Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Myrtle Creek, OR

FXUS66 KMFR 140928 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 228 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

DISCUSSION
Dry weather is expected this Father's Day weekend.
Satellite imagery shows marine layer clouds banked up against the Umpqua Divide extending from near Camas/Roseburg over to about Toketee Falls in the foothills west of the Cascades early this morning. Clouds are more patchy farther N&W, but there still could be some anywhere across NW sections of the CWA this morning.
Skies are clear nearly everywhere else.

Expect some cumulus to develop and also some high cirrus to move overhead later this morning and this afternoon, but there should still be a good deal of sunshine today. Seasonably warm should sum up how it will feel out there this afternoon with temperatures within a couple of degrees either side of normal. Highs will range generally from 75-85F area wide, but it will be cooler at the coast and in the mountains above 5000 feet with highs in the 60s/low 70s. Local breezes develop this afternoon with peak gusts in the 20-25 mph range over the interior, but 30-35 mph along the coast.

Similar weather is expected on Father's Day, but temperatures will trend upward by about 2-7 degrees F compared to today.
Another weak marine push is expected on Monday as an offshore trough swings through. The air mass remains very dry, so there isn't much chance of precipitation, though there is about a 5-10% chance over far east side areas where best forcing from the trough arrives at max heating. Still not enough for mention in the official forecast.

With the flow remaining onshore, expect nightly marine intrusions during next week and while we'll maintain the dry pattern with sunny skies inland, it won't get too warm with daily highs around or just above normal levels. -Spilde

The more notable item may come after this forecast period as a deepening trough could develop over the Pacific and impact the PacNW late next week into next weekend. The concern here is that our fuels have seen an accelerated period of curing with fuels more representative of July. This means any lightning from thunderstorms could become a problem with fire starts. This comes at a time when wind speeds will start to pick up in association with the trough and could be on the breezy side (15-30mph). This will be coupled with RH values in the teens to low 20 percent range in the afternoon.
Stay tuned as this is beyond the current 7 day forecast, but this trough could be an impactful end to next week. -Guerrero
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