Sunrise 5:11 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 5:47 AM   Moonset 10:15 PM

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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 906 Pm Edt Thu May 9 2024
Rest of tonight - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: ne 1 foot at 3 seconds and S 1 foot at 7 seconds. Fri - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 7 seconds. Fri night - E winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 14 seconds. Sat - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 15 seconds. Sat night - NE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 5 seconds and S 1 foot at 9 seconds. Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 7 seconds. Sun night - W winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Tue night - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

ANZ005 906 Pm Edt Thu May 9 2024
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm - High pres builds across the region through Sat night. A warm front approaches Sun, then lifts to the N Sun night and Mon. A storm system approaches from the W Mon night and Tue.

FXUS61 KCAR 100105 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 905 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds across the region through Saturday night.
A warm front approaches Sunday, then lifts to the north Sunday night and Monday. A storm system approaches from the west Monday night and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
9:05 PM Update: Clouds are breaking up a bit this evening across the FA with more breaks in the clouds now compared to a few hour ago. Expect a partly to mostly cloudy sky through late this evening, and a partly cloudy sky overnight with some areas to become mostly clear. Lows will mostly settle back into the 30s by daybreak. Only minor tweaks planned for the remainder of tonight based on the latest satellite pictures, observations, and trends.

Previous discussion: Surface high pressure to the north ridges south across the region later tonight through Friday. Aloft, the upper trof across northern areas weakens tonight through Friday. Isolated showers are still possible this evening. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies early tonight with clouds then decreasing overnight. Generally expect partly sunny skies Friday. However, diurnal heating and the remnants of the upper trof could also help support an isolated afternoon shower. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the lower to mid 30s north, to the mid to upper 30s Downeast dependent on how rapidly clouds decrease overnight. High temperatures will generally range from the mid to upper 50s across the forecast area Friday.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
A weak shortwave crosses the area Friday night and Saturday.
Some isolated showers are possible with its passage. Lows Friday night should be a few degrees below normal, mainly from the mid 30s to around 40. Highs on Saturday should be around 5-10 degrees below normal, generally in the lower to mid 50s.

Shortwave ridging then builds in Saturday night, with associated subsidence keeping things dry. Lows Saturday night should be a few degrees below normal.

The models are in good agreement that a closed low forms as a trough pushes down into the eastern seaboard. However, they differ on exactly where this closed low is located. Depending on the location of this feature Sunday could be dry, or it could feature isolated to scattered showers. Given the large spread in model and ensemble solutions, have limited pops to slight chance. Highs will be very dependent on where this closed low tracks, for now going about 5 degrees below normal, but could see how those temperatures could be 5 degrees cooler or warmer than what is currently forecast.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Model uncertainty remains the theme for the forecast Sunday night through Thursday, as differences in handling of the closed low early in the week, lead to differences in the timing and strength of ridging behind it and then when the system behind that ridging arrives.

Given this uncertainty ran with slight chance to low end chance pops through the extended period.

Temperatures should trend from below to above normal during this time frame, noting the temperature forecast is of below normal confidence for this time frame given the high degree of model spread.

AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NEAR TERM: VFR expected through Friday. North wind around 5 knots the remainder of tonight, and northeast/east wind 5 to 10 knots Friday.

SHORT TERM: Friday night-Tuesday...MVFR possible with any showers, otherwise VFR. Very low confidence on specific timing of any MVFR conditions during this time frame.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels through Friday.

SHORT TERM: A light pressure gradient over the waters Friday night through Monday night should limit sustained winds up to around 10 kt and seas up to 3 ft. The gradient should tighten somewhat on Tuesday with winds up to 15 kt and seas up to around 4 ft possible.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

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Thu -- 05:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
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