Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Constantia, NY

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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY

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FXUS61 KBGM 081040 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 640 AM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. A low pressure system will move southeast of the region today. However, Another low pressure system and cold front will be on it's heels with some showers tonight and Thursday. High pressure builds into the region this weekend followed by a strong low pressure system tracking into the Great Lakes Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/.

With the sunrise update, added in a mention of some patchy fog for the next hour or two. Low clouds continue to have the impression that they will touch to burn off today.

The low pressure system which brought us showers overnight will continue moving southeast of the region. However, northwest flow will start up behind the system this morning allowing low clouds and moisture to linger throughout much of the day today. Highs will get into the 50's across most of the region with some 60's in NE PA.

Tonight should provide a brief break in between low pressure system with perhaps a few clear patches. Lows should fall into the 40's but temperatures then should rise toward sunrise with the flow becoming more southwesterly. Enough lift and moisture looks present along the front to develop an area of rain which moves through late Wednesday night through Thursday morning. Some slight instability advection into the region can't be ruled out so this forecast maintains a slight chance of thunder from the Southern Tier into NE PA.

Highs Thursday look to occur late in the morning ahead of the cold front rising into the mid and upper 40's before falling later in the day. While a few southwesterly wind gusts will be possible Thursday morning northwesterly wind gusts should pick up Thursday afternoon. BUFKIT analysis shows the potential for wind gusts approaching 40 mph in the afternoon. Rainfall should be around 1/2 inch or less through Thursday. Temperatures may even fall enough for a little wet snow to mix in late in the day.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. 330 AM update .

This period marked by a cool damp northwest flow under an upper level trough. Showers will be common into Saturday especially in CNY. The deep trough will start out over eastern NY Thursday night then move northeast to New Brunswick Canada Friday before slowing. Wrap around moisture combined with some lake effect enhancement into early Saturday before the deep moisture lifts out. 850mb temperatures cold enough for a deep dendrite zone from 5 to 10k feet but not cold enough for better lake effect. Snow will be dominant across the higher terrain with rain or a mix in the valleys during the day. At night showers will become completely snow. Ground temperatures above freezing will keep snow amounts low. For Thursday night to Saturday, snow totals maybe an inch or two across the higher terrain of southern Onondaga, Madison, Cortland, and northwest Chenango Counties. The other area of higher snow amounts of course in the Tug. 2 to 4 inches possible mostly Thursday night into Friday with the low level flow closer to northwest. After that the flow shifts more to the north. As typical with northwest flow NEPA will get mostly isolated showers with little to no accumulation.

As the trough lifts out Saturday drier air moves in, winds drop to 10 to 15 mph, and surface high pressure builds in late.

Temperatures will be below average with lows around 30 both nights. Friday highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s will warm into the low and mid 40s Saturday. Adding to the cold Friday will be strong winds continuing from Thursday. Sustained speeds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 to 40 mph.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. 330 AM update .

Unsettled weather this period again but temperatures closely to mid April averages. Saturday night will be partly cloudy with lows around 30 finally under a high pressure ridge. The ridge moves slowly east pumping warmer air into the area so high temperatures will be in the 50s Sunday and Monday. A large storm in the southern Plains will move northeast through our area Monday. Rain will be over NY/PA Sunday night into Monday. Models still not agreeing on the amounts or exact timing. Tuesday on even more uncertain. Some showers possible as an upper level trough sets up in the upper Midwest. Minor fronts will move east across the Great Lakes. A little cooler Tuesday with highs around 50 in CNY to mid 50s Scranton to Monticello south.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/.

Restrictions due to low clouds and fog will continue through most of the morning but ceilings should slowly improve throughout the day. Some timing uncertainties are present with quite a bit of back and forth at most TAF sites this morning so far. IFR and LIFR restrictions should lift by 15Z and then to VFR by late afternoon around 20Z or so. KAVP and KELM look to have timing a few hours faster than this with KITH and KBGM keeping restrictions the longest.

VFR through most of the night but ceilings will start to lower with the arrival of some showers toward 12Z Thursday.

Outlook .

Thursday . Restrictions likely in showers associated with a slow moving low pressure system. Northwest wind gusts up to 35 knots Thursday afternoon.

Thursday night through Friday night: Restrictions likely with rain and snow showers, windy with top gusts Friday afternoon around 35 knots from the northwest.

Saturday . Lingering ceiling restrictions in the morning with lighter winds.

Sunday . Additional restrictions likely Sunday night with rain.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MWG NEAR TERM . MWG SHORT TERM . TAC LONG TERM . TAC AVIATION . MWG

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY	30 mi	49 min	NE 2.9 G 7	42°F			1002.5 hPa	40°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY	82 mi	79 min	NNW 1 G 2.9	42°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY	83 mi	55 min		42°F			1002.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY

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W6 G13

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SE4 G8

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W7 G12

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W10 G14

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W6 G13

2 days ago

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W5 G8

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W11 G16

W14 G18

W15 G23

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W13 G21

W12 G18

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SW13 G19

W15 G22

SW8 G13

W7 G14

SW6 G12

NW4

W2 G5

SW1

W5 G11

W8 G13

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY	7 mi	25 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	45°F	41°F	86%	1002.2 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY	20 mi	25 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	45°F	39°F	83%	1002.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)

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1 day ago

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY

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