North Creek, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Creek, NY

June 19, 2024 12:26 AM EDT (04:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:13 AM   Sunset 8:39 PM
Moonrise 6:48 PM   Moonset 2:58 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Creek, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 190227 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1027 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dangerous, near-record heat and elevated humidity will continue through at least Thursday, especially at lower elevations.
While much of the region will remain dry during this period, each day will hold isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. A respite from the heat will come in time for the weekend with a cold front set to pass through the region Friday. Temperatures will then return to seasonably warm levels.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
**Heat Advisories are now in effect across all of eastern New York and western New England through 8 PM Thursday**

UPDATE
As of 1025 PM EDT, it was a rather hot and humid day with highs reaching the lower 90s across most valley areas and mid to upper 80s across the higher elevations. No record highs were set at the climate sites today. The addition of humidity resulted in heat index values (feels-like temperatures) peaking in the upper 90s to lower 100s across the valleys and upper 80s to lower 90s across the higher elevations.

Showers and thunderstorms have now dissipated with the loss of daytime heating. An area of convection approaching western New York could hold long enough for a shower to clip portions of the Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley toward daybreak.
Otherwise, looking at a partly to mostly clear and muggy night.
Some patchy fog will develop across some areas overnight, especially where rain had fallen during the day today.

Previous Discussion: Throughout the night tonight, the current 594 dam closed high currently spanning a large portion of the East Coast including much of eastern New York and western New England, will look to amplify slightly as it tracks further north into the Northeast.
With the loss of daytime heating, any showers and thunderstorms that have developed this afternoon will quickly die off yielding a dry but muggy night with low temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/
**Heat Advisories continue through 8 PM Thursday for all of eastern New York and western New England**

By tomorrow morning, the upper high looks to become centered over the Mid-Atlantic at about 597 dam. The amplification, though modest, will ensure 850 mb temperatures increasing to near 20 C/km in most valley areas and about 18 C/km at higher elevations. With forecast soundings indicating mixing up to 900 to 850 mb and the anomalously high upper-level ridging in place, high temperatures tomorrow will fair a few degrees warmer than today with mid/upper 80s anticipated above 1000 ft and mid to possibly upper 90s in valley areas. Dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s will make for dangerous heat indices of up to 95 degrees in mountainous areas and 95 to 104 degrees at lower elevations. Isolated heat index values of 105 degrees are possible in the Hudson Valley, but the lack of coverage, anticipated brevity of such conditions, and overall high confidence in remaining largely below 105 degree apparent temperatures warranted the continuation of the Heat Advisory instead of an upgrade to an Excessive Heat Warning. That's not to say that this couldn't change during the overnight period should new sources of guidance indicate a more widespread, longer duration of heat indices of 105 degrees or greater.
However, with models having come to a strong consensus in temperatures remaining largely within the mid 90s with pockets of upper 90s in the Hudson Valley where these indices would be more common, it is looking less and less likely that such a product would be needed. It is important to note that the conditions forecast for tomorrow, though not meeting Excessive Heat criteria, are still incredibly dangerous if caution is not heeded. Drink plenty of water, limit time outdoors, and familiarize yourself with the signs and symptoms of heat illness.

With dominating high pressure, conditions tomorrow will primarily be dry, though some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible as upper energy pulses about the northwestern periphery of the high. At this time, no severe thunderstorms are expected. Low temperatures tomorrow night will be similar to tonight with upper 60s to low 70s across the region.

Thursday's conditions will be fairly similar to tomorrow with the strength of the upper high remaining relatively stagnant.
High temperatures will once again range from the mid/upper 80s to low/mid 90s with pockets of low 80s above 1500 ft. Heat index values will reach the low to mid 90s in high elevations with 95 to 104 degrees in valley areas. Therefore, the Heat Advisory will be allowed to persist through Thursday evening. Additional isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become severe, are possible once again Thursday due to a surface trough tracking through the region. At this time, wind looks to be the primary threat with any severe storms that arise. Once daytime heating is lost Thursday night, showers and thunderstorms will taper off to yield another night of mid/upper 60s to low 70s.

Though Friday will be warmer than typical mid-June standards, we will finally begin to get a respite to oppressive heat thanks to a surface cold front tracking through the region from northwest to southeast. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across much of the region as a result of this boundary progression.
Highs Friday will range from the upper 70s to upper 80s with pockets of low 90s in the lower Mid Hudson Valley.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
The extended forecast period begins with a frontal boundary stalling near the Pennsylvania and New York border with isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms ending mainly south of Interstate 90. High pressure will be building in from southern Quebec and northern New England with a brief period of slightly cooler and drier weather to open the weekend. Lows will fall into the 50s to around 60F over the higher terrain Friday night with mid and upper 60s in the valleys. The frontal boundary will lift back north as a warm front Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop along and near the boundary during the afternoon. Max temps will will run a little above normal with 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain and mid and upper 80s in the valleys. The mid and upper level flow goes from zonal to southwesterly Saturday night into Sunday ahead of mid and upper level trough approaching from southern Ontario and the Great Lakes Region. The forecast area returns to a warm sector and the air mass become more humid and unstable. Lows Saturday night will be muggy in the 60s with a few upper 50s over the mountains.

Sunday into Monday...A prefrontal trough may focus some bands or clusters of strong thunderstorms to close the weekend. The better low to mid level height falls and the cold front don't move across the region until Sunday night into Monday. PWATS will run above normal, so some locally heavy rain may occur Sunday night into Monday. We kept PoPs in the likely to high chance range to close the weekend and open next week. Highs Monday may get into the mid 80s to around 90F in the valleys and upper 70s to lower 80s over the mtns. Lows Sunday night will be still sticky in the 60s to around 70F. The clouds and pcpn may keep may temps down a bit on Monday with 70s to lower/mid 80s. Some places in the Adirondacks may hold in the 60s.

Monday night into Tuesday...High pressure builds into the area in the wake of the cold front with a brief respite potentially of slightly drier and pleasant early summer weather. Lows fall into the 50s to around 60F. Max temps will return slightly above normal for Tuesday. CPCs Day 8 to 14 outlook for the last week of June into early July is calling for above normal temps and near normal pcpn across eastern NY and western New England.

AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

UPDATE
As of 1025 PM EDT, through 00z/Thu...VFR conditions are expected at all TAF sites for much of the upcoming TAF period. Similar weather conditions compared to 24 hours ago are expected during this period. This will result in a few lingering cumulus clouds and some high cirrus this evening into the overnight. Fog quickly developed after 00z at KGFL and periods of IFR/LIFR vsbys are expected through the overnight. Then, the daytime Wednesday will feature some developing cumulus and high cirrus once again. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected once again Wednesday afternoon with coverage too sparse to include in any TAFs at this time.

Wind will become light to calm tonight except south- southeasterly at KALB between 5-10 kt. Wind will then be south to southwesterly at 5-10 kt on Wednesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:

Wednesday, June 19: Albany - 94 (1995)
Glens Falls - 97 (1995)
Poughkeepsie - 92 (1941, 1943, 1993, 2016)

Thursday, June 20: Albany - 97 (1953)
Glens Falls - 97 (1923)
Poughkeepsie - 96 (2012)

Friday, June 21: Albany - 97 (1938)
Glens Falls - 96 (2012)
Poughkeepsie - 97 (1949)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for CTZ001-013.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ032-033-038>043- 047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for MAZ001-025.
VT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ013>015.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KGFL33 sm23 mincalm9 smClear73°F73°F100%30.21
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KGFL
   
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Wind History graph: GFL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   
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Troy
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Tue -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:10 AM EDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:56 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:20 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:02 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
3.9
2
am
4.6
3
am
5
4
am
4.8
5
am
4
6
am
3.1
7
am
2.4
8
am
1.6
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.8
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
2.8
2
pm
3.4
3
pm
3.8
4
pm
3.7
5
pm
3
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Tue -- 02:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:02 AM EDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:12 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:52 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3
1
am
4
2
am
4.7
3
am
5
4
am
4.7
5
am
3.9
6
am
3
7
am
2.3
8
am
1.4
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.3
11
am
1
12
pm
2
1
pm
2.9
2
pm
3.5
3
pm
3.8
4
pm
3.6
5
pm
2.9
6
pm
2.1
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast   
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Burlington, VT,




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