Sunday, August18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sherburne, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 8:01PM Sunday August 18, 2019 3:40 AM EDT (07:40 UTC) Moonrise 8:49PMMoonset 7:57AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201908180300;;798333 Fzus51 Kbuf 172308 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 708 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-180300- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 708 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Light and variable winds. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 45 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sherburne, NY
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location: 42.74, -75.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 180645
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
245 am edt Sun aug 18 2019

Synopsis
Another disturbance will track across the region today and set
off afternoon thunderstorms, some with heavy downpours.

Southerly winds will pull hot and humid air into ny and pa on
Monday with thunderstorms possible again during the afternoon.

Near term through Monday
A short wave will rotate across the forecast area today and
generate thunderstorms in an unstable atmosphere. Model
projections show the potential for 1000-1500 j kg of CAPE by
afternoon as temperatures rise into the middle-80s. A low flow
wind profile suggests weak steering winds and slow moving storms
with heavy downpours.

Thunderstorms will taper off this evening and give way to patchy
fog by early Monday. Temperatures will fall into the 60s.

Southerly winds will pull hot and humid air into ny and pa for
Monday. Temperatures will rise to between 85 and 90 degrees
across the twin tiers with apparent temperatures possibly
reaching the middle-90s. Another round of thunderstorms is
likely during the afternoon when a short wave rotates out of
canada across ny.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday night
For Monday, upper level short wave trough moves northeast from
eastern ontario to central quebec. This wave will press a cold
front south into northern ny eastern great lakes region by
Monday evening. The low-level winds will accelerate from the
west-southwest ahead of this upper level wave and advect higher
low-level dewpoints into central ny and northeast pa. Mixed
layer capes on the NAM are projected to be over 2000 j kg
especially in south central ny and northeast pa. The 0-6 km bulk
vertical wind shear is between 25 and 35 knots with the highest
shear farther north. We will go with scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms for Monday afternoon. Pops will be
highest in north central ny and lower farther south. There will
be some potential for severe thunderstorms given the
instability and shear profiles. Heat indices also will be close
to heat advisory criteria of 95f in parts of central ny as
well.

For Monday night, high pressure builds across central ny and
northeast pa as we come under a short-lived short wave ridge
axis. With clearing skies, looks like an excellent night for
valley fog formation by Tuesday morning. GFS holds onto some
showers into the night with the euro and NAM tapering activity
down into the evening. We will have chance pops for showers and
storms mainly in the evening, tapering off overnight into
Tuesday morning.

For Tuesday and Tuesday night, more showers and thunderstorms
will be possible as a low-level wave spins up across the middle
atlantic states. The euro GFS cmc and NAM all have this feature
with associated qpf. For grids went with nbm for now given the
timing uncertainities and the convective nature of the wave.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
Used nbm as a starting point for this period. All synoptic
models show a large upper trough building into the northeast u.S
by Friday with a large canadian high pressure following the
trough. This trough will push a cold front through the region
from Wednesday night to Thursday night depending on which model
you look at. So used the blend to populate the pops in this time
period. All synoptic models and the nbm agree that cooler and
drier air covers the region for Friday and Saturday so have
pops less than 15 percent both days.

Aviation 07z Sunday through Thursday
High humidity levels in the lower atmosphere and light winds
will lead to a foggy morning. Dense ifr fog will persist at
kelm through the morning hours, while ifr fog is forecast to
develop at kith and kbgm before sunrise.

Another round of thunderstorms will move across the terminals
this afternoon, some with heavy downpours. The best chance for
thunderstorms will be between 19z and 23z.

Winds will become southerly today at 5 to 9 knots.

Outlook...

Sunday night... MVFR conditions possible in lingering showers.

Monday to Thursday... Restrictions possible in showers and
storms.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp
short term... Djn
long term... Djn
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 76 mi59 min SSE 8.9 G 11 66°F 1014.5 hPa63°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 94 mi71 min Calm 67°F 1016 hPa67°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY34 mi1.8 hrsESE 310.00 miFair63°F62°F97%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalm--CalmSE3SE5--S554S8W8NW9S8S5CalmE4E3E6E4E5E4SE3SE3Calm
1 day ago----E5E7------E6E8SE53SE4--NE4--E3E6--SE5E5--NE9--E6
2 days agoCalmSE3CalmCalmSE3E44SE6SE3SW4CalmCalmCalm4--SE10CalmE3E5E6SE5E5E5--

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:58 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:34 AM EDT     4.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:24 PM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.4-00.61.93.24.14.64.742.81.810.2-0.4-0.30.82.23.344.23.932

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:29 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:17 AM EDT     4.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:55 PM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     4.02 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.20.21.12.43.54.24.54.33.52.31.40.7-0-0.40.11.42.63.43.943.52.51.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.