Milton, VT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Milton, VT

June 18, 2024 2:54 AM EDT (06:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:05 AM   Sunset 8:42 PM
Moonrise 5:37 PM   Moonset 2:25 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, VT
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 180601 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 201 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
A period of dangerously high heat starts on Tuesday and will persist into Thursday. Highs will reach well into the 90s each day, and overnight temperatures will remain muggy and uncomfortable. Please be sure to take appropriate precautions to avoid heat stress through the remainder of this week. Although an isolated thunderstorm can't be ruled out Tuesday or Wednesday, our next best chance for rain arrives late Thursday into Friday with a cold frontal passage.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 148 AM EDT Tuesday...Light southerly winds continue tonight resulting in a slower cool down. It's still 79 degrees at nearly 2AM which doesn't bode well for this morning's starting temperatures and subsequent warm-up through the afternoon. Adjusted overnight lows to cool more slowly in broader valleys, but will wait until the next update to fine tune the thermal trend after daybreak. Otherwise, we could see some thunderstorms firing off of lake breeze tomorrow, especially on the western shore where lake breeze would be pushing upslope and up-shear allowing for increased convergence. If storms do form, they would lower temperatures mainly over the Champlain Valley, but at the cost of an increase in damaging wind potential - CAPE/DCAPE values are projected to far exceed the typical range for the North Country. Heat is still the primary concern despite any localized cool downs from a shower or outflow from a thunderstorm.

Previous discussion below: The forecast remains on track, with a period of dangerously warm temperatures expected to start Tuesday.

Ample sunshine across much of the region has allowed temperatures to warm into the upper 70s to mid 80s in most locations this afternoon. Dewpoints are already creeping up as well; readings in the mid and upper 60s are fairly common.
Moisture will continue to increase tonight, and the result will be a muggy overnight, especially in the St Lawrence and Champlain Valleys, where lows will only drop to around 70F. Low to mid 60s are expected elsewhere.

Things really start to heat up on Tuesday, with 925mb temperatures approaching 25-27C. The question is how much cloud cover there will be through the day. A weak shortwave currently moving into western NY is producing some convection this afternoon. This feature will continue to slowly push eastward tonight and Tuesday. While current expectations are that the convective activity will wane as it approaches the North Country, there very well could be debris clouds passing overhead during the morning and early afternoon hours. While it's hard to discern just how extensive this cloud cover may be, there are some indications that it could be thick enough to limit warming just a touch tomorrow. Have therefore lowered the maximum temperature forecast just a tad, though really just by a degree or two - not enough to make an appreciable difference. With dewpoints to approach or even exceed 70F, still anticipate dangerously high heat index values in the mid/upper 90s to around 100F. Even if we do get more clouds than expected, it will still be very warm tomorrow, so please make sure to follow the proper heat precautions.

Otherwise, while a stray thunderstorm or two can't be totally ruled out given the abundance of moisture and instability that will be available, continue to believe that tomorrow will be dry. Tuesday night will be even warmer and more uncomfortable than tonight; lows will likely remain in the 70s in the wider valleys, with upper 60s in higher elevations.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 333 PM EDT Monday...A prolonged period of dangerous heat is expected to continue across the region through Thursday. A strong upper level ridge will continue to amplify as it shifts towards the region, with 925mb temperatures reaching or exceeding +25C. The current forecast shows high temperatures soaring into the 90s for Wednesday and Thursday, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s leading to heat indices in the mid 90s to low 100s. There is a non- zero chance for precipitation throughout the period given the abundant moisture and hot temperatures. In addition to the hot daytime temperatures, overnight low temperatures will also remain warm with mist places struggling to drop below 70s which will add to the cumulative impacts of the heat. Experimental NWS HeatRisk highlights the threat well, showing major to extreme risk of heat related impacts for the middle of this week. Be sure to practice heat safety by staying hydrated, avoiding strenuous outdoor activity and checking up on your family, friends, neighbors, and those most vulnerable to heat.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 333 PM EDT Monday...The ridge begins to flatten out and a frontal boundary will start to drop through the region Thursday night into Friday, providing some relief to the heat. While the overall forcing and moisture is rather lackluster, instability will be quite high given the heat and humidity which will may allow for showers and thunderstorms to develop along the front.
Temperatures during the day on Friday will be cooler but still be on the warm side for this time of year, with high temperatures in the 80s to lower 60s across southern Vermont depending on how quickly the front passes through. Temperatures heading into the weekend will remain on the warmer side of normal heading into the weekend, with more chances for showers as we head into the weekend.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Through 06Z Wednesday...VFR conditions are expected overnight except for some moderate fog potential at SLK which is showing near saturated conditions and decreases below 10SM already at the VIS sensor. Result was to include some MVFR conditions 7-11Z with a lower potential of worse than MVFR mainly if mist can consolidate into a 100ft cloud layer. Otherwise, included some convective clouds for the 17-22Z period with VCSH at PBG. Best chances of thunderstorms will be along the west shore of Lake Champlain as lake breeze results in surface convergence. Should TS form, gusts will likely be strong given the expected heat.
Tonight, rather benign conditions return.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.

CLIMATE
Hot temperatures will result in values near records by the middle of next week. Below are some of the records under threat of being broken.

Record High Temperatures:

June 18: KBTV: 97/1994 Forecast 96 KMPV: 93/1994 Forecast 92 KPBG: 94/1994 Forecast 92 KMSS: 97/1994 Forecast 94 KSLK: 94/1907 Forecast 91

June 19: KBTV: 100/1995 Forecast 97 KMPV: 95/1995 Forecast 93 KPBG: 93/2001 Forecast 94 KMSS: 94/1955 Forecast 93 KSLK: 93/1994 Forecast 91

June 20: KBTV: 95/2012 Forecast 96 KMPV: 90/2020 Forecast 92 KPBG: 94/1964 Forecast 92 KMSS: 92/2012 Forecast 91 KSLK: 92/1995 Forecast 90

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 19: KPBG: 70/1949 Forecast 69

June 20: KPBG: 70/1953 Forecast 72 KSLK: 68/2012 Forecast 66

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ001>011-016>021.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ026>031-034-035-087.




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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Mon -- 12:07 AM EDT     0.58 meters High Tide
Mon -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:14 AM EDT     0.56 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 01:24 PM EDT     0.58 meters High Tide
Mon -- 04:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:25 PM EDT     0.56 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current for
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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