Geneva, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Geneva, NY

June 18, 2024 2:24 PM EDT (18:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:25 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 4:47 PM   Moonset 1:46 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 932 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Rest of today - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - East winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday night - South winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday - Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming east. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 59 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Geneva, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 181759 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 159 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Hot and humid conditions with afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected through the entire week. A break in the heat may not come until the end of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
1250 PM Update:

Cloud cover from convective debris and some cirrus have kept temperatures a bit lower than previously forecasted, but dew points are actually a bit higher than previously forecasted.
Made some minor adjustments to these, but forecast heat indices remain nearly the same for this afternoon.

1105 AM Update:

Made some adjustments to PoPs for the remainder of this morning through this afternoon, as some isolated thunderstorms have already popped up due to ample instability. Similar to yesterday, some of these storms may become strong to severe, with gusty to damaging winds as the main threat. With slow storm motions and elevated PWATs, some of these thunderstorms may cause in localized flash flooding, so this will be monitored as well.

545 AM Update...

Updated HWO to include the chance for strong thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Main concern is localized damaging winds and flash flooding. Forecast soundings are showing some CIN today, but plenty of instability if the cap can be broken. CAPE of up to 3000 J/kg will be possible by the time we hit max heating this afternoon. Upstream MCV could act as the catalyst that kicks storms off again this afternoon across the area.
Considering the weak shear, main threat will be from collapsing cores (downbursts) from the strongest storms. PWATs will approach 2 inches and storms will be slow moving with weak flow aloft, which could produce prolonged heavy downpours leading to localized flash flooding.

350 AM Forecast...

Today the heat and humidity will increase across the region and heat advisories remain in effect. Similar to yesterday, thunderstorms will likely pop up during the afternoon and persist into the evening. With dew point temperatures climbing into the 70s and high temperatures well into the 90s, a very unstable atmosphere will be in place once again due to the strong heating. CAPE of 2500 to 3000 J/kg is likely. The NAMNest, which handled the convection yesterday quite well, is showing isolated to scattered thunderstorm development again this afternoon, especially west of the I81 corridor. Any weak perturbation riding up and over the ridge will be enough to kick off storms today. Very little wind shear will be present, however, forecast soundings show an inverted V, so there will likely be some downburst potential if any cores can get high enough before collapsing.

Another warm and rather muggy night is in store for the region with variable amounts of mainly mid level clouds and a light southerly wind. Some lingering thunderstorms overnight appears like a possibility as CAPE will remain high in the 2000+ J/kg range.

Wednesday, sticking with persistence for the forecast...hot, humid and a chance for afternoon/evening thunderstorms

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
110 PM Update:

The short term period will feature more of the same weather; hot and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms as multiple waves move around the periphery of the dominating ridge. This creates a bit of a challenging forecast for temperatures, as it is possible that clouds from thunderstorms/convective debris may hold back temperatures a bit in spots, yet also increase dew points. Widespread highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s are expected on Thursday, with perhaps slightly cooler temperatures on Friday with a greater chance of seeing afternoon showers and thunderstorms. With ample CAPE in place, some thunderstorms may become strong to severe both days. Limited shear will be present on Thursday, but shear increases a bit on Friday, especially along and north of the NY Thruway corridor.

While the current heat advisory goes through Thursday, it is possible that this may need to be extended to include Friday at a later time.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
110 PM Update:

Not much has changed in the long term period with more of the same expected during the weekend (hot and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially each afternoon). By Sunday, the ridge starts to finally break down, but with an approaching shortwave and cold front, coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase a bit Sunday and Sunday night. Then temperatures cool down a bit for the beginning of next week, but still remain a bit above normal. Depending on the timing of the cold front, scattered showers and thunderstorms may linger into Monday, before conditions dry out for Tuesday as high pressure moves in.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours (at least through 18Z Wednesday). However, isolated thunderstorms this afternoon are possible. Confidence is not high enough to include this (or any associated restrictions) at any particular terminal at this time, but this will be monitored this afternoon for any potential amendments.

Similar to last night, some valley fog will be possible at KELM tonight, although this is not a certainty. If fog does settle in, IFR visby restrictions would be possible there before dissipating at, or a bit after 12Z Wednesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday afternoon through Sunday...Spotty restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms, with probabilities increasing slowly in the later part of the period.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for PAZ038>040-043-044- 047-048-072.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ009-015>018- 022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ062.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 43 mi85 minNE 8G12 72°F 30.20
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 44 mi67 min 74°F
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 49 mi67 minNNE 4.1G5.1 80°F 30.1367°F


Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPEO PENN YAN,NY 16 sm31 minSSW 0810 smClear88°F72°F59%30.21
KIUA CANANDAIGUA,NY 19 sm9 minS 0510 smClear93°F73°F53%30.18
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPEO
   
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Wind History graph: PEO
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Binghamton, NY,




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