Monday, September16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gardiner, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:27PM Monday September 16, 2019 3:30 PM PDT (22:30 UTC) Moonrise 7:58PMMoonset 8:12AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 223 Pm Pdt Mon Sep 16 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Thunderstorms will continue this afternoon before diminishing this evening. Gale force winds and hazardous seas will occur on Tuesday when a front moves through the region. Gales are expected to occur north of gold beach and likely to occur north of cape blanco. Conditions gradually improve Tuesday evening into Wednesday, but seas will likely remain hazardous to smaller crafts through Wednesday. Lower seas are expected Thursday into the start of the weekend as high pressure builds.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gardiner, OR
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.73, -124.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus66 kmfr 162143
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
243 pm pdt Mon sep 16 2019

Discussion The latest satellite image shows the upper trough axis
over our area. A shortwave rounding the base of the upper trough
resulted in enhanced showers and thunderstorms over the marine
waters and along the coast near brookings. Things have settled down
over the waters as the shortwave has pushed inland, but still could
not rule out isolated showers and thunderstorms. Meanwhile showers
are increasing in coverage and intensity for most inland locations
due to a combination of increasing instability and the aforementioned
shortwave moving onshore. Isolated thunderstorms still cannot be
ruled out into early this evening with locally gusty winds possible
near any storms.

A brief break in the action is expected tonight as weak shortwave
ridging builds in. Any clearing could be brief because clouds will be
on the increase ahead of the next front later tonight. Still could
not rule out patchy fog in areas where there's sufficient clearing.

The best chance actually could be in the scott, klamath river and
shasta valleys. Any break in precipitation will be brief as another
front will move in Tuesday morning. This front is expected to bring
stronger winds over the coastal waters in the presence of a low
level jet. Also gusty winds are expected along and east of the
cascades with 700mb winds expected to be between 40-45 kts. The
strongest winds east of the cascades will be over the higher ridges.

Right now, winds should remain below advisory criteria, but it could
get close in the summer lake area and high terrain in northern lake
and klamath counties. We'll also get another good shot of rain
Tuesday and is likely to be most focused along and near the coast,
coastal mountains, and cascades during the day.

Following Tuesday's front will be another upper trough with cold air
aloft moving in Tuesday night and remaining over the area Wednesday.

Actually Wednesday could be almost a repeat of today. Scattered
showers are likely again with isolated thunderstorms possible as
cold air aloft (-20 to -22c at 500mb) moves overhead.

The models are pretty good agreement with the progression of the
upper trough Thursday. It should be transition day with the best
chance for showers in eastern klamath, lake and modoc county. Friday
and Saturday look dry and milder as upper ridging builds offshore.

The models show another upper trough and associated front
approaching our area Sunday. The ECMWF is stronger with the upper
trough and front than the gfs. Even, then most of the precipitation
should be mainly confined to along and north of the umpqua divide
and northern cascades.

After Sunday, there are hints that we could be heading back to a dry
and warmer pattern with strong upper ridging attempting to build
into the area. The operational models vary with their solutions and
t he ensembles show more of a flat ridge with a stronger westerly
flow, but 500mb anomalies are higher. -petrucelli

Aviation For the 16 18z tafs... Post-frontal showers will
continue this afternoon through this evening across the area
along with isolated thunderstorms. Several lightning strikes
have been observed over the coastal waters this morning and
expect a couple to develop along the coast inland too this afternoon
in the cool, but unstable air mass. Overall, ceilings will beVFR,
but will lower to MVFR at times in heavier showers. Areas of higher
terrain will be also be obscured. Showers will decrease in
coverage this evening and overnight for most areas, but probably
won't completely go away. The next front will move into the area
late tonight into Tuesday with increasing winds along the coast and
periods of rain. Ceilings and visibility both will lower to MVFR ifr
as the front moves onshore Tuesday morning. -spilde

Marine Updated 210 pm pdt Monday 16 september 2019...

gale force winds and hazardous seas Tuesday are the main concern
this forecast cycle as thunderstorms are expected to diminish this
evening. The gale force winds will form ahead of cold front on
Tuesday afternoon. A barrier jet will enhance the strength of the
winds ahead of the front. We have above average confidence these
gales will form north of gold beach and high confidence they will
occur north of CAPE blanco. Seas will also be hazardous to all
crafts and wind wave dominated when this front moves through.

After this front moves through, seas will still remain steep and
hazardous to smaller crafts through Wednesday night. Eventually,
seas will lower Thursday into Friday.

Fire weather Updated 200 pm pdt Monday 16 september 2019... Fire
weather concerns are minimal for the next several days. The front
yesterday and last night brought sufficient wetting rainfall to nearly
all areas, resulting in a rapid reduction in fire danger. We do have
the potential for isolated thunderstorms with cloud to ground lightning
this afternoon and evening as an upper trough passes overhead, so those
still working on area fires should be aware of that elevated risk.

Showers diminish or end tonight, but a second strong frontal system
will move into the area Tuesday into Wednesday bringing yet another
significant wetting rainfall. Much like the last front,
precipitation will likely begin along the coast and into the lower
umpqua valley Tuesday morning, spread inland to the cascades by
Tuesday evening, then south and east of the cascades overnight into
Wednesday morning. This front will be moving in on a slightly
different trajectory than the last one, but overall, precipitation
amounts should be fairly similar. SE areas probably won't see quite
as much. It should be noted that there'll likely be another period
of gusty southwest winds in advance of the front, especially over
the east side and in NE california, from midday Tuesday through
Tuesday evening. Local fire weather guidance is suggesting wind
gusts at the more exposed raws sites in the 25-35 mph range.

Even so, fuels will remain moist and humidity amply high.

The cold pool associated with that front will move into the area
Wednesday, so isolated thunderstorms are a possibility again just
about anywhere.

Some showers could linger into Thursday, but most areas will
dry out late this week into the weekend with temperatures
returning to normal. -spilde

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory from 5 am Tuesday to 5 pm pdt Wednesday for
pzz356-376.

Gale warning from 8 am to 5 pm pdt Tuesday for
pzz350-356-370-376.

Hazardous seas warning from 8 am to 5 pm pdt Tuesday for
pzz350-356-370-376.

Small craft advisory from 5 am to 8 am pdt Tuesday for
pzz350-370.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm Tuesday to 5 pm pdt Wednesday for
pzz350-370.



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 23 mi30 min 65°F8 ft
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 29 mi54 min SW 4.1 G 7 62°F1013.3 hPa
SNTO3 33 mi60 min NNE 7 66°F 1014 hPa54°F

Wind History for Charleston, OR
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last
24hr
SE2
SE2
G7
SW2
G5
SE3
S1
G4
S2
S2
G5
S2
NE1
G4
SE2
G5
SE2
G5
S2
G7
SE2
G7
SE1
G7
--
--
SE2
G5
S1
G4
E1
G5
SE1
G4
S2
G5
SW3
G7
SW2
G9
SW3
G8
1 day
ago
NW5
NW6
NW6
W5
W3
SW2
S2
S2
SE1
SE2
SE2
SE2
SE1
G5
E2
G5
SE2
G7
SE3
G7
SE3
SE2
G7
S3
G7
W15
G23
W4
SE3
G6
SE2
SE1
G5
2 days
ago
N10
G14
N13
N8
G13
N9
G12
N5
G10
N4
G7
N5
G9
N5
G8
NE4
NE2
SE2
W1
W3
W1
SE2
E3
E4
G7
SE3
E2
W2
N3
NW3
NW4
NW6

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR22 mi94 minSW 12 G 1710.00 miFair67°F54°F63%1013 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOTH

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrS8SE6S5S6S5SE5S5SE4SE4SE6S4SE5S4CalmSE6S5SE6SE6S5S7SE64S10SW12
G17
1 day agoNW9W8W7W7W4CalmSE5SE6SE6SE6SE6SE7SE8SE7SE7S8S4SE8SE7SW12N3SE9SE10SE7
2 days agoN15N15N13
G20
N17N10N6N7N5N5N4CalmCalmCalmSE5CalmS3SE6SE5SE3CalmN6NW6NW7NW10

Tide / Current Tables for Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Gardiner
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:55 AM PDT     6.16 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:56 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:12 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:13 AM PDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:17 PM PDT     6.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:57 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:37 PM PDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.755.96.25.84.93.62.41.40.91.123.34.65.76.36.15.44.22.91.81.21.11.7

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Florence
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:43 AM PDT     6.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:56 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:02 AM PDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:12 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:05 PM PDT     6.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:57 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:26 PM PDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.95.15.965.54.63.32.11.30.91.32.23.54.85.76.25.95.13.92.71.71.11.11.8

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (18,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.