Saturday, September21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wilmington, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 6:50PM Saturday September 21, 2019 11:44 AM EDT (15:44 UTC) Moonrise 11:17PMMoonset 1:50PM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wilmington, VT
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location: 43.02, -72.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 211436
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
1036 am edt Sat sep 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will allow for plenty of sunshine, with no
precipitation and warm temperatures this weekend. Although the warm
weather will continue into the start of the upcoming week, a cold
front will bring some showers to the region on Monday. Behind the
front, temperatures will continue to be a little above normal
through much of the rest of the week with mainly dry conditions.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1030 am edt, quick update this morning to freshen up the
temps as the weather remains tranquil. Temps have already warmed
into the mid 60s to near 70 degrees, still expected to reach the
mid 70s to near 80 later this afternoon.

Prev disc...

as of 641 am edt... Strong ridging is in place
across the eastern conus, with the ridge axis extending
northward across the deep south, tennessee valley and into the
ohio valley and great lakes. During the day today, this ridge
axis will continue to slide eastward and be located over the
northeastern states by this evening. At the surface, high
pressure is located over both quebec and the mid atlantic
states.

Ir satellite imagery shows nearly clear skies over the region,
with just some lingering patchy mid high level clouds across
the catskills, capital region, taconics and berkshires. With
good radiational cooling occurring last night, some patchy fog
formed, but this will be dissipating over the next few hours.

With the high pressure remaining nearby today, skies should be
fairly clear through the entire day, as any lingering clouds
this morning look to dissipate.

Highs today look to be above normal thanks to the warm temps
aloft. Valley areas will reach the upper 70s to low 80s, with
low to mid 70s across the hills mountains.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Monday night
Dry weather will continue for tonight into Sunday. Both the
upper level ridge axis and surface high pressure areas will be
shifting eastward for tonight into Sunday. This will let our
region enter a south to southwest flow both at the surface and
aloft. While it will continue to be precip-free, there may be a
few more clouds around (especially by Sunday). In addition, the
south to southwest flow will allow for even warmer temps and
higher dewpoints to move into the region. Lows tonight look to
be in the 50s with some patchy fog (especially near bodies of
water once again). Highs on Sunday will be warmer, with low to
mid 80s in valley areas. It will even feel muggy, with dewpoints
reaching into the 60s.

Frontal boundary will begin approaching from the great lakes for
Sunday night. It should remain far enough away that no rain
occurs Sunday night, but it will be partly to mostly cloudy and
muggy, with lows in the 60s and the higher dewpoints in place.

On Monday into Monday evening, the frontal boundary will be
moving across the area from the west. Some showers are expected
to occur just ahead and along the frontal boundary. Instability
is fairly limited, so will only keep thunder to just a slight
chance for southern areas. Both the GFS nam show pwat values
shooting up close to two inches just ahead of the boundary.

Despite the moisture and decent forcing in place (strong
shortwave and some jet dynamics in place), the very progressive
and fast nature of the boundary should prevent any heavy
rainfall from occurring. Just a few quick downpours are
expected, with a tenth to a third of an inch of rain at any one
location expected with the fast moving showers. Temps should
reach into the mid 70s to mid 80s once again ahead of the front.

Behind the front, cooler and drier air will start to work into
the area for Monday night. Can't rule out a lingering shower due
to the upper level trough overhead, but most of the precip
should be done, with lows falling into the 50s.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
The period begins with a pesky upper level low centered just north
of new york in quebec. Moist cyclonic flow around this system will
bring a chance of showers to the region, mainly north of albany.

The low pulls away Tuesday night setting up a dry period Tuesday
night into Wednesday night.

A front approaches on Thursday. The GFS and euro are both muted with
precipitation chances for the fropa. The GEFS plumes at albany show
many members flatlining with zero chance of rain. For now, a stripe
of chance rain showers is forecast across the northwestern third of
the area, with slight chance pops to the south. Convective
parameters associated with the front point to near zero chance of
thunderstorms. Thus we carry only chance shra.

After this front clears, another dry period is on tap through Friday
night.

Temperatures through the long term will run above normal, although
not as warm as this weekend. The trend is for temperatures to start
out a degree or two above normal on Tuesday and climb to 5-8 degrees
above normal by the end of the work week.

Aviation 15z Saturday through Wednesday
Any residual fg br should dissipate by 12z or so.

Vfr conditions for the remainder of the daylight hours today.

Tonight another round of br fg. Kgfl and kpsf would seem the
most likely candidates.

Outlook...

Sunday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Monday: high operational impact. Breezy likely shra... Tsra.

Monday night: high operational impact. Likely shra.

Tuesday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Tuesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Fire weather
High pressure will continue to allow for dry weather through the
weekend. Although early morning hours with feature heavy dew and
patchy fog with rh near 100 percent, rh values will fall to 40
to 50 percent during the afternoon today and 50 to 60 percent on
Sunday. Very light or calm winds are expected both today and
tomorrow. Next chance of rain will be ahead of a frontal
boundary on Monday with some showers.

Hydrology
No hydrologic problems are anticipated across the region over
the next week.

Dry weather will continue for this weekend with above normal
temperatures. The next chance of rain will be ahead of a frontal
boundary on Monday into Monday evening. Most spots will see
between one tenth and one third of an inch of rain, which will
have little impact on area rivers and streams. According to usgs
streamflow, most area rivers are seeing near normal or below
normal flows for mid september thanks to the recent stretch of
dry weather.

More dry weather is expected behind this front through most of
the week. As a result, river and streams will continue to hold
fairly steady.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Frugis
near term... Frugis jlv
short term... Frugis
long term... Okeefe
aviation... Okeefe
fire weather... Frugis
hydrology... Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 88 mi75 min Calm 58°F 1025 hPa55°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT21 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair68°F55°F65%1024.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDDH

Wind History from DDH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW7Calm6W53CalmS4S3CalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoN4353CalmNW4W3S3S3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days ago535N7--N7CalmCalmCalmCalmE6E5CalmCalmE6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:39 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:46 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:19 PM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.121.410.60.51.12.43.43.93.93.62.71.60.90.50.30.20.82.23.74.64.9

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Sat -- 05:33 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:31 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:36 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:11 PM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.12.91.91.410.50.51.32.63.53.93.93.52.51.40.80.50.30.212.43.84.74.9

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.