Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sherburne, NY

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
325 AM Update:

High pressure will remain in control this morning, with just some increasing higher clouds ahead of an approaching warm front. This approaching boundary may result in a few isolated rain showers this afternoon (mainly north of the NY Thruway corridor), but the majority of the area will remain dry for the entire day with just some gustier winds by this afternoon with a stronger southerly flow. This southerly flow will advect in a much warmer airmass and as a result, high temperatures today are expected to be in the mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

Similar conditions persist this evening with any showers likely remaining north of the NY Thruway corridor with the warm front located well north of the region. By late in the night/early Saturday morning, a more concentrated batch of showers and possibly a thunderstorm could enter the Finger Lakes Region ahead of an approaching cold front. Temperatures tonight likely remain quite mild and hold nearly steady in the mid 50s to lower 60s.

On Saturday, the approaching upper trough digs to the SW and stays positively tilted as it runs into a strong ridge over the Southeast. As a result, the cold front moving through our region will slow down or become nearly stationary, with a series of shortwaves riding along this boundary. This will set the stage for multiple batches of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms during the day on Saturday, gradually shifting south and eastward the second half of the day. With the region firmly in the warm sector, temperatures will surge into the upper 60s to upper 70s, and potentially near 80 degrees across parts of the Wyoming Valley in Northeast PA.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Drier air moves in Saturday night behind the departing cold front, which will allow for any remaining rain showers to gradually end. This will also allow cooler air to filter in, with lows in Central NY expected to be in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Lows will be a bit milder in the mid 40s to lower 50s across much of Northeast PA with lingering moisture and clouds in the vicinity of the cold front.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Upper level ridging and surface high pressure moves in on Easter Sunday, which will bring a return to dry weather. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny with cooler max temps in the 50-60F range. By Sunday night, moisture ahead of an approaching warm front may result in a few isolated showers, but the majority of the area will likely remain dry with ridging still predominantly in place. Lows are expected to be in the mid 30s to mid 40s.

On Monday, an upper level low will be tracking across the western Great Lakes into southern Canada, which will drag a frontal boundary through the region. As a result, there will be a chance for some scattered rain showers, especially later Monday afternoon and night. Highs on Monday are expected to be in the mid 50s to lower 60s, with mainly 40s for lows Monday night.

The associated cold front will push east of the area on Tuesday, which will bring in drier air and breezy conditions. High pressure looks to be in control on Wednesday. Temperatures will be seasonable on Tuesday (highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s), with warmer air moving in through midweek with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours (at least through 06Z Saturday). Winds will initially be calm, before becoming southerly with occasional gusts up to 25kts this afternoon. Winds diminish this evening, but LLWS is then expected to impact all terminals.

Outlook...

Saturday...Showers likely with isolated thunderstorms and associated restrictions.

Sunday...Mainly VFR.

Monday...Chance of showers and possible restrictions.

Tuesday...Becoming mainly VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.