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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 614 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Sun night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely, then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain and snow showers in the morning.

ANZ005 614 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A weak cold front will stall across the region Fri, then settle across the waters Fri night. High pres will build across the region Sat. Low pres will cross the region Sun into Mon then exit across the maritimes Tue.

FXUS61 KCAR 302311 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 611 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

SYNOPSIS
A weak cold front will approach tonight, stall across the region Friday, then exit across the Gulf of Maine Friday night into Saturday. Low pressure will cross the region Sunday into Monday, then exit across the Maritimes Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
6:10 PM Update: Satellite pictures show a partly to mostly cloudy sky from around Clayton Lake and Presque Isle north with a clear to partly cloudy sky to the south. A much milder flow of air out of the south is expected tonight ahead of a weak cold front that will move into the Saint Lawrence River Valley by daybreak Friday. Temperatures will drop off a bit this evening, but should level off later this evening and slowly rise in most areas overnight. Made only minor tweaks to the tonight period based on the latest satellite pictures and observations.
Otherwise, no changes are planned at this time.

Previous discussion: Low pressure tracks northeast across Quebec province, toward Labrador, tonight drawing a weak cold front toward northwest Maine late. The cold front will slowly settle across northern Maine Friday before stalling across central portions of the forecast area late. Most precipitation tonight will remain northwest of the forecast area, closer to the approaching cold front.
However, isolated snow showers are possible across northwest areas late tonight. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies north with partly cloudy/mostly clear skies Downeast tonight. Limited moisture is available with the cold front Friday. Thus, expect only isolated/scattered showers across northern areas Friday.
Based on critical thickness values, expect precipitation in the form of snow showers Friday morning, with snow/rain showers during the afternoon. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies north with partly sunny/mostly cloudy skies Downeast Friday.
Temperatures will fall slightly early tonight. Temperatures will then stabilize. or begin to slowly warm, overnight. Low temperatures tonight will range from the upper 20s to around 30 north, to the lower to mid 30s Downeast. High temperatures Friday will range from the upper 30s to lower 40s north, to the mid to upper 40s Downeast.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
The weak cold front becomes nearly stationary across the Downeast coast Friday evening. At the same time, cold surface high pressure will remain to our north across Quebec. Expect light overrunning precipitation to overspread central and Downeast Friday evening. The precipitation will expand northward later Friday night, as a weak area of low pressure moves east along the stalled frontal boundary. Still some uncertainty as just how far north precipitation can make it, but it would appear that the St. John Valley might not see much of any snow through Friday night. The precipitation will be in the form of light snow north of the Bangor region, with a rain/snow mix for Bangor, and rain along the coast.

The weak wave(s) of low pressure will track east across the Gulf of Maine Saturday morning and to the south of Nova Scotia later Saturday. Troffing extending to the northwest of the departing low and short wave energy moving across will keep mainly snow going north through much of the afternoon, before gradually tapering off from west to east. As the low tracks east, colder air should allow precipitation to change to all snow for the Bangor region and Downeast, with the exception of the immediate coast.

High pressure will remain across Quebec province Saturday night. Expect mainly cloudy skies and chance for snow showers.

1025 mb high remains across eastern Quebec province Sunday. Models still suggesting the potential for some light precipitation developing along a baroclinic zone across the region with snow north and rain for Bangor and point south. Highs on Sunday range from the low to mid 30s north and upper 30s to near 40 south.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Sunday night and Monday there still remains quite a bit uncertainty amongst the 12Z deterministic guidance suite. GFS takes a short wave eastward Sunday night and develops a 500 mb low across the state. This results in low pressure developing along the mid coast of Maine. The low intensifies and moves rapidly east through the Canadian Maritimes on Monday with snow/rain north.
The EC develops the low offshore across the Gulf of Maine and then tracks it across Nova Scotia. The CMC is even further south with the secondary low and tracks it south of Nova Scotia. Will have likley pops for Sunday night through Monday, with snow north, snow/rain Bangor region, and rain coast. There could still be the chance for snow showers on Tuesday, followed by drier weather mid week. Highs on Monday will be close to normal, and then below normal through the middle of next week.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NEAR TERM: VFR/MVFR north tonight with isolated/scattered snow showers, mostly late. VFR Downeast tonight. VFR/MVFR with isolated/scattered snow and rain showers north, VFR Downeast, Friday. South/southwest winds 5 to 10 knots tonight, then southwest 5 to 10 knots Friday. Southwest/west low level wind shear develops tonight.

SHORT TERM:

Friday night...VFR evening, then becoming MVFR or lower from KCAR southward through BGR and BHB. Snow at the northern terminals and rain south. N to NE wind 5 to 10 kt.

Saturday...MVFR or lower in snow north and rain/snow BGR and BHB. N to NE wind 5 to 10 kt.

Saturday night...VFR/MVFR. Chance snow showers. NE wind 5 to 10 kt.

Sunday through Monday...MVFR/IFR in snow north and snow/rain south.
NE wind 5 to 10 kt Sunday. N 10 to 15 kt with G20kt on Monday

Tuesday...VFR. Gusty NW wind.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: A Small Craft Advisory is in effect tonight through Friday afternoon for much of the waters, with the exception of the intra-coastal waters. On the intra-coastal waters, a Small Craft Advisory is in effect tonight through Friday morning.

SHORT TERM: Wind/seas should generally be below SCA levels Friday night through Sunday night and then increase to SCA levels Monday through Tuesday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ050-051.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Friday for ANZ052.

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Corea Harbor
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Thu -- 12:20 AM EST     10.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:13 AM EST     1.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:20 PM EST     11.59 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:54 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:55 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
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Corea Harbor, Maine, Tide feet

Green Island
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Thu -- 12:17 AM EST     10.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:09 AM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:17 PM EST     11.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:51 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Green Island, Petit Manan Bar, Maine, Tide feet

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