Utica, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Utica, NY

June 23, 2024 7:51 PM EDT (23:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:20 AM   Sunset 8:46 PM
Moonrise 9:46 PM   Moonset 5:30 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 415 Am Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Monday afternoon - .

Today - South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.

Monday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Monday night - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Thursday - North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utica, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 232328 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 728 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms expected across the region today, as a cold front approaches the area. Some storms may produce damaging winds, hail, and torrential rainfall. The front will push through the area tonight, bringing relief from the heat and humidity to start the week. Showers and thunderstorms look to return on Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
625 PM Update...

Scattered storms continue to move across the region. While most storms will likely remain sub-severe, conditions still look possible for weak spin ups. PoPs were updated through the late evening hours. A couple of the CAMs bring another line of isolated to scattered showers through but others clear out fairly quickly. The later is more favored and storms wind down after sunset. Some additional minor touches to the forecast were needed.

140 PM update...

The surface front is moving into our western regions around noon with mostly light showers but with instability across much of CNY into NEPA, these storms will begin to intensify shortly.
With a surface low moving east through the St. Lawrence river valley today, a low level jet will be present through the day that will keep low level shear high through the day. Currently the vertical wind profile from the BGM radar does have some curvature in the low levels despite some deeper mixing so any storm that begins to move almost due west to east will be able to ingest streamwise vorticity increasing its threat for deeper mesocyclones and potential tornado threat. CAPE will be less than previous days given the cloud cover but with good shear, there will be better eviction of the precipitation out of the updraft helping to support strong storms.

One limiting factor for most of the area west of I-81 is the line of storms likely helping to stabilize the atmosphere through peak heating but east of I-81 is seeing good solar radiation. Surface obs have not had dew points mix down like some of the CAMs have shown. The Mohawk valley has winds that are slightly more southern compared to the rest of the area which is seeing SW surface winds so any storms there will have access to more surface vorticity and so a better tornado threat is present there this afternoon.

Surface based cape looks to recover this afternoon across the Finger Lakes but behind the surface front, winds aloft will be more linear so if there is a severe threat this evening it will be more for strait line winds and microburst again with our second round of convection.

Showers and thunderstorms will diminish overnight, with wrap- around showers and isolated thunder continuing through Monday, along with noticeably cooler temperatures in the upper-60s to mid-70s. Tomorrow night the wrap around precipitation comes to an end as high pressure and ridging begins to return, Depending on how much we clear out, there is the chance for widespread fog but kept the forecast limited to the deeper valleys for now.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Only minor changes to previous discussion below.

NW flow and cool temps will not stick around for long as the ridge of high pressure slides eastward and the flow shifts back to WSWerly Tuesday morning. Mostly clear skies during the morning hours will allow for temps to climb into the mid to upper 80s by the afternoon. At least the humidity will remain relatively low, with dewpoints in the upper 50s, so it will not feel as sweltering as it has this past week. The ridge looks to be strong enough to stymie an approaching shortwave and push precipitation north and south of the area during the afternoon and evening hours.

The ridge looks to break down Tuesday night, allowing some rain showers to enter the area from the west. Temps will be warm, only cooling into the mid to upper 60s as SW flow advects more heat and moisture into the region.

WAA continues through Wednesday morning, pumping in warm and very moist air. Dewpoints climb back into the upper 60s across the region as temperatures warm into the 80s, pushing heat indices back into the 90s. This combined with a trough sliding into the region from the Great Lakes will give us our next chance for a severe weather outbreak. Currently, GFS shows 1500-2500 j/kg of surface based CAPE across the region with 0-6km bulk shear around 30-35kts. A shortwave currently looks to be the lifting mechanism to help initiate these storms, but guidance is still working out how it will play out. The cold front has been trending a little faster, now moving into the area Wednesday night. We will have to monitor this trend as a cold front passage in the late afternoon/early evening would increase severe chances.

Rain and thunderstorm chances remain across the area through the night as the cold front pushes through, dissipating by the morning commute. Temps and dewpoints will fall into the low 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Only minor changes to the previous discussion below. Another cold front with our next chance of showers and thunderstorms should move through next weekend.

A strong ridge will build in behind the cold front passing through the area Wednesday night/Thursday morning. NW flow through the day on Thursday will push drier air into the region, with dewpoints falling through the day, bottoming out in the low 50s with temps in the 70s. The ridge axis slides east of us on Friday, warming us back up for the end of the work week and the weekend. Rain chances should hold off till Saturday as temps rise back into the 80s.

AVIATION /23Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to pass through the region. Unless one were to pass over a terminal, all sites are expected to be VFR for at least the next couple of hours. Late this evening, ceilings begin to drop from the north and Fuel Alt to MVFR ceilings are expected at all CNY terminals through the morning and most of the daytime hours on Monday. Guidance wants to go as low as IFR at some terminals but confidence was too low to take ceilings that low. Ceilings are also expected to drop to MVFR at AVP, but not until around 18z on Monday. Wrap around moisture from today's system will bring showers to CNY tomorrow.
The best chances are at ITH, SYR, and RME. Visibilities may be reduced at these terminals as well.

Winds will remain quite gusty throughout the next 24 hours as they become northwesterly by Monday afternoon. Peak gusts will range from 15 to 25 kts throughout most of this TAF period.
Model soundings and some guidance hint at low-level wind shear at BGM and AVP between 00z and 03z, so it was added for this update.

Outlook...

Monday Night through Tuesday...VFR likely, except possible valley fog Tuesday morning.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night...Restrictions possible in scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday through Friday...Mainly VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ040-043-044- 047-048-072.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ062.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ062.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KRME GRIFFISS INTL,NY 13 sm58 minSW 08G1610 smMostly Cloudy79°F70°F74%29.48
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Wind History graph: RME
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Albany, New York
   
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Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:52 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:43 AM EDT     5.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:40 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:59 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.1
2
am
0.7
3
am
2.1
4
am
3.6
5
am
4.7
6
am
5.4
7
am
5.5
8
am
4.9
9
am
3.8
10
am
2.6
11
am
1.6
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0
2
pm
-0.1
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
2
5
pm
3.1
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
3.9
8
pm
3.6
9
pm
2.8
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1


Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:02 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     5.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:50 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.1
2
am
0.5
3
am
1.8
4
am
3.4
5
am
4.6
6
am
5.3
7
am
5.5
8
am
5.1
9
am
4
10
am
2.7
11
am
1.8
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
0.1
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
1.8
5
pm
3
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
3.9
8
pm
3.7
9
pm
2.9
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
1.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Montague, NY,




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