Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stronach, MI

DISCUSSION
Issued at 412 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Pattern Synopsis:

Relatively weak troughing will lift from the central CONUS into the Great Lakes tonight into Thursday. Ridging will temporarily slide over the region late this week, building high pressure in on Friday.
This will quickly be shunted east as strong troughing punches over the Great Lakes Sunday into Monday. The associated surface cyclone will track across the Upper Midwest into Canada Friday/Friday night, swinging a front across the state on Saturday. Surface high pressure then looks to build in behind this system to start next week.

Forecast Details:

Light showers have blossomed near Saginaw Bay/Lake Huron across northeast lower this afternoon and are expected to continue into this evening. Additional rainfall amounts associated with this activity should stay under 0.25". Showers and storms currently forming upstream across parts of the Midwest will be the primary concern. These showers/storms will track east across the lake with time this evening. While there's still uncertainty in how this will evolve with time, current confidence is that this activity will work across areas along and south of M-72 later this evening and tonight.
Once again, the heaviest rain potential is expected along and south of M-55. Current forecast rainfall ranges from 0.5" to 1" for this area into Thursday morning with the potential for rainfall amounts to exceed 1" should any heavier rain/embedded storms track over our far southern counties. This certainly raises additional flood concerns across already impacted areas that are extremely sensitive to more rainfall.

Otherwise, areas of fog are likely again tonight and Thursday morning as rain chances continue through Thursday afternoon, although anticipation is that showers on Thursday will be relatively light. Aforementioned high pressure building in will bring an end to rain chances, bringing a pleasant day back to the Northwoods on Friday with sunny skies and highs mainly in the 60s and even low 70s across interior northern lower and cooler highs across the eastern U.P. and along the lakeshores.

Unfortunately for areas impacted by flooding, the break in rain chances will be brief as additional showers and storms are expected on Saturday as the front swings through -- potentially exacerbating ongoing flooding/recovery efforts. A drastic airmass change is in store behind the front, plummeting temperatures into the 20s and 30s Saturday night and lasting into early next week. Forecast profiles currently appear on the dry side, but light snow chances will return to the forecast on Sunday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 121 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

Currently lingering -RA/DZ and patchy BR/FG are resulting in IFR to LIFR conditions at all terminals today. These conditions will persist and even degrade as -RA moves in for northern lower terminals after 00z. Slight chance for VCSH/SHRA near KAPN after 21z. Widespread BR/FG will drop most visibilities to 1SM or less after 06z. Winds remain AOB 10kts and VRB, and will turn NW near the end of the period. Conditions will improve after 12z to MVFR/IFR however lingering BR and OVC cigs below 1 kft will continue chances for IFR impacts through the end of the period.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...Flood Watch through late Thursday night for MIZ086>088-095-096.
MARINE...None.