Wednesday, January29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sherburne, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 5:10PM Wednesday January 29, 2020 7:12 AM EST (12:12 UTC) Moonrise 9:58AMMoonset 9:55PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 918 Pm Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Rest of tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Scattered flurries. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..East winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of snow and rain showers during the day, then a chance of snow showers Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
LOZ044 Expires:202001291030;;672800 FZUS51 KBUF 290218 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 918 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-045-291030-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sherburne, NY
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location: 42.74, -75.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 291135 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 635 AM EST Wed Jan 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front is moving through early this morning with light accumulating scattered snow showers and freezing drizzle. Dry and quiet weather settles in this afternoon through Friday with high pressure dominating the Northeast. Temperatures remain seasonal into the weekend with only light showers expected.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. 530 am update . Minor update. cloudy skies continue but radar returns continue to decrease. Trace amounts of snow in the obs. Still a chance of freezing drizzle with shallow moisture. Sinking air with the high is creating breaks as close as Lake Ontario. skies start to clear late morning into early afternoon. With the clouds temperatures are a couple degrees above forecast.

2 am update . A cold front is dropping south through the area early this morning. This has pushed the higher radar returns further west into the central southern tier and Bradford county PA. Still having trouble with patchy freezing drizzle as the dendrite zone is well above the shallow saturated layer. Some weak Finger Lake enhancement still evident. Intensity less than yesterday and evening a few hours ago. This trend will continue this morning. Amounts have been light with only a hundredth or two of icing and a tenth or two of snow.

With front through drier air aloft is moving southeast into the area. Clearing will be dominant this afternoon with the Finger Lakes the last to yield the low clouds. Highs today will be mostly in the upper 20s in CNY to lower 30s NEPA/Sullivan County NY.

Tonight with light winds and mainly clear skies temperatures will fall to 5 to 15 except colder Oneida/Madison counties. Some high clouds start to push in late tonight and cover the entire area Thursday afternoon. Thursday winds will be light still with highs mostly 30 to 35 As high pressure builds south into eastern NY.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure will move east of the region in this period. Light southerly flow should begin on the backside of the high keeping temperatures from tanking too much Thursday night. Lows should be several degrees warmer in the 10's. Highs should get well into the 30's Friday. However, clouds will be on the increase as a trough of low pressure approaches from the southwest.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. Friday Night Though Monday:

The trough of low pressure and associated mid-level shortwave should provide enough lift for a few snow showers even with limited moisture. A stronger low pressure system tracking from the southeast United States to off the east coast Friday and Saturday has trended even further east meaning an increasing chance of little to no impact from this system.

Additional weak shortwaves in northwest flow should bring our region some snow and perhaps rain showers later Saturday through Sunday. Lake effect snow showers are possible as well at some point depending on the wind direction. Winds Sunday could gust to 20 mph or so in the afternoon Sunday and Monday. High pressure builds into the area again on Monday likely resulting in a slow clearing trend as moisture from Lake Ontario could linger. Lows should be in the 20's on average but did increase the highs slightly this weekend given an overall drier trend. Many spots have the possibility of hitting 40 both days this weekend with slightly cooler highs Monday.

Monday night and Tuesday:

A return to a warmer weather pattern for a few days is likely here. The MJO looks to shortly move back into phase 6 yet again this winter which equates to warmer weather. This looks coupled with a - PNA pattern leading to the next system tracking into the Great Lakes from the Southern plains which is more favored for rain or a wintry mix changing to rain here. Stayed fairly close to the national blend of models here given a 6 standard deviation spread with model guidance with temperatures. There is a potential for temperatures to get much warmer than forecasted by late Tuesday but at the same time potential is also present for some low-level cold to hang on at the surface. A first look at temperatures would indicate 30's and 40's in this period.

AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. 620 am update .

Northwest winds have shifted more to the north. Lake effect snow showers and freezing drizzle have weakened further and should end by 15z.

MVFR cigs have risen in the last few hours and will become VFR by 17z everywhere as ceilings rise a little more then scatter out between 16 and 17z. Late tonight ceilings may return but clouds will be high.

Northwest winds 5 to 10 kts, then tonight light and variable.

Outlook . Thursday through Friday . VFR.

Saturday and Sunday . Restrictions possible in rain and snow showers.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . TAC NEAR TERM . TAC SHORT TERM . MWG LONG TERM . MWG AVIATION . TAC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 76 mi54 min N 5.1 G 9.9 25°F 1020.4 hPa
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 94 mi102 min Calm 28°F 1016 hPa19°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY34 mi19 minWNW 710.00 miOvercast23°F17°F78%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10W11W10W12W12NW11NW11W10W9W10W10NW8W7W7NW10NW10N6NW10NW8NW7N8NW7NW9NW7
1 day agoW8W6W5W6W8W9W8W9W7W10W8W7W7W7W6W6W5W6W7W8W7W6W10W8
2 days agoW3CalmCalmSW6W9W5W5W10
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Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:19 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:56 AM EST     4.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:38 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:05 PM EST     4.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:47 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.5-0.201.22.53.64.24.443.12.31.71.20.70.61.42.83.94.54.84.53.62.5

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:50 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:39 AM EST     4.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:09 PM EST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:04 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:48 PM EST     4.59 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.2-0.10.51.72.93.64.14.13.62.721.51.10.70.923.244.54.64.13.12.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.