Monday, July6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sherburne, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:27AMSunset 8:44PM Monday July 6, 2020 5:10 PM EDT (21:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:14PMMoonset 5:43AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202007061545;;404550 Fzus51 Kbuf 061047 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 647 Am Edt Mon Jul 6 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-061545- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 647 Am Edt Mon Jul 6 2020
Today..East winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A few morning clouds, otherwise mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy, then becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 69 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sherburne, NY
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location: 42.74, -75.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 061959 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 359 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

SYNOPSIS. Heat and humidity will build through the rest of the week. While the majority of the time will be dry, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon. A cold front will arrive Saturday, which will bring an additional chance for showers and thunderstorms, along with somewhat cooler temperatures to the region.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. 3 pm update .

Forecast in good shape. Only minor adjustments.

This afternoon thunderstorms went up quickly shortly after noon. CAPE is over 2k J/kg but bulk deep shear is under 20 kts. A low level boundary is creating enough lift from Steuben County southeast to Pike County. Temperatures now around 90 degrees and won't go much higher. Dewpoints today are reasonable and mostly in the 50s in CNY but mid 60s in Luzerne County. With the weak winds thunderstorms with heavy rain are moving slowly at best. Isolated flash flooding will be a problem. thunderstorms will slowly build north into south central NY the rest of today.

SPC has south central NY and NEPA in a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms. They also have a severe thunderstorm watch extending north to Luzerne County until 11 PM. The main severe weather threats are damaging winds and large hail.

The thunderstorm threat will end this evening then showers will end late tonight from north to southeast. Low temperatures will be in the low and mid 60s.

The front over the southwest part of the area now will lift northeast tonight into Tuesday. Cooler temperatures will be over the Catskills with high in the low 80s. The Finger Lakes to the central southern tier will be the warmest and around 90 but humidity increases with dewpoints well into the 60s. This combination will increase heat indices to the mid 90s where a heat advisory is in effect. The heat will continue into Friday and expand to the rest of CNY and NEPA.

Tuesday there will be plenty of instability in the hot humid air mass but little wind and forcing for widespread thunderstorms. The best chance of any showers and thunderstorms will be during the heat of the day in the afternoon to early evening. Late evening convection wanes but a short wave approaching Wednesday could bring some showers in around sunrise. Low temperatures only mid to upper 60s with the humid air.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/.

Another weak short wave will be riding east along the northern edge of the broad ridge during the day Wednesday, which will interact with the persist hot/humid weather across the region to produce more showers and thunderstorms. The ridge axis becomes directly overhead on Thursday, which should act to keep convection to a minimum, but a few isolated storms cannot be ruled out Thur afternoon. The continued hot and humid weather conditions will be the story Wed and Thur with high temperatures topping out in the upper 80s and lower 90s on Wed and in the lower to mid 90s on Thursday. Dew points will be in the upper 60s and 70s during this time, which will induce heat indices well into the 90s and near 100 on Thursday.

This level of heat and humidity will produce a great amount of instability . around 1000-1500 J/kg of ML CAPE and Wed and possibly up to 2000 J/kg on Thursday. The steering flow will once again be very weak, which will yield very slow moving or stationary storms with a pulsing nature. PWATs will range from 1.4 to 1.6 inches. The slow-moving nature of the storms, combined with a modest amount of deep moisture may lead to heavy downpours and a threat of flash flooding . mainly on Wed with the greater threat for thunderstorms, but cannot be completely ruled out on Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/.

The dry weather persists into Thursday night as high pressure lifts off to the northeast. As this occurs a coastal low will ride north and draw up a fair amount of deep moisture and interact with the unstable air mass to produce another round of afternoon/evening showers and storms. A trailing cold front may be capable of producing more showers and storms on Saturday, with a slightly cooler and less humid air mass arriving later in the weekend. Highs in the 80s expected on Sunday, but diurnally forced convection is possible within the nw flow . with weak showers and storms possible.

AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. 140 PM update .

Mainly VFR through the evening. A thunderstorm with heavy rain and gusty winds is possible at AVP until 22z. There is a small chance of a thunderstorm moving north to BGM and ELM between 21 and 00z.

Late tonight MVFR and IFR cigs move north into south central NY and AVP. These restrictions will continue well into the morning. At ITH high end MVFR is expected from 11 to 16z. ELM/BGM/AVP will fall to MVFR around 08z then IFR around 10z lifting by 14z back to MVFR. VFR is likely toward 16z.

This afternoon winds are light and variable which will continue through tonight. Tuesday winds shift to south at 5 to 8 kts.

Outlook .

Tuesday afternoon through Saturday . mainly VFR with a chance of brief restrictions due to afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity. Chance of IFR valley fog at ELM each morning.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for NYZ015>018- 023>025-055.

SYNOPSIS . BJG/TAC NEAR TERM . TAC SHORT TERM . BJT LONG TERM . BJT AVIATION . TAC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 76 mi52 min NNE 6 G 8 78°F 1016.9 hPa68°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 94 mi100 min Calm 87°F 1016 hPa68°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY34 mi77 minSSE 710.00 miFair90°F60°F37%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10NW6NW6CalmN3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4SE333S6Calm5CalmSE5SE7--
1 day agoNW12NW10NW8CalmN3CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalm4SW4W7W7W10W12
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2 days agoW8N7N5N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E4E3CalmCalm4SW3N4SW8W85Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:35 AM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:30 AM EDT     5.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:15 PM EDT     -0.76 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.20.82.33.74.75.45.44.63.52.41.30.1-0.7-0.40.7233.743.62.821.4

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:06 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:13 AM EDT     5.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:46 PM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT     3.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:05 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.31.52.844.85.354.1320.8-0.3-0.60.11.22.33.13.63.73.22.41.71.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.