Skaneateles, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Skaneateles, NY

June 18, 2024 7:18 AM EDT (11:18 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:25 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 4:45 PM   Moonset 1:43 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202406181515;;228236 Fzus51 Kbuf 181051 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 651 am edt Tue jun 18 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-181515- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 651 am edt Tue jun 18 2024

Today - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - East winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday night - South winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday - Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming east. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 62 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Skaneateles, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 181050 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 650 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Hot and humid conditions with afternoon and evening thunderstorms expected through the week. A break in the heat may not come until the end of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
545 AM Update...

Updated HWO to include the chance for strong thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Main concern is localized damaging winds and flash flooding. Forecast soundings are showing some CIN today, but plenty of instability if the cap can be broken. CAPE of up to 3000 J/kg will be possible by the time we hit max heating this afternoon. Upstream MCV could act as the catalyst that kicks storms off again this afternoon across the area.
Considering the weak shear, main threat will be from collapsing cores (downbursts) from the strongest storms. PWATs will approach 2 inches and storms will be slow moving with weak flow aloft, which could produce prolonged heavy downpours leading to localized flash flooding.

350 AM Forecast...

Today the heat and humidity will increase across the region and heat advisories remain in effect. Similar to yesterday, thunderstorms will likely pop up during the afternoon and persist into the evening. With dew point temperatures climbing into the 70s and high temperatures well into the 90s, a very unstable atmosphere will be in place once again due to the strong heating. CAPE of 2500 to 3000 J/kg is likely. The NAMNest, which handled the convection yesterday quite well, is showing isolated to scattered thunderstorm development again this afternoon, especially west of the I81 corridor. Any weak perturbation riding up and over the ridge will be enough to kick off storms today. Very little wind shear will be present, however, forecast soundings show an inverted V, so there will likely be some downburst potential if any cores can get high enough before collapsing.

Another warm and rather muggy night is in store for the region with variable amounts of mainly mid level clouds and a light southerly wind. Some lingering thunderstorms overnight appears like a possibility as CAPE will remain high in the 2000+ J/kg range.

Wednesday, sticking with persistence for the forecast...hot, humid and a chance for afternoon/evening thunderstorms

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
400 AM Update...

Any convection that lingers into Wednesday evening across CNY, mainly around the Finger Lakes, Syracuse metro and Mohawk Valley, is expected to diminish with the loss of daytime heating. Otherwise, it will be partly cloudy and warm with overnight lows ranging from the mid 60s to the mid 70s. The center of the strong upper ridge of high pressure is expected to gradually shift to the south-southwest Thursday into Friday, putting the CWA along the periphery of the ridge. Guidance does show a couple of ripples of energy riding along the edge of the ridge and enough surface-based instability to break any cap in place, leading to isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during peak heating hours. Both the GFS and Euro show pockets of surface-based CAPE values over 2000 J/kg each day. Areas that do see afternoon/evening thunderstorms can get some brief relief from the heat, but with dew points remaining elevated, it will still feel very humid.

Highs Thursday are expected to be from the upper 80s to the mid 90s with heat index values of 95 to near 100 degrees. Lows Thursday night range from the mid 60s to near 70 degrees. With the ridge slightly farther south Friday, highs are expected to be a little lower over CNY in the mid and upper 80s, but the Twin Tiers and much of NE PA can still see highs in the low to mid 90s and heat index values near or exceeding 100 degrees, so it is possible the heat advisory is extended in these areas late week.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
400 AM Update...

Little change in the overall pattern is expected Saturday with high temperatures continuing to lower slightly, and afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms popping up as more pieces of energy stream along the northern edge of the ridge. Highs Saturday are expected to be in the low and mid 80s across CNY and in the mid and upper 80s for much of NE PA.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms look to increase Sunday into Monday with an upper level trough and surface cold front approaching from the west. This front would help to bring more relief from the heat early next week not just in terms of daytime highs but more comfortable overnight lows as well.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Fog has set in at ELM, however it should dissipate in the first hour or two of the forecast. Otherwise. mostly VFR conditions are expected today and tonight. Scattered thunderstorms will be popping up across the area again today this afternoon and evening, however, confidence is too low at this time to add in the TAF at any one location. Winds will be light through the period outside of any showers or thunderstorms.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Saturday...Spotty restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms, with probabilities increasing slowly in the later part of the period.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ009- 015-018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ016-017.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 36 mi48 minSSE 7G9.9 72°F 30.0967°F
45215 39 mi52 min 69°F 65°F1 ft


Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY 20 sm24 minNE 0310 smMostly Cloudy73°F66°F78%30.16
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Wind History graph: SYR
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Tide / Current for
   
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Binghamton, NY,




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