Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Utica, NY
December 4, 2023 1:49 AM EST (06:49 UTC)
Sunrise 7:14AM Sunset 4:28PM Moonrise 11:28PM Moonset 12:35PM
LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 545 Pm Est Sun Dec 3 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from 10 pm est this evening through Monday evening...
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers with a chance of Thunderstorms early, then rain showers. A chance of rain showers late. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds early. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Monday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Monday night..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of snow and rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
.small craft advisory in effect from 10 pm est this evening through Monday evening...
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers with a chance of Thunderstorms early, then rain showers. A chance of rain showers late. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds early. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Monday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Monday night..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of snow and rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ005
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBGM 040614 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 114 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
Cooler air overspreads the region, with lake effect rain showers today gradually changing to some snow showers tonight.
This precipitation will be mainly in Central New York, though a rogue sprinkle or flurry could get into a bordering county of Pennsylvania at times. The weather will remain cool with a few passing chances of snow showers Tuesday through Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
115 AM Update...
Cold front, which was accompanied by gusty showers and even isolated lightning earlier, is just finishing getting through the area. A transition to a post-frontal lake effect precipitation regime is underway, which will be mainly in the form of rain showers initially.
Previous discussion...
Behind the departing front, cold air filters in and westerly flow will kick off lake effect precipitation early Monday morning. Initially, conditions will be mild enough for just rain. Throughout the day, snow will begin to mix in, especially in the higher elevations. By the evening hours, there will be a transition to just snow, which will continue through the overnight hours. Snowfall accumulations through Monday night will be less than an inch with the highest totals over the Tug Hill Plateau, Mohawk Valley, and eastern Finger Lakes.
Temperatures Monday will climb into the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Overnight temps will be noticeably colder than past nights as they fall into the upper 20s and low 30s.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
136 PM update...
Main concerns in the short term are centered around the potential for intermittent snow showers mixed with some rain in the valley and lake plain locations Tuesday through Wednesday.
There continues to be very good agreement among the deterministic and the ensemble model guidance that the synoptic pattern Tue and Wed will be defined by broad cyclonic flow across the eastern Great Lakes and the Northeast US. There is also high confidence in a weak upper level short wave moving from the southern Great Lakes into the Mid Atlantic region late in the day Tue into Wed morning.
The air mass dropping in from the Canada will have 850mb temperatures around -9 to -12 deg C, and be able to interact with a +6 to +8 deg C Lake Ontario sfc temperature, and trigger a weak lake influence that will produced lake induced clouds at least, and scattered showers at most. The movement of the short wave across the region to the south will provide additional lift, but also cause winds (speed and direction) to be quite variable through this period. This will keep any chance of lake snow bands transient and under-developed. The lack of cold Arctic air over the warm lake waters will also inhibit the depth of the mixed layer and available lake-induced CAPE. Surface temperatures over the land will be able to rise into the upper 30s and lower 40s on Tuesday, and into the lower to mid 30s on Wed. The most favorable period for very light accumulating snow will be Tue night when the surface becomes cold enough to keep the snow around...with lows in the mid to upper 20s.
At this time we are expecting around 1 inch of snow possible in the hills south of Syracuse above 1200ft...with a half inch or a trace in other areas of central NY. The warmer ground temperatures in the lake plain and in the inland valley locations should inhibit snow accumulation in these areas.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
136 PM update...
Quiet weather will be in place to start the extended period as high pressure builds in from the west. The ridge axis associated with this high will shift the winds back to the west/southwest across the region and allow any lingering light lake snow to come to an end.
A trailing upper short wave will ride in from the west on the heels of the ridge axis and produce another swath of mainly light snow showers, but also a few rain showers mixed in on Thursday over the lake plain in the northern Finger Lakes.
After that wave moves east of the area, a developing low pressure system in the Upper Midwest will spread a warm front to the east over the Great Lakes into northern NY. South of this warm front, the air mass is expected to warm substantially. The 00Z ECMWFE mean 850mb temp during the late Thu to Sat period produced +3 to +6 deg C under this dome of high pressure. The 12Z GEFS produces similar 850mb temps, but the 12Z CMCE is much warmer with 850T around +6 to +9 deg C. Either way, we will most likely be looking at above average temperatures...into the upper 40s to upper 50s. There is some concern for what will happen when this warm bubble breaks down some time during the weekend. An upper wave associated with the sub-tropical jet will eject east over the southern MS Valley and TN Valley, and phase with the wave to the north. There are timing differences among the models, but relatively similar solutions bringing in a cold front from the west, along with a stream of deeper moisture from the south with rain initially, and then a likely change over to snow later in the period. Timing at this time looks to be late Saturday for the rain to begin, and then change to or mix with snow on Sunday. Keep tabs on this forecast through the week, as this system next weekend could potentially prove more impactful than it looks right now.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
06Z Update...
A cold front is just finishing passing through the area at 06Z, though marginal low level wind shear will linger up to 08Z for KRME along with frontal showers. Behind the front, westerly winds will prevail across the terminals with gusts 15-20 knots through today; ever so slightly veering to west-northwest into this evening while diminishing somewhat. We will also enter a post-frontal lake effect regime with MVFR to fuel alternate ceilings, and spotty showers as well for KSYR-KRME-KITH-KBGM.
This lake effect event will be minor, and generally in the form of rain initially before mixing with snow this evening for any that happens to remain. KAVP will spend most of the time with ceilings at VFR, until some lowering into 2-3 kft agl range this evening.
Outlook...
Late Monday night through Wednesday...Occasional minor restrictions possible in scattered snow showers, mainly at the Central NY terminals. Rain could mix in during afternoon hours.
Wednesday Night through Thursday evening...Mainly VFR Wednesday night, but a passing clipper system Thursday could yield brief shot of light snow and associated restrictions.
Friday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 114 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
Cooler air overspreads the region, with lake effect rain showers today gradually changing to some snow showers tonight.
This precipitation will be mainly in Central New York, though a rogue sprinkle or flurry could get into a bordering county of Pennsylvania at times. The weather will remain cool with a few passing chances of snow showers Tuesday through Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
115 AM Update...
Cold front, which was accompanied by gusty showers and even isolated lightning earlier, is just finishing getting through the area. A transition to a post-frontal lake effect precipitation regime is underway, which will be mainly in the form of rain showers initially.
Previous discussion...
Behind the departing front, cold air filters in and westerly flow will kick off lake effect precipitation early Monday morning. Initially, conditions will be mild enough for just rain. Throughout the day, snow will begin to mix in, especially in the higher elevations. By the evening hours, there will be a transition to just snow, which will continue through the overnight hours. Snowfall accumulations through Monday night will be less than an inch with the highest totals over the Tug Hill Plateau, Mohawk Valley, and eastern Finger Lakes.
Temperatures Monday will climb into the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Overnight temps will be noticeably colder than past nights as they fall into the upper 20s and low 30s.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
136 PM update...
Main concerns in the short term are centered around the potential for intermittent snow showers mixed with some rain in the valley and lake plain locations Tuesday through Wednesday.
There continues to be very good agreement among the deterministic and the ensemble model guidance that the synoptic pattern Tue and Wed will be defined by broad cyclonic flow across the eastern Great Lakes and the Northeast US. There is also high confidence in a weak upper level short wave moving from the southern Great Lakes into the Mid Atlantic region late in the day Tue into Wed morning.
The air mass dropping in from the Canada will have 850mb temperatures around -9 to -12 deg C, and be able to interact with a +6 to +8 deg C Lake Ontario sfc temperature, and trigger a weak lake influence that will produced lake induced clouds at least, and scattered showers at most. The movement of the short wave across the region to the south will provide additional lift, but also cause winds (speed and direction) to be quite variable through this period. This will keep any chance of lake snow bands transient and under-developed. The lack of cold Arctic air over the warm lake waters will also inhibit the depth of the mixed layer and available lake-induced CAPE. Surface temperatures over the land will be able to rise into the upper 30s and lower 40s on Tuesday, and into the lower to mid 30s on Wed. The most favorable period for very light accumulating snow will be Tue night when the surface becomes cold enough to keep the snow around...with lows in the mid to upper 20s.
At this time we are expecting around 1 inch of snow possible in the hills south of Syracuse above 1200ft...with a half inch or a trace in other areas of central NY. The warmer ground temperatures in the lake plain and in the inland valley locations should inhibit snow accumulation in these areas.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
136 PM update...
Quiet weather will be in place to start the extended period as high pressure builds in from the west. The ridge axis associated with this high will shift the winds back to the west/southwest across the region and allow any lingering light lake snow to come to an end.
A trailing upper short wave will ride in from the west on the heels of the ridge axis and produce another swath of mainly light snow showers, but also a few rain showers mixed in on Thursday over the lake plain in the northern Finger Lakes.
After that wave moves east of the area, a developing low pressure system in the Upper Midwest will spread a warm front to the east over the Great Lakes into northern NY. South of this warm front, the air mass is expected to warm substantially. The 00Z ECMWFE mean 850mb temp during the late Thu to Sat period produced +3 to +6 deg C under this dome of high pressure. The 12Z GEFS produces similar 850mb temps, but the 12Z CMCE is much warmer with 850T around +6 to +9 deg C. Either way, we will most likely be looking at above average temperatures...into the upper 40s to upper 50s. There is some concern for what will happen when this warm bubble breaks down some time during the weekend. An upper wave associated with the sub-tropical jet will eject east over the southern MS Valley and TN Valley, and phase with the wave to the north. There are timing differences among the models, but relatively similar solutions bringing in a cold front from the west, along with a stream of deeper moisture from the south with rain initially, and then a likely change over to snow later in the period. Timing at this time looks to be late Saturday for the rain to begin, and then change to or mix with snow on Sunday. Keep tabs on this forecast through the week, as this system next weekend could potentially prove more impactful than it looks right now.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
06Z Update...
A cold front is just finishing passing through the area at 06Z, though marginal low level wind shear will linger up to 08Z for KRME along with frontal showers. Behind the front, westerly winds will prevail across the terminals with gusts 15-20 knots through today; ever so slightly veering to west-northwest into this evening while diminishing somewhat. We will also enter a post-frontal lake effect regime with MVFR to fuel alternate ceilings, and spotty showers as well for KSYR-KRME-KITH-KBGM.
This lake effect event will be minor, and generally in the form of rain initially before mixing with snow this evening for any that happens to remain. KAVP will spend most of the time with ceilings at VFR, until some lowering into 2-3 kft agl range this evening.
Outlook...
Late Monday night through Wednesday...Occasional minor restrictions possible in scattered snow showers, mainly at the Central NY terminals. Rain could mix in during afternoon hours.
Wednesday Night through Thursday evening...Mainly VFR Wednesday night, but a passing clipper system Thursday could yield brief shot of light snow and associated restrictions.
Friday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 72 mi | 50 min | W 19G | 41°F | 29.60 | 39°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRME GRIFFISS INTL,NY | 13 sm | 56 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 41°F | 87% | 29.59 |
Wind History from RME
(wind in knots)Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:31 AM EST -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 09:08 AM EST 3.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:07 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 03:39 PM EST 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 09:13 PM EST 4.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:19 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:31 AM EST -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 09:08 AM EST 3.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:07 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 03:39 PM EST 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 09:13 PM EST 4.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:19 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Albany, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.2 |
| 1 am |
| 1.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 2.1 |
| 7 am |
| 3 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.9 |
| 10 am |
| 3.7 |
| 11 am |
| 3 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.9 |
Troy
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:41 AM EST -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 09:16 AM EST 3.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:07 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 03:49 PM EST 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 09:21 PM EST 4.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:18 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:41 AM EST -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 09:16 AM EST 3.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:07 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 03:49 PM EST 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 09:21 PM EST 4.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:18 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.3 |
| 1 am |
| 1.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| -0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.9 |
| 7 am |
| 2.9 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.9 |
| 10 am |
| 3.8 |
| 11 am |
| 3.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 4 |
Montague, NY,
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