Oscoda, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oscoda, MI

June 15, 2024 1:08 PM EDT (17:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 9:20 PM
Moonrise 2:00 PM   Moonset 1:12 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LHZ349 Sturgeon Pt To Alabaster Mi- 1113 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Today - Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Sunday night - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.

No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oscoda, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1006 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024


- Shower chances return late tonight.

- Increasing potential of dangerous/extreme heat bulding across the region next week. Chances of showers and storms are expected to continue at times through the entirety of the long term forecast period.

Issued at 1005 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

1024mb surface high centered to our northeast over Ontario this morning
Return flow increasing to our west between this
and energy over the Plains with attendant decaying MCS in the Mid MS Valley pumping out gravity waves per WV imagery. Weak bit of a warm front to our northwest over Manitoba/W
north of a subtle PV max crossing MN in the right entrance region of an 80+kt upper jet lifting through. This latter feature also has some attendant mid clouds and radar returns,though unclear attm how much of this is making it to the ground across the WUP, similar to yesterday morning's WI niblet that ultimately tossed a few sprinkles NW Lower's way. We are drier this morning than yesterday (pwat on the 12z sounding of 0.56in, lower than yesterday and definitely running below the mean for mid June), and did have a chilly night with lows generally in the 40s (a few upper 30s in the typical colder spots). Temperature recovery seems to be quick, though, with temps already into the low 60s in spots...and somewhat quicker mixing than perhaps anticipated in spots, noting gusts of 10-20kts already across the area.

High pressure to continue to pivot away, with increasing return flow expected later this afternoon/evening. Think mid/high clouds will remain present over the area, esp the EUP through the morning, and eventually into NW Lower more this afternoon/evening. Not as clear on surface based cu, given somewhat drier profile than yesterday...particularly if we mix high enough to tap into some of that drier air aloft above 850-800mb...and will likely bump winds/gusts up a few kts or so for the daylight hours as a result.
Will keep an eye on temp trends today...esp for downslope favored sites (in south/southeast flow, TVC, etc)...in case things need to be adjusted upward before thicker cloud cover increases later this afternoon. May also have to keep an eye on sprinkle potential over the EUP with that mid cloud deck slipping southeastward into the Soo attm...as there have been some showers with that further north along the Lake Superior coast.

Issued at 359 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Pattern Synopsis:

Troughing continues to slide east of the Great Lakes and over New England today as ridging works overhead. Subsidence provided at the ridge/trough inflection point will keep building surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes eastward as well. A weak shortwave lifting across the Midwest later this evening/tonight looks to provide sufficient forcing aloft to support an area of relatively low surface pressure that will trek west of Lake Michigan into Sunday morning.

Forecast Details:

Shower chances return late tonight -- Quiet weather is in store for northern Michigan once again today with high pressure centered overhead, leading to sunny skies through the afternoon. Cloud cover will begin to spread from west to east across the area this evening as the aforementioned shortwave and associated precip lifts across the Midwest. Low confidence exists at this time, but slight chance PoPs are included in tonight's forecast as some showers from this system may work into Michigan overnight and saturate dry profiles sufficiently for some rain to reach the ground before more better rain chances arrive after the period. Otherwise, temperatures look to warm into the upper 70s and low 80s for many areas today with cooler temperatures in the low 70s anticipated across northeast lower and the eastern U.P.

Issued at 359 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Shortwave midlevel troughing over the northeastern CONUS will continue to move downstream while upstream longwave ridging continues to builds across the rest of North America. Attention for the long term period remains next week as aforementioned ridging will drive high temperatures across the Great Lakes region well above normal. Midlevel height disturbances riding along the baroclinic zone will continue chances of showers and storms at times next week potentially impacting the severity of heat across the CWA

Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages:

-Increasing potential of dangerous/extreme heat bulding across the region next week. Chances of showers and storms are expected to continue at times through the entirety of the long term forecast period: A well advertised heat wave is set to commence next week at the start of the long term and continue through the entirety of the forecast period. Southwest flow will advect a hot humid air mass from the Gulf and build temperatures into the mid/upper 80s next week, with the warmest days expected to be Monday and Tuesday (with highs potentially reaching well into the 90s). Convection driven by lingering atmospheric moisture and some height disturbances along the aformentioned ridge is expected to develop from time to time this week. The baroclinic zone is expected to remain well to the northwest of the CWA, but convection can still fire off from potential outflow boundaries or lake breezes. Subsequent thunderstorms leave some uncertainty with daytime high temperatures as low level mixing along with cloud cover could inhibit diurnal heating. Nevertheless, the majority of the long term will remain well above normal and uncomfortably warm.

Issued at 546 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

VFR conditions are anticipated across northern Michigan through the vast majority of the issuance period. Any lingering FG/BR at mbL should diminish shortly after sunrise. Otherwise, mainly light south- southeast winds around 5-10 mph are expected today with the potential for lake breeze formation to push inland this afternoon.
Sunny skies will be in place through this afternoon before clouds begin to spread from west to east across the area this evening and tonight. Slight chances for showers exist later tonight, but too low of confidence exists for inclusion in the TAF at this time.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TAWM4 - Tawas City, MI 21 mi89 minENE 6G8.9 62°F 30.29
45162 31 mi49 minSSE 3.9G5.8 56°F 58°F1 ft30.27
TBIM4 35 mi69 minSSE 4.1G5.1 58°F
APNM4 - Alpena Harbor Light, MI 36 mi49 minSSE 6G7 57°F
LPNM4 - Alpena, MI - 9075065 37 mi69 minS 6G7 58°F 58°F30.2445°F
GSLM4 - Gravelly Shoals Light MI 38 mi89 minNNE 8.9G9.9 57°F 30.26
45163 41 mi49 minNE 9.7G14 61°F 1 ft30.29
KP58 45 mi74 minNNE 8 62°F 30.2451°F

Wind History for Alpena, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KOSC OSCODAWURTSMITH,MI 8 sm13 minE 0710 smClear64°F36°F34%30.26
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Wind History graph: OSC
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Tide / Current for
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Gaylord, MI,

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