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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fabius, NY

July 14, 2025 4:57 AM EDT (08:57 UTC)
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Sunrise 5:36 AM   Sunset 8:44 PM
Moonrise 10:01 PM   Moonset 8:35 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
LOZ044 Expires:202507140300;;386916 Fzus51 Kbuf 132003 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 403 pm edt Sun jul 13 2025
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-140300- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 403 pm edt Sun jul 13 2025

Tonight - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds this evening. Waves 1 foot or less.

Monday - Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming north. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Monday night - Southeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming north. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday night - Light and variable winds. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 52 degrees.
LOZ005
No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fabius, NY
   
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Area Discussion for Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 140727 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 327 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

SYNOPSIS
A frontal boundary will slowly move eastward across the area leading to additional showers and thunderstorms into this evening. Storms can be slow moving and produce heavy downpours.
High pressure looks to briefly build into the region Tuesday before another cold front approaches later this week with renewed shower and thunderstorm chances.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Another active day is shaping up for parts of the area today as the slow-moving cold front and shortwave trough we've been tracking remain off to the west early this morning. The front is currently stretched across southern Ontario and approaching the western portion of Lakes Erie and Ontario and will gradually push east throughout the day into a warm, unstable and very moist environment. The slow-moving showers and thunderstorms currently stretching from the Poconos into the Catskills will continue to slow move east and should diminish by mid morning at the latest. The break from the convection will be short-lived as additional showers and storms will develop ahead of the frontal boundary, generally after 16-17Z, and continue into this evening. The bulk of the activity today is expected to be across NE PA, the Twin Tiers and into the Catskills. A flood watch will be issued covering these areas into and through the evening. Similarly to Sunday, SBCAPE is projected to be between 1500-2500 J/kg with low-level lapse rates around 7 to 8 degrees C/km. Bulk shear is still low but a tick higher than Sunday between 15 and 30 knots, so there is the potential for a couple of storms to be on the stronger side with isolated damaging winds the main concern and SPC has the area under a Marginal Risk for severe storms. Any stronger storms would likely pulse up and down pretty quickly. Flash flooding will remain the greatest threat into the evening with PWATs of 1.75-2.00" as we continue to tap into moisture- rich air that has origins from the Caribbean, Gulf and Atlantic. Forecast sounding also feature tall, skinny CAPE sounding profiles across NE PA and the southern Catskills. Thunderstorms are expected to be slow-moving and produce torrential downpours and can train over the same locations multiple times leading to the potential for flash flooding. Urban and low-lying areas will be most susceptible.
Highs today will mostly be in the low to mid 80s.

Showers and storms will gradually come to an end this evening and the frontal boundary will continue to slowly sag to the south and east near or just pushing beyond the CWA borders by early Tuesday. It will still be a muggy night with not much of an air mass change behind the boundary with lows in the mid and upper 60s.

Tuesday is expected to be a largely dry day under partly to mostly sunny skies with ridging developing aloft and and high pressure building in at the surface. With the weakening frontal boundary still close by off to our south and east, a spotty shower or thunderstorm can't be completely ruled out during the afternoon around the Poconos and southern Catskills.
Temperatures will be trending back up with highs on Tuesday in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will remain over the area Tuesday night keeping conditions mainly dry under a clear to partly cloudy sky.
Staying warm and sticky Tuesday night with lows in the mid 60s to the lower 70s. Wednesday is expected to start out dry, but a shortwave looks to pass by to the north and west and weaken the upper ridge enough to trigger some isolated to scattered showers and storms for the afternoon and at least the evening hours Wednesday night.

With plenty of instability projected Wednesday afternoon, some storms could produce locally strong winds in addition to heavy rainfall. High temperatures Wednesday range from the mid 80s to the low 90s. Factoring in dew points still in the upper 60s and low 70s, heat indices are expected to be in the mid and upper 90s. As a result, heat headlines look possible across portions of CNY, especially for valley and urban areas. Lows Wednesday night range from the upper 60s to low 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Pieces of energy embedded in a relatively zonal 500mb flow will keep the chance for scattered showers and storms around on Thursday, especially during the afternoon. Again there will be the potential for some locally heavy and gusty storms with plenty of instability and PWATs around 1.50" on average. The next cold front looks to cross the area Friday with additional showers and storms. High pressure and a drier trend seem to move in for the start of the upcoming weekend before perhaps some precipitation tries to return later Sunday. Temperatures over the weekend look to be in the low to mid 80s with lows in the lower to mid 60s.

AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to depart AVP over the next hour or so, but lower ceilings are expected linger through the morning from the departing convection and also a marine layer nearby. Elsewhere, VFR to occasional MVFR/IFR conditions are expected through the rest of the morning. The potential for some areas of low clouds and fog is greatest at ITH, ELM and BGM.

Later today, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon and evening that can bring restrictions, especially to visibility as some storms will be locally heavy.
BGM and AVP have the best chance of seeing this convection, but it can't be ruled out at ELM as well. If confidence increases, then it may be added with the 12Z forecast.

Some gusty winds will be possible with incoming showers and storms. Otherwise, winds will remain light for most of the period.

Outlook...

Monday night...Mainly VFR; lingering showers possible at AVP in the evening.

Tuesday through Wednesday... Mainly VFR. A spotty thunderstorm with restrictions can not be ruled out Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday and Friday... Restrictions likely with a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Flood Watch until 5 AM EDT early this morning for PAZ038>040.
NY...Flood Watch until 5 AM EDT early this morning for NYZ009- 015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.


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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY 18 sm63 minE 0310 smOvercast72°F70°F94%29.99
KVGC HAMILTON MUNI,NY 23 sm2 mincalm10 smClear68°F68°F100%30.05

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Binghamton, NY,





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