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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tawas City, MI

June 25, 2024 2:23 PM EDT (18:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 9:22 PM
Moonrise 11:26 PM   Moonset 8:36 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LHZ349 Sturgeon Pt To Alabaster Mi- 1019 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 5 pm edt this afternoon - .

Today - West wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts to 25 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Tonight - West wind 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - North wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday night - North wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.

LHZ300
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tawas City, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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961 FXUS63 KAPX 251750 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 150 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong/severe line of storms expected this morning. Primary hazard will be damaging winds. Large hail and localized heavy rainfall also possible.

- Conditions begin to dry as surface high pressure builds this Wednesday through the first half of the long term. Chances of showers return this weekend.

UPDATE
Issued at 1008 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Last remnants of MCS that impacted northern Michigan early this morning about set to exit into northern Lake Huron and points east. Not expecting any redevelopment along passing cold front with a completely worked over atmosphere. Likely to see some clearing take place this afternoon. About normal highs today in the 70s to lower 80s.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 244 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Pattern Synopsis:

A strong jet/low-amplitude shortwave will continue to punch across the Upper Midwest and over the Great Lakes this morning/afternoon as more pronounced upper troughing digs into the region later tonight.
Parent cyclone associated with forcing aloft will work across James Bay into Quebec today as the attendant front swings across the Great Lakes. Relatively high surface pressure is expected to temporarily build in later tonight into Wednesday morning.

Forecast Details:

Strong/severe storms this morning -- Primary forecast concern over the next several hours will be a line of strong/severe thunderstorms currently organizing across northern Wisconsin, with additional storms out ahead of this line working over Lake Michigan. While model guidance has struggled to handle the evolution of these storms, current confidence is that storms will trek ESE through the early morning hours along a gradient of elevated buoyancy extending over into mid-Michigan. Highest severe potential appears to lie west of Lake Michigan as these storms will encounter an increasingly unfavorable environment with eastward extent, especially over Lake Michigan and into the CWA where only a few hundred joules of MUCAPE may be in place ahead of these storms. Regardless, a sufficiently organized line of storms should carry enough momentum to bring damaging winds to parts of northern Michigan through early/mid morning -- and a severe thunderstorm watch has been coordinated with SPC to highlight this threat through 9AM at this time. Best chances for severe wind gusts will come across northwest lower Michigan in closer proximity to the lakeshores and is expected to diminish further inland. Large hail will also be possible early this morning, primarily with ongoing activity currently over Lake Michigan that lies ahead of the main line of storms still draped across northern Wisconsin. Tornado threat appears low at this time given lack of surface-based instability/low-level convective inhibition. There are also low chances for a localized heavy rainfall/flash flooding threat this morning as these storms work across northwest lower.
Quick rainfall of 1-2" per hour may lead to some impacts in city locations this morning. Otherwise, rain/thunder chances are largely expected to end by late morning/early afternoon with clearing of skies and highs in the upper 70s/low 80s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 244 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Midlevel jet maxima spanning across the U.S/Canadian boarder with embedded height disturbances will continue active weather at times this week. Shortwave troughing currently north of the Upper Midwest will be occupying the Great Lakes region at the start of the forecast period. Conditions begin to dry through the midweek ahead of an additional trough returning chances of showers/storms towards the end of the week.

Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages:

-Conditions begin to dry as surface high pressure builds this Wednesday through the first half of the long term. Chances of showers return this weekend: A few isolated showers remain possible Wednesday mainly due to some lingering moisture behind the cold front at the start of the long term. Overall, weather remains pretty quiet as upstream longwave midlevel ridge pushes a cool and dry airmass into the Great Lakes region. Besides Wednesday being a little chilly in the 60s, daytime highs will remain around climatological average for the entirety of the forecast period.
Chances of showers and storms return around the Friday/Saturday timeframe as a shortwave trough currently pivoting around midlevel low pressure north of Hudson Bay progresses southward. Still a little too early to messages details, but current ensembles show no evidence of widespread severe weather or heavy rainfall at this time.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 148 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Still expecting some MVFR producing strato-cu to impact at least some of the taf locations this afternoon. Skies will clear tonight, with another lowering cloud deck expected to visit the area on Wednesday...although trends support maintenance of VFR conditions. Gusty west/southwest winds will go light tonight, with light winds continuing into Wednesday morning.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for LHZ349.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TAWM4 - Tawas City, MI 4 mi43 minWSW 8.9G16 75°F 29.66
GSLM4 - Gravelly Shoals Light MI 17 mi43 minWSW 27G34 74°F 29.68
45163 20 mi43 minWSW 18G23 74°F 3 ft29.68
SBLM4 - Saginaw Bay Light #1, MI 34 mi83 minWSW 24G30 73°F 29.66
KP58 42 mi88 minW 12G26 75°F 29.63


Wind History for Harbor Beach, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KOSC OSCODAWURTSMITH,MI 14 sm--no data--
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Wind History graph: OSC
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Tide / Current for
   
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Gaylord, MI,




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