts do not expect any significant hydro issues. Perhaps some
ponding of water on roadways where drains may be clogged due to
leaves etc. Looking for only minor rises of a few feet on area
rivers and creeks by tonight.

Tonight: rain exits from west to east during the evening hours
west of i-81, and after midnight east. Modest cold air advection
takes hold in a west-southwest flow after the frontal passage.

850mb temperatures fall to around +1c by daybreak. This should
elicit a lake response, with a few rain showers skirting our
northern zones off of lake erie ontario. Lake effect cloud cover
lingers north, but turning partly cloudy from the twin tiers
south into NE pa. May see some patchy fog develop late in the
deeper valleys of the southern tier and NE pa, as surface
ridging nudges in from the south. West-southwest winds 5 to 10
mph (except light variable in the valleys). Cool with lows
40-45.

Wednesday: zonal west-west southwest flow of cool air aloft
continues; 850mb temperatures hover around 0c all day.

Therefore, do think there will be lake effect clouds and
showers, but the flow will be around 210-230 degrees, so this
activity will only scrape our far northwest zones. Further south
,across the majority of the area a surface ridge continues to
slowly build in from the south. This will keep the sensible
weather dry and partly sunny. It will be breezy, with west-
southwest winds 10-20 mph and gusty at times. Seasonable
temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
High pressure over the region will bring quiet weather and
mild temperatures to ny and pa through the short term period.

After a cool overnight Wednesday night, a southerly flow will
push temperatures to around 60 degrees on Thursday.

Clouds will increase ahead of an approaching storm Thursday
night as temperatures fall to around 40.

Long term Friday through Monday
The long term will begin with an active weather pattern as an
upper level wave spreads showers into the northwestern third of
our forecast area.

Northwesterly flow behind the wave will cause lake enhanced rain
showers Friday night into early Saturday before a dome of high
pressure slides across ny and pa and cuts off the rain showers
Saturday afternoon.

A cyclone rotating into mi will cause isolated shower activity
over our forecast area for Sunday and Monday.

Aviation 14z Tuesday through Saturday
Generally MVFR CIGS across the area early this morning, except
stillVFR at ksyr and krme.

Low level wind shear is occurring at krme, ksyr, kith and kelm
and is forecast to continue through 14-15z before gradually
decreasing. Marginal at kavp and kbgm.

Cigs continue to lower through the morning hours, reaching MVFR
or fuel alternate by late morning from the ny southern tier down
across NE pa. Kith, ksyr and krme likely remainVFR, with cloud
decks 4-8k ft agl through 15z this morning.

Expecting widespread fuel alternate, and occasional ifr
restrictions (cigs and vis) in moderate rain late this afternoon
into this evening. Best window for these restrictions seems to
be from about 18z to 23 03z. Highest probability for ifr will
be at kbgm, kavp and krme. Then, some gradual improvement from
west to east toward the end of the TAF period, after 23 04-07z.

South-southeast winds 8-15 kts, and gusty today. Winds turn
southwest and decrease under 10 kts after 23 00z.

Outlook...

Wednesday morning... BecomingVFR. Patchy fog possible in the
early morning, mainly at kelm.

Wednesday afternoon through Friday morning... MainlyVFR with
ifr valley fog possible in the early mornings.

Friday through Saturday... Possible restrictions in showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mjm
near term... Mjm mwg
short term... Djp
long term... Djp
aviation... Mjm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 76 mi58 min SE 17 G 23 57°F 1010.5 hPa46°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 94 mi58 min Calm 50°F 1019 hPa49°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY34 mi35 minESE 1310.00 miOvercast55°F42°F62%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE7SE8SE5SE6SE9SE9SE6SE6SE5E5E4SE5SE3SE5SE3SE4SE6E6E6E4E4E3SE4SE5
2 days agoCalm33W53SW4SW3CalmNE4CalmE4SE4E3SE4SE5E6SE5SE6SE4SE6SE5SE7SE8SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:58 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:22 PM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:09 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.14.63.62.41.71.10.50.20.71.93.13.84.143.42.31.51.10.60.20.61.83.34.3

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:05 PM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:40 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.84.23.12.11.50.90.40.41.22.43.23.73.93.72.91.91.30.90.50.41.12.43.64.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.