Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sherburne, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:22AMSunset 8:35PM Monday June 1, 2020 2:27 AM EDT (06:27 UTC) Moonrise 2:40PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202006010315;;060329 Fzus51 Kbuf 312329 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 729 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-010315- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 729 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers through the early overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 54 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sherburne, NY
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location: 42.74, -75.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 010534 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 134 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. A surface high pressure system will keep conditions quiet with partly cloudy skies, and cool temperatures through Monday night. Then, several fast moving, weak disturbances will create chances for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday. Weak high pressure likely builds back in for Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 715 PM Update .

Surface based heating quickly waning and the sct to bkn cumulus we had around earlier this afternoon are now dissipating. However, another weak wave is quickly approaching from near Georgian Bay and the Golden Horseshoe region of Ontario. This will bring another round of mid level clouds to CNY overnight along with a few sprinkles or light rain showers. Latest near term guidance is a touch slower with advecting the clouds and sprinkles across our NY zones, so updated the forecast with this trend. Also, with the slightly slower trends this could bring a bit longer window for radiational cooling across the Western Catskills, where clouds may not arrive until nearly daybreak. Therefore, have reintroduce at least a mention of patchy frost for the rural, sheltered valleys of eastern Delaware, Otsego and northern Sullivan counties where forecast lows are 35-38 degrees. No other major changes to the near term forecast with this update.

Still looking for lows 35-45 overnight and highs in the 60s to near 70 Monday afternoon. Monday will be partly sunny with perhaps an isolated shower/sprinkle mainly east of I-81. West- northwest winds increase 10-20 mph in the afternoon.

Previous Discussion Below

Radar mosaic imagery continues to show mainly isolated showers and sprinkles from northern NY southwest into central NY and the central southern tier of NY. Otherwise a scattered to broken cumulus field has formed over all of central NY and northeast PA as per the visible satellite imagery. The upper and middle level water vapor channels from GOES-16 show one small short wave feature pressing southeast toward Lake Ontario. With the peak heating of the day, cold air aloft we are seeing a few of the cumulus clouds put down some sprinkles. This wave passing with the loss of the daytime heating will cause both the clouds and sprinkles to diminish quickly after sunset.

Then another short wave presently north of the upper Lakes will drop southeast and potentially trigger a few more clouds and sprinkles later this evening into the overnight so have more slight chance POPs and call it sprinkles in the weather grids tonight. This next wave and associated clouds should preclude the threat of widespread frost from the Catskills north to Oneida County. I could see a few normally colder locations seeing a little frost but it would be overkill to issue an advisory in our professional opinion.

Then for Monday, the main upper level trough moves east but it will continue to be cold aloft with chilly 850 mb temperatures running around +2 to +4C from the Catskills to Oneida County. With northwest upslope flow we continue slight chance POPs for our eastern counties from the Catskills to Oneida County for the afternoon. Again we will call it sprinkles. Rest of forecast area sees some cumulus but less than today and warmer temperatures into the 60s and low 70s vs today's unseasonably cold 50s and low 60s.

For Monday night strong warm advection begins and clouds will increase as will chances of rains showers later Monday night to early Tuesday morning.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. The chance for showers will increase through the day on Tuesday as a shortwave drops SE out of Ontario. Most of the day will likely be dry, with showers becoming more widespread by the late afternoon and early evening. The upper shortwave and weak surface low cross the region Tuesday night through early Wednesday morning with the highest rain chances across Central NY.

Likely a brief break in the action for the first half of the day on Wednesday, but next shortwave pushes through the zonal westerlies and arrives by Wednesday afternoon. Will have to watch and see how much destabilization can occur before this next wave arrives. GFS forecast soundings currently showing about 500 J/kg of CAPE across Central NY and over 1000 J/kg in NE PA. Also some decent 0-6km bulk shear around 45 to 50 knots in NW flow regime, so there could be some potential for severe storms depending on how much instability is present. One thing to keep in mind though is confidence remains quite low this period as models continue to show some differences on timing and exact track of these waves.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. High pressure looks to move into the area for Thursday and Friday, which will likely lead to dry weather with partly to mostly sunny skies. Highs Thursday will likely be in the lower 70s to lower 80s, then upper 70s to mid 80s Friday.

The next disturbance to approach the area may bring a slight chance for some scattered showers Friday night into the first half of the weekend. Otherwise, temperatures look to be seasonable.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. VFR conditions will prevail for the taf period. Mid to high clouds will drop in from the north early this morning. However, VFR ceilings and visibilities expected all terminals this afternoon into the evening.

Northwest winds less than 5 kts early this morning. West- northwest winds around 10 kts late morning . with gusts up to 20 kts afternoon and early evening . then back to around 5 kt or less after 01Z.

Outlook .

Monday night and Tuesday . Mainly VFR. Borderline MVFR CIGS possible later on Tuesday with a few rain showers, especially CNY terminals.

Wednesday . Occasional restrictions possible in some rain showers.

Thursday and Friday . Mainly VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MJM NEAR TERM . DJN/MJM SHORT TERM . BJG/MPK LONG TERM . BJG AVIATION . BJT/MJM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 76 mi57 min WNW 11 G 14 51°F 1022.9 hPa43°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 94 mi57 min Calm 50°F 1022 hPa38°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY34 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair40°F36°F86%1022.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8N6NW5N3N5NW53N3NW9W13
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2 days agoE5SE5E4SE5SE4S5S8S8SE9S8S8S13S10
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S74SE3SE6CalmSW7SW7W8

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:35 AM EDT     5.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:17 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:52 PM EDT     4.89 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:42 PM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.4554.43.32.31.60.80.20.51.634.14.74.94.43.42.41.60.80.1-0.10.82.2

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:18 AM EDT     4.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:48 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:35 PM EDT     4.69 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:13 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.54.84.73.92.821.30.60.30.92.23.44.14.64.642.921.30.5-00.31.42.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.