Thursday, April2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sherburne, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 7:30PM Thursday April 2, 2020 6:12 AM EDT (10:12 UTC) Moonrise 11:53AMMoonset 2:33AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202004020915;;433409 Fzus51 Kbuf 020224 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1024 Pm Edt Wed Apr 1 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-020915- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1024 Pm Edt Wed Apr 1 2020
Overnight..Variable winds 10 knots or less. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Partly Sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming variable. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 41 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sherburne, NY
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location: 42.74, -75.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 020757 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 357 AM EDT Thu Apr 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A system stalled out off of New England will keep in cool northerly flow and gusty winds today. Rain and snow showers return for Friday before high pressure builds in and brings dry and seasonable weather Saturday. Light rain showers are possible Sunday with a weak front passing through.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. 400 AM Update .

Staying clear across much of the area so far tonight, which has allowed temperatures to fall back further still with overnight lows in the upper 20s across much of the higher terrain and in the low 30s across the valleys. Clouds should start to fill in across the rest of the area this morning with the upper level low stalled out offshore and a wave swinging throughout area. However, clouds may turn a bit more patchy west of I-81 yet again with northwesterly flow off the lakes lending to a more stable airmass. Otherwise, expect temperatures to peak in the 40s to near 50F today, with gusty NW winds at around 10 to 15 mph increasing to up to 15 to 20 mph across the hilltops. Gusts up to 20 to 30 mph are possible especially across the higher terrain.

Tonight, moisture surges into the area from the offshore system, which will touch off better chances for showers overnight and through Friday, especially across our eastern zones. Temperatures falling back into the 30s overnight will bring in a chance for some snow or sleet to mix in with rain showers. Trace snow/sleet accumulations cannot be ruled out across the higher terrain before a transition back to rain showers for the rest of Friday, but any snow accumulations quickly melt as temperatures will again rise into the 40s and low 50s. Winds will turn calmer for Friday, coming in from the northwest at around 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph possible.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. 400 AM Update .

Generally quiet and seasonable weather in the short term.

Spinning coastal low begins to weaken and pull east Friday evening, moving well offshore by daybreak Saturday. Kept in a slight chance for a few light rain showers overnight in the still moist NNE flow. Otherwise, it stays mostly cloudy with lows 35-40.

By Saturday, upper level ridging approaches from the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes as the influence from the slow moving coastal low wanes further. A very weak shortwave disturbance zips in from the north, along the periphery of the ridge. Forecast model soundings show moisture trapped below and inversion, extending up to 600-800mb, depending on the model. Therefore, believe clouds will hang tough much of the day, with perhaps some partial clearing late in the afternoon or evening across the Finger Lakes. Cannot rule out a few sprinkles as well, mainly before midday. Cool northwest winds 5-10 mph keeps temperatures in the low to mid-50s for highs.

Saturday night: Upper level ridge axis crests over the area, but at the same time begins to flatten a bit as a decaying front runs into it. Kept conditions dry, under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Seasonable with lows in the 30s.

Sunday: Weak, decaying front sweeps through the area. A thin ribbon of moisture accompanies it, with a slight chance for a light shower or two . mainly in the morning. More than likely it dries out and becomes partly sunny by afternoon. A minority of the model guidance tries to initiate a few showers into the afternoon hours as well. Kept in a slight chance for now. Winds turn westerly, less than 10 mph. Mild with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s.

Sunday night: Lowered PoPs and am now expecting dry weather for just about the entire area as guidance shows a surface high moving overhead. Expect light and variable winds, partly cloudy skies and lows in the mid-30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 400 AM Update .

Monday should be dry, in a zonal west-northwest flow regime. Looking for partly sunny skies and mild temperatures. Highs will be a solid 5 to 10 degrees above average . reaching the upper 50s to mid-60s. Then, weak waves ride along the northern periphery of the flat ridge for Monday night and Tuesday. This could bring a few rain showers at times. Otherwise, temperatures are forecast to remain rather mild with lows 35-45 and highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s again. If our area sees more sun and less showers on Tuesday, there is even the potential for temperatures to be several degrees warmer. We'll have to wait and see how the exact timing of the above mentioned weak disturbances plays out.

PoPs then increase mid to late next week as a series of better developed and organized lows moves through the region. Current indications are that one low moves through on Wednesday . with another, colder low or trough moving through next Thursday/Friday. This far out there are still model differences in the exact timing and other details. For now, went close to the NBM which gave 30-50 PoPs for rain showers . and even a rain snow mix very late in the extended period (Thursday night) . Temperatures looks to stay seasonably mild Wednesday, falling a few degrees by next Thursday . and then perhaps even below average by the end of next week as a colder pool of air settles over the Northeast.

AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. VFR continues tonight with clear skies across most terminals. However, by sunrise, a shallow stratocumulus deck is expected to develop with clouds lingering across the area the rest of the day. KAVP should stay VFR. However, MVFR ceilings will be possible across our central NY terminals during the morning as ceilings hover at around 2500 to 3500 ft. Then, ceilings lift to around 3500 to 5000 ft for the afternoon hours. Ceilings start to lower back to MVFR again overnight. Winds will come in from the northwest at 10-15 knots during the day Thursday with gusts to around 20 knots or so before falling back to around 8 to 12 kts overnight.

Outlook .

Thursday night through Friday night . Ceiling restrictions probable in persistent cloud cover; also spotty showers at times for Thursday night through Friday.

Saturday through midday Sunday . Generally VFR.

Late Sunday through Sunday night . Possible showers/restrictions.

Monday . VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . HLC NEAR TERM . HLC SHORT TERM . MJM LONG TERM . MJM AVIATION . HLC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 76 mi55 min NNW 11 G 12 38°F 1012.9 hPa33°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 94 mi103 min SW 1.9 41°F 1007 hPa29°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY34 mi80 minNNW 610.00 miFair30°F25°F82%1011.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE3CalmCalmS345CalmW9W7N7N12NW13NW11
G18
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1 day agoSE5E5SE7SE8SE7SE7SE10S6S6E56E3NE5E6NE7E3NE3NE3E3E3NE3N5E3Calm
2 days agoE14SE9SE10E7SE5SE44SW7W10NW10W6NW7NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE3CalmCalmCalmE3SE3

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:15 AM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:06 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:47 PM EDT     5.54 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.44.33.62.61.81.41.10.81.12.33.84.95.45.55.14.13.12.41.81.10.81.32.43.5

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:30 PM EDT     5.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:28 PM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.93.22.21.71.310.91.62.94.14.95.35.34.73.62.72.11.5111.82.83.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.