Saturday, September21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 6:53PM Saturday September 21, 2019 1:33 AM EDT (05:33 UTC) Moonrise 11:17PMMoonset 1:53PM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.43, -73.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbtv 210235
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1035 pm edt Fri sep 20 2019

Synopsis
The warming trend is in full force today with surface high pressure
becoming increasingly entrenched across the north country. A few
clouds this afternoon will give way to clearing skies overnight.

Some patchy dense fog is possible once again in the favorable
locations but conditions tonight should be more mild than previous
nights with lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Above normal
temperatures will continue through Monday when a cold front is
slated to push through the region. This will bring the next chance
of rainfall to the region but rainfall amounts don't look too
impressive given how quickly the front will move through. Seasonable
temperatures return on Tuesday with a gradually warming trend
expected through the remainder of the week. A few upper level
disturbances could bring occasional showers from Wednesday onwards.

Near term through Saturday night
As of 1035 pm edt Friday... Forecast on track with minor updates
to sky and temperature forecast to match observations.

Shortwave energy to the west will spread some clouds over
central ny overnight, but thinking this will mostly stay south
of our forecast area. With mostly clear skies, light winds, and
dewpoints in the low to mid 50s, some overnight valley fog will
form once again in the early morning hours.

Previous discussion... Surface high pressure has continued
to build across the region this afternoon with the upper level
ridge axis still located near the great lakes this afternoon.

With us being on the eastern periphery of the ridge, we have had
some moisture sneak into the upper levels which has produced
the scattered wispy cirrus throughout the day. This cirrus has
become less widespread this afternoon as drier air and
subsidence is winning out over the little ribbon of moisture
that has moved overhead. All guidance shows skies going clear
this evening and continuing into the overnight period. Due to
strong radiational cooling expected again tonight, patchy dense
fog is expected in the typical river valleys but will likely not
be as widespread as in previous nights.

If you thought today was great well tomorrow is going to be
even better. High pressure will crest across the north country
with the ridge axis moving overhead by late Saturday morning.

Warm air advection will be in full force in the low and mid
levels as the flow aloft begins to switch to the southwest. All
model rh fields show a plethora of dry air throughout the column
which will likely keep skies clear through the majority of the
day. In addition, winds should only be about 5-8 mph in the
afternoon with very weak gradient flow and weak flow at the top
of the mixed layer during the afternoon hours. By Saturday
night, the ridge axis will begin to shift eastward while the
surface high pressure begins to move offshore. This will allow a
bit of a southwest gradient flow to develop but will only top
out at 10 to 20 mph. However, these winds will be ushering in
warmer air which will keep overnight temperatures in the mid 50s
to near 60 degrees Saturday night.

Short term Sunday through Sunday night
As of 245 pm edt Friday... Primary ridge axis slides eastward
during Sunday allowing southerly flow to trend breezy over time
as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of an approaching cold
front well off to the northwest. Mean 925 mb temperatures
average near +20-21c supporting summerlike highs from the upper
70s to lower 80s and a few spot mid 80s in the st lawrence and
champlain valleys under partial mid to high cloudiness.

Aforementioned cold front and upper trough trudge slowly closer by
Sunday night with a broad increase in cloud cover under continued
breezy south flow. Temperatures will remain unseasonably mild,
holding in the 60s for most spots. Most of the night will remain dry
from the adirondacks eastward, though slv counties will begin to see
increasing chances for showers after 200 am or so.

Long term Monday through Friday
As of 245 pm edt Friday... Surface front and attendant upper
trough then slowly push through the area on Monday into Monday
night with scattered to numerous showers. Most medium range
solutions show the upper trough briefly closing off over the
area later Monday night into Tuesday before exiting east by
Tuesday in a progressive flow pattern. As such, at least decent
chances for showers should continue into Tuesday (esp north)
before tapering off by Tuesday night. Temperatures will trend a
tad cooler on Monday with increasing clouds and chances of
showers, but remain seasonally mild in the 70s. Behind the front
temperatures trend more noticeably cooler with highs by Tuesday
only in the upper 50s to mid 60s under the parent upper trough.

Looking further out, general consistency is maintained among
medium range solutions by the middle to end of next week.

Shortwave ridging builds back into the area by Wednesday with
the return of dry and seasonable weather. This feature skirts
quickly east by Wednesday night allowing another frontal
boundary to enter the picture by Thursday with a renewed threat
of showers.

Aviation 03z Saturday through Wednesday
Through 00z Sunday... The aviation challenge overnight will be
fog br and associated ifr potential at mpv slk. Sfc high pres
remains overhead with clear skies and light winds, which has
producedVFR conditions at all TAF sites. Have noted sfc dwpts
are 4 to 6 degrees warmer than previous couple of nights,
indicating higher moisture at the sfc with values in the low mid
50s most TAF sites. However, winds btwn 200 and 500 feet agl are
slightly stronger this evening with mount mansfield gusting to
25 knots, which is expected to continued for the next 1 to 3
hours. Thinking bl will decouple as shallow inversion develops
with fog br likely at mpv by 06 or 07z and possible for a few
hours at slk toward sunrise. Otherwise, light and variable winds
become south 3 to 7 knots on Saturday withVFR conditions
prevailing.

Outlook...

Saturday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Monday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely shra.

Monday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra.

Tuesday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shra.

Tuesday night: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Slight
chance shra.

Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. No sig wx.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Clay
near term... Clay duell
short term... Jmg
long term... Jmg
aviation... Taber


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45188 47 mi48 min 65°F

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi37 minESE 610.00 miFair53°F51°F93%1022.3 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi40 minN 02.50 miFog/Mist48°F46°F96%1022.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRUT

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last 24hrSE7SE7SE6SE5SE6S5S4CalmCalmCalmSW4NW4N53NW6NW4SW4CalmSE5SE4SE6SE7SE7SE6
1 day agoSE9SE6SE9SE12SE6SE5E7CalmCalmCalm3--3CalmNW5CalmW4SE5SE6SE10SE9SE8SE8SE10
2 days agoSE4SE4SE5SE6SE4SE8SE4CalmCalmN11N9N7NW6NW7N8
G14
N8N7N4SE5SE10SE13SE10SE12E7

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Troy
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:39 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:46 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:19 PM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.23.121.410.60.51.12.43.43.93.93.62.71.60.90.50.30.20.82.23.74.64.9

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Albany
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:33 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:31 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:36 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sat -- 11:11 PM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.12.91.91.410.50.51.32.63.53.93.93.52.51.40.80.50.30.212.43.84.74.9

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (1,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.