Monday, January20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Winterport, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:27PM Monday January 20, 2020 6:42 AM EST (11:42 UTC) Moonrise 4:11AMMoonset 1:52PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 548 Am Est Mon Jan 20 2020
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of snow showers this morning. Light freezing spray. Vsby 1 to 3 nm this morning.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Light freezing spray.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Light freezing spray in the morning.
Tue night..W winds around 5 kt in the evening, becoming light and variable. Seas 1 foot or less.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less.
Wed night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
ANZ100 548 Am Est Mon Jan 20 2020
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure will gradually build across the waters through midweek with relatively tranquil conditions expected. A weak cold front will cross the waters late in the week. Low pressure will pass south of the waters this weekend. &&


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Winterport, ME
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location: 44.64, -68.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 201051 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 551 AM EST Mon Jan 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pres will cross the region through Tuesday. A warm front will cross the region Wednesday. A cold front will cross the area Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 550 AM Update . Satellite shows the clearing line has pushed into far northern areas as of this hour with KFVE and KCAR reporting a clear sky attm. Temperatures have dropped sharply where the sky has cleared, with temperatures across the north Maine Woods down to 5 below to 10 below zero at this hour. Clearing will continue to push south across central and downeast areas this later this morning. Only change was to add scatterd flurries across Downeast areas next couple hours otherwise no other changes.

previous discussion High pressure will continue to slowly build across the region from the west today. Expect decreasing clouds this morning with partly sunny skies expected across the north and mostly sunny skies across Downeast areas. High temperatures are expected to range from the low to mid teens north and lower 20 Downeast.

High pressure will continue to build toward the region from the west tonight, with sub zero readings expected for overnight low temperatures. Not the ideal set up for radiational cooling with the high centered well to our west. Nevertheless, the airmass is cold, with 925MB temperatures expected to fall to around -20C across the north by daybreak Tuesday. If skies remain clear, not out of the question we could see temperatures fall as low as 20 below zero across areas of the north Maine Woods by daybreak Tuesday. However, some concern we could see some patchy stratocu this evening in the northwest flow aloft, which could keep temperatures from falling quite that low. Still, have undercut most guidance a few degrees for mins tonight, with lows expected to range from 10 below to 15 below zero across the north and zero to 5 below central and Downeast areas.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A surface ridge across the region Tuesday morning will shift east during the day. A mid/upper level trough will cross the region Tuesday evening along with a weak warm front Wednesday. Tuesday will start with sunshine and will be followed by an increase in clouds during the afternoon. Temperatures will remain below average with highs around 10 degrees north to the teens Downeast. Tuesday night will be partly to mostly cloudy with some flurries and perhaps an isolated snow shower, mainly to the north of Baxter State Park. The air mass moderates significantly Wednesday with return southwest flow. Highs will be near to a little above average with a mix of sun and clouds north and perhaps a few flurries. It will be partly to mostly sunny Downeast. Highs will bounce back into the low to mid 20s north and to near the freezing mark in Bangor and Downeast.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. A mainly dry pattern with above average temperatures Wed night through Friday. In the wake a warm front that lifts north of the region by Wed night, high pressure remains across the area through Friday. A back door cold front may begin to approach from the north during the day Friday. Temperatures both Thursday and Friday will be about 10 degrees above average, and will range from near 30 degrees (F) north to the mid 30s Downeast.

Model uncertainty grows significantly by the weekend. The operational GFS and the GFS ensemble mean are further north with an area of low pressure near the NY Bight at 00z Sunday. The low tracks into the southern Gulf of Maine Sunday morning. This would bring a moderate winter weather event with snow or mixed precipitation Downeast with lighter amounts to the north. The 00z ECMWF and the majority of the 12Z/19th ensembles have a cut off low along the Mid-Atlantic coast by 12Z Sunday with high pressure to the north. The ECMWF and most ECMWF ensembles would keep the storm suppressed well south of our region through the weekend. The Canadian is more or less in between the other operational models and would bring some precipitation into the Downeast region Sunday with it remaining dry across the north. Given the high levels of uncertainty will go with chance PoPs south and slight chance PoPs in the far north on Sunday, which is a little lower than the National Blend of Models.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR expected through tonight. NW winds 10 to 15 kt becoming less than 10 kts tonight.

SHORT TERM: Tue-Fri . VFR most of the time. There could be a period with MVFR ceilings at the Aroostook County terminals, especially Tue night into Wed morning from KPQI north to KFVE.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through early this evening for the outer waters. Winds/seas should remain below SCA levels tonight, although we may still may see a few gusts to 25 kt at times. Light Freezing Spray can be expected this morning and again tonight.

SHORT TERM: The wind and seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory levels Tuesday through Friday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ050- 051.



Near Term . Duda Short Term . CB Long Term . CB Aviation . Duda/CB Marine . Duda/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 38 mi55 min N 17 G 22 1013.8 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 41 mi99 min N 18 G 29 20°F 3 ft
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 54 mi99 min NNW 21 G 27 22°F 43°F7 ft1011.3 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME12 mi50 minNNW 78.00 miLight Snow14°F9°F80%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGR

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10NW13NE7N10N9N9N8N12N10N10N8NW6N8NW6NW12NW10NW10NW7NW8NW10NW10NW8NW9N7
1 day agoN6N5N4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4SE4SE5--SE4E6NE5NE7NE6NE7N7N9N9N9N8
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NW13NW13NW13NW15NW9NW10NW7W43W6W4NW4W6NW4

Tide / Current Tables for Winterport, Penobscot River, Maine
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Winterport
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:40 AM EST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:11 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:43 AM EST     12.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:51 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:31 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:25 PM EST     11.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.61.94.67.910.712.412.811.89.66.63.61.2-0-01.64.47.49.811.1119.77.44.7

Tide / Current Tables for Hampden, Penobscot River, Maine
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Hampden
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:48 AM EST     0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:12 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:10 AM EST     14.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:51 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:39 PM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:52 PM EST     12.24 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.61.74.27.610.7131413.511.58.24.71.80.1-0.11.23.97.19.911.712.211.395.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.