Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Constableville, NY
May 31, 2024 9:55 PM EDT (01:55 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:23 AM Sunset 8:36 PM Moonrise 1:11 AM Moonset 12:50 PM |
LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 416 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night - Southwest winds less than 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday - East winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 010116 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 916 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure and dry conditions will continue through Saturday. Showers are possible on Sunday, mostly west of I81.
Warm and quiet weather will return for early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
930 PM Update...
Little change to the previous forecast from this afternoon.
Temperatures overnight were adjusted down closer to what the dew points mixed to this afternoon but most regions stay above 40 still with a few locations in the Catskills getting into the upper 30s.
235 PM Update...
High pressure remains over the region through the period with mostly clear skies. Another cool night expected with efficient radiational cooling. However, low temperatures will be 3 to 5 degrees warmer than last night, so no frost is expected. High pressure will remain over the area
Saturday will mostly sunny once again with lighter winds and high temperatures a bit warmer than today, with most areas reaching well into the 70s. Clouds will increase Saturday night and overnight lows will only get into the 50s.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
240 PM update...
High pressure/ridging will push east of the region on Sunday.
A weak shortwave pushes into western NY Sunday morning and pushes eastward through the day. A few showers and maybe a thunderstorm will be possible with the best chances across our western counties. This system will be fighting dry air as it pushes east, with just slight to low chance PoPs across our eastern counties. NAM forecast soundings are showing very little instability and shear, so if any thunderstorms pop up, they will not be severe. Shortwave exits the region Sunday evening and showers will decrease in coverage after sunset.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
250 PM update...
A great start to the week is expected as an upper-level ridge builds into the region, however an isolated shower or two can't be ruled out during the afternoon Monday. Conditions will be mostly quiet through Tuesday and the cold front expected mid week continues to trend slower in the model guidance. Shower chances increase through the day on Wednesday, but ensemble guidance shows showers possibly holding off until Thursday morning now. Confidence for the end of the week is low and will depend on the progression of a strong cold front that drops south out of Canada Thursday into Friday. Shower chances increase Wednesday night into Thursday as this frontal system begins to move in.
Temperatures will be warm the first couple days of this forecast period. The warmest day will be Tuesday with highs in the 80s. The midweek period will be slightly cooler. Nightly conditions will be mild with temps only falling into the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR conditions will persist through the period at all terminals with high pressure in place.
Outlook...
Late Friday Night through Saturday...Quiet pattern with mainly VFR conditions.
Sunday through Tuesday...Small chance of a shower or storm/brief restriction Sunday and Monday afternoon.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 916 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure and dry conditions will continue through Saturday. Showers are possible on Sunday, mostly west of I81.
Warm and quiet weather will return for early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
930 PM Update...
Little change to the previous forecast from this afternoon.
Temperatures overnight were adjusted down closer to what the dew points mixed to this afternoon but most regions stay above 40 still with a few locations in the Catskills getting into the upper 30s.
235 PM Update...
High pressure remains over the region through the period with mostly clear skies. Another cool night expected with efficient radiational cooling. However, low temperatures will be 3 to 5 degrees warmer than last night, so no frost is expected. High pressure will remain over the area
Saturday will mostly sunny once again with lighter winds and high temperatures a bit warmer than today, with most areas reaching well into the 70s. Clouds will increase Saturday night and overnight lows will only get into the 50s.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
240 PM update...
High pressure/ridging will push east of the region on Sunday.
A weak shortwave pushes into western NY Sunday morning and pushes eastward through the day. A few showers and maybe a thunderstorm will be possible with the best chances across our western counties. This system will be fighting dry air as it pushes east, with just slight to low chance PoPs across our eastern counties. NAM forecast soundings are showing very little instability and shear, so if any thunderstorms pop up, they will not be severe. Shortwave exits the region Sunday evening and showers will decrease in coverage after sunset.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
250 PM update...
A great start to the week is expected as an upper-level ridge builds into the region, however an isolated shower or two can't be ruled out during the afternoon Monday. Conditions will be mostly quiet through Tuesday and the cold front expected mid week continues to trend slower in the model guidance. Shower chances increase through the day on Wednesday, but ensemble guidance shows showers possibly holding off until Thursday morning now. Confidence for the end of the week is low and will depend on the progression of a strong cold front that drops south out of Canada Thursday into Friday. Shower chances increase Wednesday night into Thursday as this frontal system begins to move in.
Temperatures will be warm the first couple days of this forecast period. The warmest day will be Tuesday with highs in the 80s. The midweek period will be slightly cooler. Nightly conditions will be mild with temps only falling into the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR conditions will persist through the period at all terminals with high pressure in place.
Outlook...
Late Friday Night through Saturday...Quiet pattern with mainly VFR conditions.
Sunday through Tuesday...Small chance of a shower or storm/brief restriction Sunday and Monday afternoon.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 46 mi | 56 min | WSW 8.9G | 63°F | 30.11 | 50°F | ||
45215 | 48 mi | 60 min | 62°F | 61°F | 3 ft |
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