Friday, February21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:30PM Friday February 21, 2020 8:40 PM EST (01:40 UTC) Moonrise 6:59AMMoonset 4:31PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
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location: 43.43, -73.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 212341 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 641 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Relatively quiet period of mostly dry weather continues through early next week with a warming trend in temperatures. The next chance for precipitation will occur midweek as a low pressure system lifts northeastward out of the central US, bringing a rain/snow mix and some gusty winds to the North Country.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As of 636 PM EST Friday . Winds are starting to decouple but likely to reemerge to some extent in several hours as low-level jet moves into FA. No changes to fcst at this time.

Late afternoon discussion . Very quiet weather for the near term portion of the forecast out through Saturday night. Ridge of surface high pressure which brought cold temperatures last night and abundant sunshine today will sink southward and our region will be under zonal flow through the period. A warm front passes just to our north overnight and will see a bit of an increase in clouds and continued warm air advection. Temperatures won't be nearly as cold as last night with warming in the upper levels, mainly teens to some lower 20s. 925 mb jet crosses the region tonight, and we could have some gusty conditions in the Saint Lawrence valley into Northern Franklin and Clinton Counties of NY , though being at nighttime the mixing will not be ideal. Will have some briefly gusty winds, mainly 15 to 25 kts, in any areas that are able to destabilize. After surface front pushes east of our area, may have some light mountain snow showers with some shortwave energy passing overhead. More warming is anticipated for Saturday with maximum temperatures reaching the lower to mid 30s, just slightly warmer than seasonal normals. Will have some more clouds around on Saturday with a couple pushes of weak shortwave energy passing through. Any light mountain snow showers will not result in accumulations. Saturday night, temperatures will remain pretty mild with clouds remaining across the North Country, lows mainly in the upper teens and lower 20s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 353 PM EST Friday . Overall, quiet weather is in store for Sunday and Sunday night. Temperatures will be a little warmer than Saturday with highs reaching the low 40s. This is due to low-level southwesterly flow and mild warm air advection as a trough passes to the north later Sunday. Partly cloudy skies are expected throughout the day, though occasional breaks will allow for some sunshine. Winds will be persistent at 5-10kts, though higher within the Saint Lawrence Valley (10-12kts) as the pressure gradient tightens with the passage of the upper-level trough. Overnight lows will drop to low 20s across the Adirondacks of New York and eastern Vermont, while remaining in the upper 20s within the Saint Lawrence and Champlain valleys.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 353 PM EST Friday . The beginning of the work week starts off quiet and warm, though active weather is expected mid-week. Monday will be another spring- like day with high temperatures in the mid 40s. However, because 12z model guidance indicates relatively cooler temperatures aloft for Monday combined with light winds and increasing cloud cover through the afternoon, conditions do not look as favorable for temperatures to reach near 50F on Monday. Overnight lows will be mild (upper 20s) as cloud cover increases and there exists a chance of widespread precipitation ahead of the approaching low pressure system. There remains differences amongst the model guidance, but ultimately, chances for precipitation will continue through Tuesday and Wednesday as warm moist air is advected in from the south. Looking at model soundings, there does not seem to be a mid-level warm nose, so the forecast precipitation remains as rain and/or snow. Temperatures will be consistent mid week, with highs in the upper 40s and lows in the upper 20s.

The greatest chances for widespread precipitation will be late Wednesday night into Thursday as the upper-level northern stream phases with the southern one, amplifying the longwave trough. At this time, precipitation type remains as rain/snow; although, trends in the model guidance has been hinting at a warmer solution, thus favoring rain. Gusty winds are another concern for Thursday with a strong, easterly low-level jet as the surface low strengthens and tracks northeastward. As the low departs eastward, cold air will advance into the North Country, and accumulating snow is possible for the end of the week.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Through 00Z Sunday . SW Winds 10 to 15 kts (S in Champlain Vly) are deceoupling a tad but will likely reemerge slightly higher as low-level jet moves overhead. This will allow for areas of LLWS after 03Z as a 45+ kt southwesterly low-level jet moves overhead. Will have an increase in clouds during the daytime hours on Saturday with a few mountan flurries not out of the question but visibilities should not be reduced at TAF sites.

Outlook .

Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHSN, Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN. Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN. Wednesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Duell NEAR TERM . Neiles/slw SHORT TERM . Hammond/ LONG TERM . Hammond AVIATION . Neiles/slw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi44 minSSW 510.00 miFair24°F7°F48%1026.2 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi47 minS 810.00 miFair23°F8°F53%1027.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRUT

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3CalmSE3E6SE7E4SE9SE6SE9SE8SE6SE7CalmCalm3Calm5W5W8SW9S8SW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Fri -- 03:24 AM EST     4.18 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:58 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:47 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:36 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:46 PM EST     5.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:26 PM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.73.64.14.13.52.92.31.50.50.212.23.54.55.35.554.13.22.20.9-0.1-0

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:16 AM EST     4.18 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:58 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:37 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:36 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:38 PM EST     5.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:16 PM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.93.74.143.42.82.21.30.40.31.12.43.64.65.45.54.943.120.7-0.20.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.