Fabius, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fabius, NY

April 16, 2024 4:35 PM EDT (20:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:18 AM   Sunset 7:50 PM
Moonrise 11:34 AM   Moonset 2:28 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 1029 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

This afternoon - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.

Tonight - West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday night - East winds around 10 knots becoming southeast and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.

Thursday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Friday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Saturday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

LOZ005
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fabius, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 161855 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 255 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will push eastward tonight as low pressure tracks into the Great Lakes. Clouds will increase early Wednesday followed by rain showers Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.
Brief high pressure pushes across the area on Thursday night before another weather front brings a threat for more showers on Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
230 PM Update...

Mostly sunny skies across the region this afternoon with ridging overhead. Ridging will slide eastward tonight with low level ENE winds that will keep the colder air in place for one more night. Skies should remain mostly clear until early Wednesday morning, so we should still get some efficient radiational cooling. Decided to drop low temperatures below MOS guidance by just a few degrees, with the coldest spots dipping down to near freezing.

Warm front pushes northward tomorrow and clouds will increase from the southwest in the morning. At this time, it appears rain showers will hold off until the late morning or early afternoon.
Showers will push to the NE as the day progresses, with much of the area seeing rain by tomorrow evening. Rainfall will be light to moderate and not expecting any issues hydro wise with this system. NAM forecast soundings are indicating some weak elevated instability Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning. This is generally west of I81, so an isolated embedded thunderstorm is possible, but still not expecting anything too heavy that would cause any hydro problems. Temperatures will remain warm tomorrow night as well with the rain and clouds, with lows only in the mid to upper 40s most places.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
255 PM Update:

Rain showers continue through the day on Thursday, before gradually tapering off later in the day. Temperatures will be variable depending on location with highs in the 40s to lower 50s east of I-81 and 50s to near 60 west of I-81. Generally dry conditions are expected Thursday night, along with seasonable overnight lows in the upper 30s to mid-40s.

The brief dry period doesn't last, as yet another frontal system quickly moves in from the west during the day on Friday. Exact timing is uncertain, but chances for rain showers look to increase up to high chance/low likely PoPs by afternoon over the area. If the current timing holds, temperatures would rise up into the mid-50s to lower 60s before the rain chances increase later in the day. Breezy south winds at 10-20 mph are expected on Friday ahead of the cold front. Rain showers are also likely Friday night as the actual cold front slowly presses through. It will be cool, with lows in the low to mid-40s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
255 PM Update:

Not much change to the long term forecast. Still looking like it will be drying out, especially Sunday into next week.

320 AM Update

The weekend starts off with cool, partly sunny conditions and perhaps some lingering scattered rain showers behind the departing cold front on Saturday. Winds turn west-northwest and are forecast to breezy, between 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. High pressure begins to build into the area from the west Saturday night. This should bring gradually clearing, and diminishing winds. It will be seasonably chilly, with lows in the lower to mid-30s expected.

Sunday and Monday are looking dry at this time, under the large area of high pressure. This should bring mostly sunny/clear conditions...especially on Monday. Increased the diurnal temperatures range by a few degrees each period, with it likely being 1-3 degrees warmer during the day than the NBM suggested...and perhaps a bit cooler at night in the lower to mid-30s again. This looks to be a good setup for potential frost. At this point next Tuesday is also looking mainly dry and mild, with highs in the 60s.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR conditions and clear skies will prevail at all terminals through most of the TAF period as high pressure remains over the region. There is a small chance for MVFR showers to push into ELM and AVP just before the end of the period, but confidence in the timing is low, so left it out of the forecast at this time.

Outlook...

Wednesday afternoon through Friday: Chance of showers each day with restrictions possible.

Saturday...NW flow with some MVFR cigs possible.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY 18 sm41 minW 09G1910 smA Few Clouds64°F28°F26%30.16
KVGC HAMILTON MUNI,NY 23 sm20 minWNW 06G1610 smClear59°F28°F31%30.15
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Wind History from SYR
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Tide / Current for
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Binghamton, NY,



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