Thursday, July18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Constantia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 8:41PM Thursday July 18, 2019 5:47 AM EDT (09:47 UTC) Moonrise 9:02PMMoonset 6:08AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ044 Expires:201907180915;;228155 Fzus51 Kbuf 180208 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1008 Pm Edt Wed Jul 17 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-180915- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1008 Pm Edt Wed Jul 17 2019
Overnight..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Patchy fog late. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..West winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 71 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Constantia, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.21, -76.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbgm 180808
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
408 am edt Thu jul 18 2019

Synopsis
Scattered showers and isolated thunder may still occur today,
especially east of interstate 81, otherwise it will just be a
warm and humid day. However, the combination of heat and
humidity could reach dangerous levels Friday and Saturday. It
will be partly sunny, though passing disturbances will result in
occasional chances of thunderstorms through the weekend.

Near term through tonight
400 am update...

while not as oppressive as the days to come, it will still be a
warm and humid day today with isolated to scattered showers and
and perhaps thunder in the area.

At the surface, we will remain quite humid today with dewpoints
persisting in the upper 60s to lower 70s. What has changed in
terms of moisture, however, is aloft. Precipitable water values
were in excess of 2 inches on Wednesday, but that very moist air
mass has advected to the coast thanks to the passage of a wave
of low pressure. That being said, a slowly moving midlevel
trough around 700mb, will still be lagging across our
southeastern zones which is also along the precipitable water
gradient. With diurnal heating we can expect new scattered
showers and some thunder to pop up. While a rogue convective
cell cannot be ruled out anywhere in our area, better chances
will be east of i-81 and especially poconos to southern
catskills where there will be more moisture. Even so,
instability will be limited and with weak winds in the column,
cells will tend to cut themselves off with their own downdrafts.

Showers storms will be slow moving, and thus isolated localized
downpours cannot be ruled out but overall threat of excessive
rain appears very low since individual cells will have
difficulty persisting before raining themselves out.

High temperatures today will be mainly in the lower to mid 80s,
though some upper 80s may occur towards scranton wilkes-barre.

With the elevated dewpoints, heat index may eclipse 90 degrees
in the valleys lower terrain. That is just a small hint of what
is to come.

With loss of diurnal energy, any scattered convection will
dissipate in the evening, with muggy conditions overnight and
lows of 65-70.

Short term Friday through Saturday
A warm frontal boundary will move through the region early on
Friday. A very hot and humid airmass will advect into the region
behind the front. The best lift needed for any thunderstorm activity
will move north of the region as high pressure builds in from the
southwest. However, the heat and humidity could still result in
isolated showers and thunderstorms. An exception could possibly be
a thunderstorm complex that forms to our northwest where conditions
are more favorable for thunderstorms. Any complex then would move
into our area. Details are rather uncertain on this possibility.

Still, a decent amount of Sun is expected each day and modeled
boundary temperatures are suggesting highs get into the 90's for
many location each day. Saturday still looks a bit hotter than
Friday. The added humidity will get heat index values above 100 and
perhaps to 110 on Saturday in spots. With increasing confidence of
high impact heat the excessive heat watch has been expanded to
remainder of the forecast area. Muggy overnight lows in the 70's
will not help matters either.

.Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
a cold front will move into the region during this period. This will
provide the lift for higher chances of thunderstorms. These storms
will have a considerable amount of instability to tap into. However,
shear looks more on the limited side for organized strong to severe
thunderstorms at this time. Pw values will continue to be on the
high side, so heavy downpours will occur if storms materialize.

The increased cloud cover and thunderstorms will lead to a gradual
cooling trend with temperatures falling back into the 60's for lows
and 80's for highs.

&&

Aviation 08z Thursday through Monday
A continued humid atmosphere, with added moisture from showers
and thunderstorms of the last couple days, will make
restrictions common early this morning. Kavp will have and
intermittent fuel alternate ceiling towards dawn, but the ny
terminals are likely to get into ifr-lifr levels at times and
indeed in some cases already did prior to 06z. Clouds will
gradually lift and or scatter later in the morning, with mainly
vfr conditions midday through evening. While chances for
scattered showers isolated thunder will exist for krme-kbgm-
kavp today, confidence is much too low to include in tafs at
this time. Winds throughout the period will be variable or light
east to southeast around 5 knots or less.

Outlook...

late Thursday night through Saturday...

weak passing disturbances provide chances for showers and
storms yetVFR most of the time. Potential valley fog each
night especially at kelm, but it will depend on how much debris
clouds are leftover from daytime showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday night through Sunday night... Better chances for
scattered showers and thunderstorms and associated restrictions
as a frontal boundary slowly moves through the region.

Monday... Still at least a small chance for showers and
thunderstorms with associated brief restrictions.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Excessive heat watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday
evening for paz038>040-043-044-047-048-072.

Ny... Excessive heat watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday
evening for nyz009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-
055>057-062.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Mwg
long term... Mwg
aviation... Mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 30 mi54 min E 2.9 G 4.1 68°F 1013.2 hPa67°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 82 mi48 min ENE 7 G 9.9 71°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 83 mi54 min 71°F 1012.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last
24hr
S5
S5
S4
S7
SE2
G5
E2
SW4
SW4
SW6
S9
SE5
S3
G6
SE4
SE4
G8
--
E1
G4
NE3
SE3
SE2
NE4
NE3
NE2
E2
E2
1 day
ago
SE10
G14
SE6
SE6
S9
S8
G12
S8
G13
SW8
G13
W12
G15
W9
G12
W8
G11
W11
G17
W11
G14
W12
G18
S8
G18
S9
S11
G17
S11
G15
S11
G14
S11
S10
G13
S7
G11
W1
G5
S6
S4
2 days
ago
E1
S4
SE7
S5
G8
S3
N4
NW5
NW5
NW7
NW5
NW5
W5
NW3
N2
W1
E2
SE2
S4
SE4
S8
SE9
SE7
SE6
G9
SE9
G12

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY7 mi54 minN 00.50 miFog67°F66°F97%1013.1 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY20 mi54 minN 00.50 miFog64°F61°F90%1013.3 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
Last 24hrSE3CalmS3S5SW4W7NW5NW5SE6S4CalmN4E6E4NE3NE4CalmNE5CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalm
1 day agoE4NE6SE4CalmSW8W11
G17
NW7W6
G15
SW7NW17
G31
4W4W16
G21
SW7S5S7S7S9SW6S4CalmE6N3SE3
2 days agoCalmCalmSW4W3CalmNW6W4CalmN7N7NW8NW7N7N5NE3CalmE3E5SE5CalmE5E4E3E3

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.