Sunday, September15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pulaski, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:18PM Sunday September 15, 2019 9:05 PM EDT (01:05 UTC) Moonrise 7:20PMMoonset 6:52AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 434 Pm Edt Sun Sep 15 2019
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Scattered showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ045 Expires:201909160315;;843709 FZUS51 KBUF 152034 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 434 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-160315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pulaski, NY
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location: 43.57, -76.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 152143
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
543 pm edt Sun sep 15 2019

Synopsis
A couple of weak disturbances will bring some light showers at times
through Monday. High pressure will then return and bring a prolonged
stretch of fair dry weather through the rest of the week, with
already above normal temperatures trending to well above normal
by late week.

Near term through Monday
Wv loop indicate upper level troughing over the great lakes
downstream of ridge over the western conus. Multiple shortwaves are
rotating through the base of the trough and these will continue to
bring intervals of showers across western and north central ny
through midday Monday.

Lead shortwave and first batch of steadier showers associated with
it have now moved east of the eastern lake ontario region. Will
continue to see light showers from time to time through the
remainder of the evening as subtle weak upper impulses continue to
move through the general cyclonic flow be some showers farther
south, but they should stay unorganized and light for the most part.

Southern tier and north country stand the best chance of staying dry
through the early evening, farthest from a developing boundary that
lies across the niagara frontier into the finger lakes region.

Tonight, the second main shortwave within the trough is expected to
sweep east-southeast across lower great lakes overnight as shown by
increasing h7-h5 q-vector convergence. In addition to the forcing
from this wave and an already moistened airmass, a weak sfc low
pressure wave over southern wi will track over western ny late
tonight which along with low-level jet will help increase low-level
convergence. Overall, like idea of previous shift with chance pops
this evening giving way to another period of likely pops again late
tonight through daybreak. Given the wave of low pressure moving
across and much of the forecast area, with exception of north
central ny, and a moist low-level NE flow expected, think rain
showers and clouds will be slow to depart Monday. Scattered showers
will gradually settle toward the southern tier by afternoon, but it
will stay mostly cloudy except east of lake ontario where high
pressure building in will bring some clearing earlier in the day.

High temps will be around or just slightly above normal, with upper
60s to lower 70s, coolest in the southern tier.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
Surface high pressure to our west Monday night will bring drier
air... That will clear out skies especially away from the lake
shoreline. As a light northerly flow continues through the night,
and under clear skies some inland areas of the north country may
approach the upper 30s for lows.

Tuesday through Wednesday night this high pressure over southern
canada and building ridge aloft will yield mainly clear skies... Low
humidity and comfortable late summer temperatures in the low to
mid 70s.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
A consensus of latest medium range guidance suggests that fair and
unseasonably warm weather will continue late in the week with the
next chance for rain not coming until Sunday at the earliest.

Aviation 22z Sunday through Friday
MainlyVFR conditions at the terminals with lowVFR decks and
scattered light showers across the area. The exception is some
MVFR CIGS at kiag along and just south of the lake ontario
shoreline as weak moist northeasterly upslope flow has developed
just north of a burgeoning boundary that stretches from the
niagara frontier to the finger lakes region. Kroc may see some
MVFR CIGS this evening as well. At this point it appears the
rest of the area will remain primarilyVFR through this evening,
though cannot rule out some brief localized MVFR in tandem with
any showers.

Later tonight, a second disturbance will move into our region, along
with a weak area of surface low pressure. This will bring another
round of showers mainly to areas south of lake ontario, with chances
for these maximized in the vicinity of a developing slowly sagging
surface boundary across the niagara frontier and finger lakes
regions. The combination of further moistening of the low levels and
a developing northeasterly upslope flow to the north of the front
should also result in flight conditions generally deteriorating into
the MVFR range south of lake ontario, with some areas of ifr not out
of the question late across the higher terrain and also to the
immediate north of the surface front. Meanwhile, the north country
should remain primarilyVFR.

Outlook...

Monday... Scattered showers ending... With MVFR possible ifr flight
conditions south of lake ontario improving back toVFR from north
to south.

Tuesday through Friday... MainlyVFR... With localized ifr in southern
tier valley fog possible each night early morning.

Marine
A weak surface low will push into western new york tonight and then
south of the area on Monday, bringing a brief period of enhanced
northeasterly winds and choppy conditions on the south shore of lake
ontario late tonight and Monday. Following the departure of this
wave, high pressure will then build back across our region and bring
a return to light winds and minimal wave action for the rest of the
week.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jm
near term... Jla jm
short term... Thomas
long term... Tma
aviation... Jla jm
marine... Jm jjr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 19 mi53 min NNE 2.9 G 4.1 62°F 1019.3 hPa55°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 39 mi65 min W 3.9 G 5.8 63°F 66°F1019.3 hPa (-0.2)
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 78 mi65 min SSW 1 G 1.9 59°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 79 mi53 min 59°F 1018.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY18 mi71 minN 010.00 miOvercast62°F57°F86%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3----------------CalmS3Calm----SW5SW5--NW5NW5SW3N3NW4CalmCalm
1 day agoSE9
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NW11W7NW10NW9NW8W6NW4SW3
2 days ago--NE4--Calm----------Calm--SE535SE7
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--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.