DISCUSSION
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sat Sep 7 2024

A coolish day today, but things will gradually be changing each day into next week. A trough currently situated over the Great Lakes and New England will lift out and allow a ridge from the west to build east. By Monday and Tuesday, a broad ridge will encompass the majority of the country with temperatures across the Upper Midwest returning above normal. Broad southerly flow and warming low level temperatures will send highs well into the 80s area wide, with low to mid 90s appearing likely across southwest MN by midweek. Dew points will remain in the 50s and 60s, within the comfortable range, so heat indices are not expected to reach hazardous levels. The large ridge will also keep disturbances from encroaching on the area, leaving day after day of sunny skies and nil precipitation chances.

By late week, a tropical disturbance in the Gulf will begin lifting north along the Mississippi Valley. While this feature should remain east of the area, low level flow may turn southeast late in the period and advect cooler low level air in, resulting in temperatures modifying a bit by next weekend.
Some guidance also indicate a shortwave trough approaching from the west. Low PoPs remain for Friday night and Saturday, but nothing looks particularly widespread or heavy.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024

VFR conditions expected throughout this duration with only passing high cirrus clouds. Ground fog not expected due to surface winds in the 3-5kt range through sunrise. Slight increase in speeds from the southwest late this morning through this afternoon before speeds drop off again Sunday evening.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ MON...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
TUE-THU...VFR. Wind S 10-20 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...None.
WI...None.